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Surveying Business Uncertainty

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Bilicka, Katarzyna & Scur, Daniela, 2024. "Organizational capacity and profit shifting," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
  2. Meyer, Brent H. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "Unit cost expectations: Firms’ perspectives on inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
  3. Born, Benjamin & Enders, Zeno & Menkhoff, Manuel & Müller, Gernot & Niemann, Knut, 2022. "Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro," CEPR Discussion Papers 17768, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  4. Barrero, Jose Maria & Bloom, Nick & Davis, Steven J., 2020. "Why Working From Home Will Stick," SocArXiv wfdbe, Center for Open Science.
  5. Meyer, Brent H. & Prescott, Brian C. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2023. "The impact of supply chain disruptions on business expectations during the pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  6. Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Pawel Smietanka & Gregory Thwaites, 2025. "The Impact of Covid-19 on Productivity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 107(1), pages 28-41, January.
  7. Grover,Arti Goswami & Karplus,Valerie Jean, 2021. "Coping with COVID-19: Does Management Make Firms More Resilient ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9514, The World Bank.
  8. Altig, Dave & Baker, Scott & Barrero, Jose Maria & Bloom, Nicholas & Bunn, Philip & Chen, Scarlet & Davis, Steven J. & Leather, Julia & Meyer, Brent & Mihaylov, Emil & Mizen, Paul & Parker, Nicholas &, 2020. "Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
  9. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Stephen J. Terry, 2020. "COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 26983, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  10. Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2020. "Subjective Uncertainty, Expectations, and Firm Behavior," MPRA Paper 103516, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  11. Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Lucia Foster & Scott Ohlmacher & Itay Saporta-Eksten, 2022. "Investment and Subjective Uncertainty," Working Papers 22-52, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
  12. Nicholas Bloom & Robert S. Fletcher & Ethan Yeh, 2021. "The Impact of COVID-19 on US Firms," NBER Working Papers 28314, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  13. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Salisu, Afees A. & van Eyden, Reneé, 2023. "Firm-level business uncertainty and the predictability of the aggregate U.S. stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 295-302.
  14. Daniela Scur & Raffaella Sadun & John Van Reenen & Renata Lemos & Nicholas Bloom, 2021. "The World Management Survey at 18: lessons and the way forward," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 37(2), pages 231-258.
  15. Bachmann, Rüdiger, 2019. "Comments on “Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from German firms”," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 64-68.
  16. Chen, Ying & Kimura, Yosuke & Inoue, Kotaro, 2025. "How does managerial perception of uncertainty affect corporate investment during the COVID-19 pandemic: A text mining approach," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  17. Dovern, Jonas, 2024. "Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 113-123.
  18. Max Nathan & Henry Overman, 2020. "Will coronavirus cause a big city exodus?," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 47(9), pages 1537-1542, November.
  19. Barrero, Jose Maria, 2022. "The micro and macro of managerial beliefs," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 640-667.
  20. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Yin, Xiao, 2024. "Higher-Order Beliefs and Risky Asset Holdings," IZA Discussion Papers 17120, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  21. Nicholas Bloom & Takafumi Kawakubo & Charlotte Chunming Meng & Paul Mizen & Rebecca Riley & Tatsuro Senga & John Van Reenen, 2021. "Do Well Managed Firms Make Better Forecasts?," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2021-18, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
  22. Jose Maria Barrero & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Brent H. Meyer, 2021. "COVID-19 Is a Persistent Reallocation Shock," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 111, pages 287-291, May.
  23. Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023. "What Is Certain about Uncertainty?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
  24. Luca Rossi, 2020. "Indicators of uncertainty: a brief user’s guide," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 564, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  25. Philip Bunn & Nicholas Bloom & Alice Crundwell & Sami Khan & Craig Menzies & Paul Mizen & Molly Sculthorpe & Krishan Shah & Gregory Thwaites & Ivan Yotzov, 2024. "The Decision Maker Panel: a user’s guide," Bank of England working papers 1096, Bank of England.
  26. Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2024. "The inflation expectations of U.S. firms: Evidence from a new survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
  27. Hang Do & Kiet Duong & Toan Huynh & Nam T. Vu, 2024. "The Real Effects of Brexit on Labor Demand: Evidence from Firm-level Data," Working Papers 117, Queen Mary, University of London, School of Business and Management, Centre for Globalisation Research.
  28. Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Scarlet Chen & Paul Mizen & Pawel Smietanka & Gregory Thwaites, 2019. "The impact of Brexit on UK firms," Bank of England working papers 818, Bank of England.
  29. Hacıoğlu-Hoke, Sinem, 2024. "Macroeconomic effects of political risk shocks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
  30. Prachi Srivastava & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites & Ivan Yotzov, 2024. "Firm Climate Investment: A Glass Half-Full," NBER Working Papers 33081, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  31. Tarek A. Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence Van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2024. "The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(1), pages 413-458, February.
  32. Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Geoff Kenny & Michael Weber, 2024. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 114(3), pages 645-677, March.
  33. Tarek Alexander Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2020. "The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty," Boston University - Department of Economics - The Institute for Economic Development Working Papers Series dp-332, Boston University - Department of Economics.
  34. Brent H. Meyer & Nicholas B. Parker & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2021. "Unit Cost Expectations and Uncertainty: Firms' Perspectives on Inflation," Working Papers 2021-002, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, revised Nov 2021.
  35. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "On the Aggregation of Survey-Based Economic Uncertainty Indicators Between Different Agents and Across Variables," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 1-26, April.
  36. Siavash Mohades & Giulia Piccillo & Maria Savona & Tania Treibich, 2025. "Firms’ Investment and Capacity Utilisation: The Role of Financial Constraints and Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 12108, CESifo.
  37. Fiori, Giuseppe & Scoccianti, Filippo, 2023. "The economic effects of firm-level uncertainty: Evidence using subjective expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 92-105.
  38. Chen, Cheng & Sun, Chang & Zhang, Hongyong, 2022. "Learning and information transmission within multinational corporations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  39. Reniati Reniati & Badrun Susantyo & Nyi R. Irmayani & Fadillah Sabri & Widiastuti Widiastuti, 2025. "The Influence of Leadership Strategies and Social Capital on the Business Performance and Resilience of Indonesian MSMEs," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(2), pages 9932-9971, June.
  40. Chen, Cheng & Senga, Tatsuro & Sun, Chang & Zhang, Hongyong, 2023. "Uncertainty, imperfect information, and expectation formation over the firm’s life cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 60-77.
  41. Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 118-166, August.
  42. Zovanga Kone & Feicheng Wang & Zheng Wang & Zhuo Zhou, 2024. "Business as usual? Unraveling the impact of Brexit on UK‐EU business links," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 42(4), pages 623-641, October.
  43. Cheng Chen & Tatsuro Senga & Hongyong Zhang, 2021. "Measuring business-level expectations and uncertainty: survey evidence and the COVID-19 pandemic," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 72(3), pages 509-532, July.
  44. van der Wielen, Wouter & Barrios, Salvador, 2021. "Economic sentiment during the COVID pandemic: Evidence from search behaviour in the EU," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
  45. Gu, Xin & Cheng, Xiang & Zhu, Zixiang & Deng, Xiang, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and China’s growth-at-risk," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 452-467.
  46. Meyer, Brent H. & Prescott, Brian & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2022. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business expectations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 529-544.
  47. Xavier Cirera & Marcio Cruz & Elwyn Davies & Arti Grover & Leonardo Iacovone & Jose Ernesto Lopez Cordova & Denis Medvedev & Franklin Okechukwu Maduko & Gaurav Nayyar & Santiago Reyes Ortega & Jesica , 2021. "Policies to Support Businesses through the COVID-19 Shock: A Firm Level Perspective [Economic Uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic]," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 36(1), pages 41-66.
  48. Dutordoir, Marie & Shemesh, Joshua & Veld, Chris & Wang, Qing, 2024. "Can existing corporate finance theories explain security offerings during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  49. Jiang, Fuwei & Kang, Jie & Meng, Lingchao, 2024. "Certainty of uncertainty for asset pricing," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  50. Bernardo Candia & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2020. "Communication and the Beliefs of Economic Agents," NBER Working Papers 27800, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  51. Pavlova, Lora, 2025. "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
  52. Giustinelli, Pamela & Manski, Charles F. & Molinari, Francesca, 2022. "Tail and center rounding of probabilistic expectations in the Health and Retirement Study," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(1), pages 265-281.
  53. Do, Hang & Duong, Kiet Tuan & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan & Vu, Nam T., 2025. "The Real effects of Brexit on labor demand: Evidence from firm-level data," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
  54. Păunescu Carmen & Argatu Ruxandra & Matyus Eniko, 2023. "Socio-Economic Wellbeing and behavior at School or Work To what Extent are They Related? Evidence from Romania," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 17(1), pages 853-863, July.
  55. Giulia Piccillo & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2021. "Effects of Macro Uncertainty on Mean Expectation and Subjective Uncertainty: Evidence from Households and Professional Forecasters," CESifo Working Paper Series 9486, CESifo.
  56. John R. Graham, 2022. "Presidential Address: Corporate Finance and Reality," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(4), pages 1975-2049, August.
  57. Juan M. Londono & Sai Ma & Beth Anne Wilson, 2021. "The Global Transmission of Real Economic Uncertainty," International Finance Discussion Papers 1317, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  58. Aaron Jalca & Brent Meyer & Michael Sparks & David Wiczer, 2025. "Will Tariffs Touch Off an Inflationary Impulse? Business Execs Think So," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 2025(4), pages 1-20, August.
  59. Jose Maria Barrero & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2020. "COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 51(2 (Summer), pages 329-383.
  60. repec:ces:ceswps:_10520 is not listed on IDEAS
  61. repec:ces:ceswps:_9394 is not listed on IDEAS
  62. Philip Bunn & Lena Anayi & Emily Barnes & Nicholas Bloom & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites & Ivan Yotzov, 2024. "How Curvy is the Phillips Curve?," NBER Working Papers 33234, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  63. Maria Elena Bontempi & Luca Lambertini & Giuseppe Parigi, 2024. "Exploring the innovative effort: duration models and heterogeneity," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(3), pages 587-656, September.
  64. Grover,Arti Goswami & Pereira Lopez,Mariana De La Paz, 2023. "Does Informality Depress Investments and Job Recovery ? Firm-Level Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis in South Asia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10580, The World Bank.
  65. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2019. "Firms' Subjective Uncertainty and Forecast Errors," Discussion papers 19055, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  66. Joel Suss & Adam Hughes, 2023. "Bank expectations and prudential outcomes," Bank of England working papers 1035, Bank of England.
  67. Eyting, Markus & Schmidt, Patrick, 2021. "Belief elicitation with multiple point predictions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  68. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kieren, Pascal & Trautmann, Stefan T., 2025. "A choice-based approach to the measurement of inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 25/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  69. Blanas, Sotiris & Oikonomou, Rigas, 2023. "COVID-induced economic uncertainty, tasks and occupational demand," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  70. Hong, T., 2021. "Revisiting the Trade Policy Uncertainty Index," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2174, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  71. Emmanuel Brunet-Jailly, 2021. "Introduction: How the British-exit is Impacting the European Union?," International Studies, , vol. 58(2), pages 133-149, April.
  72. Joshy Easaw & Christian Grimme, 2021. "The Impact of Aggregate Uncertainty on Firm-Level Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 8934, CESifo.
  73. Marijana Andrijic, 2024. "Uncertainty, populism and foreign direct investment: the state of play in economic research," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 48(4), pages 465-491.
  74. Brucal,Arlan Zandro Ilagan & Grover,Arti Goswami & Reyes Ortega,Santiago, 2021. "Damaged by the Disaster : The Impact of COVID-19 on Firms in South Asia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9604, The World Bank.
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