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Content
1975, Volume 6, Issue 2
- 257-300 The Stock Market and the Economy
by Barry Bosworth - 301-350 The Rigidity of Wages and the Persistence of Unemployment
by Robert E. Hall - 351-402 Inflation: Its Mechanics and Welfare Costs
by Arthur M. Okun - 403-448 Determinants of Wage Inflation Around the World
by George L. Perry - 449-472 Falling Profits, Rising Profit Margins, and the Full-Employment Profit Rate
by Charles L. Schultze - 473-479 Why Was the Consumer Feeling So Sad?
by Michael C. Lovell
1975, Volume 6, Issue 1
- 1-12 Editors' Summary
by The Editors - 13-60 The Impact of Unemployment Insurance on Job Search
by Stephen T. Marston - 61-88 The Allocation of "Oil Deficits"
by Robert Solomon - 89-122 Interest Rates and Their Prospect in the Recovery
by James L. Pierce - 123-140 Monetary Policy during the Recession
by William Poole - 141-166 Targets for Monetary Policy in the Coming Year
by Franco Modigliani & Lucas Papademos - 167-182 The Optimal Timing of Unemployment in a Recession
by Edward M. Gramlich - 183-206 Alternative Responses of Policy to External Supply Shocks
by Robert J. Gordon - 207-221 A Postmortem of the 1974 Recession
by Arthur M. Okun - 222-237 Policy Alternatives for 1974
by George L. Perry - 238-245 Resource Needs Revisited
by Richard N. Cooper
1974, Volume 5, Issue 3
- 527-537 Editors' Summary
by The Editors - 539-592 The Current and Future Role of the Dollar: How Much Symmetry?
by Marina V.N. Whitman - 593-636 Deposit Demand, "Hot Money," and the Viability of Thrift Institutions
by William E. Gibson - 637-694 Primary and Secondary Labor Markets: A Critique of the Dual Approach
by Michael L. Wachter - 695-736 Output and Labor Input in Manufacturing
by Christopher A. Sims - 737-760 Recession and the Employment of Demographic Groups
by Ralph E. Smith & Jean E. Vanski & Charles C. Holt
1974, Volume 5, Issue 2
- 283-292 Editors' Summary
by The Editors - 293-342 The Distributional Effects of Higher Unemployment
by Edward M. Gramlich - 343-410 The Process of Inflation in the Labor Market
by Robert E. Hall - 411-448 Oil: Its Time Allocation and Project Independence
by Paul Davidson & Laurence H. Falk & Hoesung Lee - 449-494 Oil Supply and Tax Incentive
by Edward E. Erickson & Stephen W. Millsaps & Robert M. Spann - 495-506 Unemployment and Output in 1974
by Arthur M. Okun - 505-505 Discussion of Unemployment and Output in 1974
by BPEA participants - 507-525 The Wage Process: An Analysis of the Early 1970s
by Michael L. Wachter
1974, Volume 5, Issue 1
- 1-11 Editors' Summary
by The Editors - 13-62 The Effects of External Inflationary Shocks
by James L. Pierce & Jared J. Enzler - 63-116 Food Prices and Inflation
by Dale E. Hathaway - 117-168 U.S. Import Prices in the Currency-Contract Period
by Stephen P. Magee - 169-218 The Falling Share of Profits
by William D. Nordhaus - 219-232 Monetary Policy in 1974 and Beyond
by James Tobin - 233-248 Reflections on Macroeconomic Policy
by William Poole - 246-248 Discussion of Tobin and Poole Reports
by BPEA participants - 249-260 Commodity Prices and the U.S. Price Level
by Joel Popkin - 261-282 Indexing Brazilian Style: Inflation without Tears?
by Albert Fishlow
1973, Volume 4, Issue 3
- 515-527 Editors' Introduction and Summary
by The Editors - 529-576 The Allocation of Energy Resources
by William D. Nordhaus - 577-646 The Demand for Money Revisited
by Stephen M. Goldfeld - 647-700 Protecting Homebuilding from Restrictive Credit Conditions
by William E. Gibson - 701-742 Capacity in Manufacturing
by George L. Perry - 743-764 Capacity Utilization: Concept, Measurement, and Recent Estimates
by Lawrence R. Klein & Virginia Long - 765-780 The Responses of Wages and Prices to the First Two Years of Controls
by Robert J. Gordon - 781-798 The Relative Occupational Success of Blacks and Whites
by Robert E. Hall & Richard A. Kasten - 799-800 "Rational Expectations": A Correction
by Thomas J. Sargent
1973, Volume 4, Issue 2
- 327-337 Editors' Introduction and Summary
by The Editors - 339-384 On the Use of Leading Indicators to Predict Cyclical Turning Points
by Saul H. Hymans - 385-428 Responsiveness of the Federal Individual Income Tax to Changes in Income
by Joseph A. Pechman - 429-480 Rational Expectations, the Real Rate of Interest, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment
by Thomas J. Sargent - 481-497 The Post-Devaluation Weakness of the Dollar
by Walter S. Salant - 498-507 The 1972-73 Food Price Spiral
by John A. Schnittker - 508-514 Some Observations on Monetary Policy
by James Duesenberry
1973, Volume 4, Issue 1
- 1-13 Editors' Introduction and Summary
by The Editors - 15-66 State and Local Fiscal Behavior and Federal Grant Policy
by Edward M. Gramlich & Harvy Galper - 67-132 Changes in the Labor Market for Black Americans, 1948-72
by Richard B. Freeman - 133-206 The Welfare Cost of Higher Unemployment
by Robert J. Gordon - 207-262 Upward Mobility in a High-Pressure Economy
by Arthur M. Okun - 263-284 The Current Inflation: Malign Neglect?
by Barry Bosworth & John Farmer - 285-302 Wage-Price Controls: Where Do We Go From Here?
by William Poole - 300-302 Discussion of Bosworth and Poole Reports
by BPEA participants - 303-325 Currency Contracts, Pass-Through, and Devaluation
by Stephen P. Magee
1972, Volume 3, Issue 3
- 479-491 Editors' Introduction and Summary
by The Editors - 493-546 The Recent Productivity Slowdown
by William D. Nordhaus - 547-584 An Alternative Model of Business Investment Spending
by M. Ishaq Nadiri - 585-644 Some Implications of Endogenous Stabilization Policy
by Stephen M. Goldfeld & Alan S. Blinder - 645-708 The Welfare Effects of Restrictions on U.S. Trade
by Stephen P. Magee - 709-764 Turnover in the Labor Force
by Robert E. Hall - 765-778 A Note on Inflation and the Saving Rate
by F. Thomas Juster & Paul Wachtel - 779-787 Real Spendable Weekly Earnings
by George L. Perry - 788-790 Inflation and the Consumer
by George Katona
1972, Volume 3, Issue 2
- 233-243 Editors' Introduction and Summary
by The Editors - 245-292 Unemployment Flows in the U.S. Labor Market
by George L. Perry - 293-342 Improving Monetary Control
by William Poole & Charles Lieberman - 343-384 Phase II: The U.S. Experiment with an Incomes Policy
by Barry Bosworth - 385-430 Wage-Price Controls and the Shifting Phillips Curve
by Robert J. Gordon - 422-430 Discussion of Bosworth and Gordon Papers
by BPEA participants - 431-466 The Worldwide Wage Explosion
by William D. Nordhaus - 467-477 Outlook for Federal Fiscal Policy
by Nancy H. Teeters
1972, Volume 3, Issue 1
- 1-2 Warren L. Smith, 1914-1972
by Saul H. Hymans - 3-13 Editors' Summary
by The Editors - 15-70 The Trade Effects of the 1971 Currency Realignments
by William L. Branson - 71-122 Inflation and the Consumer
by F. Thomas Juster & Paul Wachtel - 123-172 Fiscal-Monetary Activism: Some Analytical Issues
by Arthur M. Okun - 173-190 Observations on Phase II Price and Wage Controls
by Gardner Ackley - 191-194 Controls and Income Shares
by George L. Perry - 195-198 Thoughts on Phase II
by Hendrik Houthakker - 199-210 The Price-Wage Stabilization Program
by Edgar R. Fielder - 207-209 Discussion of Phase II Papers
by BPEA participants - 211-220 The Role of Interest Rates and Inflation in the Consumption Function
by William Poole - 221-232 The 1973 Federal Budget
by Nancy H. Teeters
1971, Volume 2, Issue 3
- 519-531 Editors' Introduction and Summary
by The Editors - 533-578 Labor Force Structure, Potential Output, and Productivity
by George L. Perry - 579-614 Alternative Paths to a Stable Full Employment Economy
by William Poole - 615-657 Built-in Flexibility of Federal Expenditures
by Nancy H. Teeters - 659-701 Prospects for Shifting the Phillips Curve through Manpower Policy
by Robert E. Hall - 703-722 Manpower Proposals for Phase III
by Charles C. Holt & C. Duncan MacRae & Stuart O. Schweitzer & Ralph E. Smith - 723-734 Comments and Discussion: The Hall and Holt Papers
by BPEA participants - 735-753 The Outlook for Investment in Plant and Equipment
by Charles W. Bischoff - 754-759 U.S. Comparative Advantage: Some Further Results
by William H. Branson - 760-768 The Construction Industry Stabilization Committee: Implications for Phase II
by Albert Rees
1971, Volume 2, Issue 2
- 241-252 Editors' Introduction and Summary
by The Editors - 253-284 Patterns of Corporate External Financing
by Barry Bosworth - 285-345 Trends in U.S. Trade and Comparative Advantage
by William H. Branson & Helen B. Junz - 347-381 Labor and Material Requirements for Housing
by Craig Swan - 383-415 Saving out of Different Types of Income
by Lester D. Taylor - 417-428 How Much of Current Unemployment Did We Import?
by Lawrence B. Krause & John Mathieson - 429-443 Thoughts on the Wage-Price Freeze
by William Poole - 445-449 After the Freeze
by George L. Perry - 450-451 Discussion: The Poole and Perry Reports
by BPEA participants - 452-517 Has the Phillips Curve Shifted? Some Additioal Evidence
by Charles L. Schultze - 469-483 Phillips-type Approach or Acceleration?
by William Fellner - 485-498 The Mirage of Steady Inflation
by Arthur M. Okun - 499-510 Steady Anticipated Inflation: Mirage or Oasis?
by Robert J. Gordon - 511-517 Comments and Discussion: The Fellner, Okun, and Gordon Reports
by BPEA participants
1971, Volume 2, Issue 1
- 1-12 Editors' Introduction and Summary
by The Editors - 13-63 Business Investment in the 1970s: A Comparison of Models
by Charles W. Bischoff - 65-104 An Analysis of Quantitative Credit Controls and Related Devices
by Richard G. Davis - 105-166 Inflation in Recession and Recovery
by Robert J. Gordon - 167-211 The Personal Tax Surcharge and Consumer Demand
by Arthur M. Okun - 213-218 The Market for Professional and Technical Workers
by Robert E. Hall - 219-225 The Balance of Payments in 1970
by William H. Branson - 226-233 The 1972 Budget: Where It Stands and Where It Might Go
by Nancy H. Teeters - 234-239 Consumer Durable Spending
by George Katona
1970, Volume 1, Issue 3
- 327-337 Editors' Introduction and Summary
by The Editors - 339-368 A Passive Balance-of-Payments Strategy for the United States
by Lawrence B. Krause - 369-410 Why Is the Unemployment Rate So High at Full Employment?
by Robert E. Hall - 411-448 Changing Labor Markets and Inflation
by George L. Perry - 449-458 Prices in 1970: The Horizontal Phillips Curve
by Robert J. Gordon - 459-465 1971: Economic Outlook and Uncertainties
by Saul H. Hymans - 466-473 Notes and Numbers on the Profits Squeeze
by Arthur M. Okun & George L. Perry - 474-484 FOMC Policy: 1970 and Beyond
by John H. Kareken - 485-501 Whither Money Demand?
by William Poole
1970, Volume 1, Issue 2
- 163-172 Editors' Introduction
by The Editors - 173-206 Consumer Durable Spending: Explanation and Prediction
by Saul H. Hymans - 207-234 Analyzing Inventory Investment
by Barry Bosworth - 235-270 Monetary Policy and the New View of International Capital Movements
by William H. Branson - 271-302 Gradualism: A Mid-Course View
by William Poole - 303-312 Budgetary Outlook at Mid-Year 1970
by Nancy H. Teeters - 313-318 Recovery for Homebuilding?
by Craig Swan - 319-326 Revisions in Investment Anticipations
by Charles W. Bischoff
1970, Volume 1, Issue 1
- 1-7 Editors' Introduction
by The Editors - 8-47 The Recent Acceleration of Inflation and Its Lessons for the Future
by Robert J. Gordon - 48-76 Homebuilding: A Review of Experience
by Craig Swan - 77-116 The Full Employment Surplus Revisited
by Arthur M. Okun & Nancy H. Teeters - 117-126 Consumption: New Data and Old Puzzles
by Saul H. Hymans - 127-133 Plant and Equipment Spending in 1969 and 1970
by Charles W. Bischoff - 134-140 Current Inventory-Sales Relationships
by Barry Bosworth - 141-146 U.S. Exports and Imports: Are We Tracking?
by Lawrence B. Krause - 147-151 Recent Increases in Unemployment
by Robert E. Hall - 152-162 Montetary Policy in 1969
by John H. Kareken