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Technical analysis: An asset allocation perspective on the use of moving averages

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Cited by:

  1. Chen, Kuan-Hau & Su, Xuan-Qi & Lin, Li-Feng & Shih, Yi-Cheng, 2021. "Profitability of moving-average technical analysis over the firm life cycle: Evidence from Taiwan," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  2. Chia-Lin Chang & Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Long Run Returns Predictability and Volatility with Moving Averages," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-18, September.
  3. Eun-chong Kim & Han-wook Jeong & Nak-young Lee, 2019. "Global Asset Allocation Strategy Using a Hidden Markov Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-15, November.
  4. Shi Yafeng & Tao Xiangxing & Shi Yanlong & Zhu Nenghui & Ying Tingting & Peng Xun, 2020. "Can Technical Indicators Provide Information for Future Volatility: International Evidence," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 53-66, February.
  5. Doron Avramov & Guy Kaplanski & Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, 2022. "Postfundamentals Price Drift in Capital Markets: A Regression Regularization Perspective," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(10), pages 7658-7681, October.
  6. Kai Li & Jun Liu, 2016. "Reversing Momentum: The Optimal Dynamic Momentum Strategy," Research Paper Series 370, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  7. Taylor, Nick, 2014. "The rise and fall of technical trading rule success," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 286-302.
  8. Shi Yafeng & Yanlong Shi & Ying Tingting, 2024. "Can technical indicators based on underlying assets help to predict implied volatility index," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 57-74, January.
  9. Chang, C-L. & Hsu, S.-H. & McAleer, M.J., 2018. "Asymmetric Risk Impacts of Chinese Tourists to Taiwan," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2018-18, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
  10. Wen, Danyan & Liu, Li & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil market returns: Enhanced moving average technical indicators," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  11. Hyungjun Park & Min Kyu Sim & Dong Gu Choi, 2019. "An intelligent financial portfolio trading strategy using deep Q-learning," Papers 1907.03665, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
  12. Chen, Xingjiang & Ruan, Xinfeng & Zhang, Wenjun, 2021. "Dynamic portfolio choice and information trading with recursive utility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 154-167.
  13. Yafeng Qin & Guoyao Pan & Min Bai, 2020. "Improving market timing of time series momentum in the Chinese stock market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(43), pages 4711-4725, September.
  14. K. J. Hong & S. Satchell, 2013. "Time Series Momentum Trading Strategy and Autocorrelation Amplification," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1322, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  15. Matheus José Silva de Souza & Danilo Guimarães Franco Ramos & Marina Garcia Pena & Vinicius Amorim Sobreiro & Herbert Kimura, 2018. "Examination of the profitability of technical analysis based on moving average strategies in BRICS," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 4(1), pages 1-18, December.
  16. Hung, Chiayu & Lai, Hung-Neng, 2022. "Information asymmetry and the profitability of technical analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  17. Ansari Saleh Ahmar, 2019. "Sutte Indicator: an approach to predict the direction of stock market movements," Papers 1903.11642, arXiv.org.
  18. Gianluca Fusai & Ioannis Kyriakou, 2016. "General Optimized Lower and Upper Bounds for Discrete and Continuous Arithmetic Asian Options," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 41(2), pages 531-559, May.
  19. Erdemlioglu, Deniz & Petitjean, Mikael & Vargas, Nicolas, 2021. "Market instability and technical trading at high frequency: Evidence from NASDAQ stocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  20. Lord Mensah, 2016. "Asset Allocation Brewed Accross African Stock Markets," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 3205757, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
  21. Menkhoff, Lukas, 2010. "The use of technical analysis by fund managers: International evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 2573-2586, November.
  22. Yehong Liu & Guosheng Yin, 2018. "Average Holding Price," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(01), pages 1-20, March.
  23. Noureddine Kouaissah & Amin Hocine, 2021. "Forecasting systemic risk in portfolio selection: The role of technical trading rules," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 708-729, July.
  24. Yufeng Han & Lingfei Kong, 2022. "A trend factor in commodity futures markets: Any economic gains from using information over investment horizons?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(5), pages 803-822, May.
  25. Massoud Metghalchi & Linda A. Hayes & Farhang Niroomand, 2019. "A technical approach to equity investing in emerging markets," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 389-403, July.
  26. Yao-Tsung Wu & Chien-Hung Liu & Kuo-Hao Lin & Dun-Yao Ke, 2024. "Does media coverage matter for the performance of technical trading strategies? Evidence from Taiwan," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 23(1), pages 147-166, January.
  27. Keith S. K. Lam & Liang Dong & Bo Yu, 2019. "Value Premium and Technical Analysis: Evidence from the China Stock Market," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-21, September.
  28. Adrian Zoicas‐Ienciu, 2021. "Evaluating active investing with generic trading reactions," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1018-1036, January.
  29. Taylor, Mark & Hsu, Po-Hsuan, 2014. "Forty Years, Thirty Currencies and 21,000 Trading Rules: A Large-scale, Data-Snooping Robust Analysis of Technical Trading in t," CEPR Discussion Papers 10018, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  30. He, Xue-Zhong & Li, Kai, 2015. "Profitability of time series momentum," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 140-157.
  31. Shynkevich, Andrei, 2012. "Performance of technical analysis in growth and small cap segments of the US equity market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 193-208.
  32. Demir Bektić & Tobias Regele, 2018. "Exploiting uncertainty with market timing in corporate bond markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(2), pages 79-92, March.
  33. Paskalis Glabadanidis, 2014. "The Market Timing Power of Moving Averages: Evidence from US REITs and REIT Indexes," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 14(2), pages 161-202, June.
  34. Chia-Lin Chang & Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Market Timing with Moving Averages for Fossil Fuel and Renewable Energy Stocks," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2018-24, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
  35. Dai, Min & Li, Peifan & Zhang, Jin E., 2010. "A lattice algorithm for pricing moving average barrier options," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 542-554, March.
  36. Hubert Dichtl, 2020. "Investing in the S&P 500 index: Can anything beat the buy‐and‐hold strategy?," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(2), pages 352-378, April.
  37. Hong, KiHoon & Wu, Eliza, 2016. "The roles of past returns and firm fundamentals in driving US stock price movements," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 62-75.
  38. Ben R. Marshall & Nhut H. Nguyen & Nuttawat Visaltanachoti, 2017. "Time series momentum and moving average trading rules," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 405-421, March.
  39. Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li, 2014. "Time Series Momentum and Market Stability," Research Paper Series 341, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  40. Dichtl, Hubert & Drobetz, Wolfgang & Neuhierl, Andreas & Wendt, Viktoria-Sophie, 2021. "Data snooping in equity premium prediction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 72-94.
  41. Chiarella, Carl & He, Xue-Zhong & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2014. "Heterogeneous expectations in asset pricing: Empirical evidence from the S&P500," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 1-16.
  42. Enrico Biffis & Fausto Gozzi & Cecilia Prosdocimi, 2020. "Optimal portfolio choice with path dependent labor income: the infinite horizon case," Papers 2002.00201, arXiv.org.
  43. Sermpinis, Georgios & Hassanniakalager, Arman & Stasinakis, Charalampos & Psaradellis, Ioannis, 2021. "Technical analysis profitability and Persistence: A discrete false discovery approach on MSCI indices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  44. Christopher J. Neely & David E. Rapach & Jun Tu & Guofu Zhou, 2014. "Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(7), pages 1772-1791, July.
  45. Tan, Xilong & Tao, Yubo, 2023. "Trend-based forecast of cryptocurrency returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
  46. K. J. Hong & S. Satchell, 2015. "Time series momentum trading strategy and autocorrelation amplification," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(9), pages 1471-1487, September.
  47. Ahmed Bel Hadj Ayed & Gr'egoire Loeper & Fr'ed'eric Abergel, 2016. "Robustness of mathematical models and technical analysis strategies," Papers 1605.00173, arXiv.org.
  48. Michels, Rouven & Ötting, Marius & Langrock, Roland, 2023. "Bettors’ reaction to match dynamics: Evidence from in-game betting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 310(3), pages 1118-1127.
  49. Han, Yufeng & Zhou, Guofu & Zhu, Yingzi, 2016. "A trend factor: Any economic gains from using information over investment horizons?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(2), pages 352-375.
  50. Stefanescu, Răzvan & Dumitriu, Ramona, 2015. "Buy and sell signals on Bucharest Stock Exchange," MPRA Paper 89014, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jan 2016.
  51. Isakov, Dusan & Marti, Didier, 2011. "Technical Analysis with a Long-Term Perspective: Trading Strategies and Market Timing Ability," FSES Working Papers 421, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
  52. Paskalis Glabadanidis, 2015. "Market Timing With Moving Averages," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 15(3), pages 387-425, September.
  53. Lin, Qi, 2018. "Technical analysis and stock return predictability: An aligned approach," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 103-123.
  54. Guofu Zhou, 2018. "Measuring Investor Sentiment," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 239-259, November.
  55. KiHoon Jimmy Hong & Eliza Wu, 2014. "Can Momentum Factors Be Used to Enhance Accounting Information based Fundamental Analysis in Explaining Stock Price Movements?," Research Paper Series 346, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  56. Jukka Ilomäki, 2018. "Risk and return of a trend-chasing application in financial markets: an empirical test," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(3), pages 258-272, August.
  57. Paskalis Glabadanidis, 2017. "Timing the Market with a Combination of Moving Averages," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 17(3), pages 353-394, September.
  58. Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Market Timing with Moving Averages," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-25, June.
  59. Papailias, Fotis & Thomakos, Dimitrios D., 2015. "An improved moving average technical trading rule," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 428(C), pages 458-469.
  60. Farias Nazário, Rodolfo Toríbio & e Silva, Jéssica Lima & Sobreiro, Vinicius Amorim & Kimura, Herbert, 2017. "A literature review of technical analysis on stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 115-126.
  61. Leandro Maciel, 2020. "Technical analysis based on high and low stock prices forecasts: evidence for Brazil using a fractionally cointegrated VAR model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1513-1540, April.
  62. Ko, Kuan-Cheng & Lin, Shinn-Juh & Su, Hsiang-Ju & Chang, Hsing-Hua, 2014. "Value investing and technical analysis in Taiwan stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 14-36.
  63. Metghalchi, Massoud & Chen, Chien-Ping & Hayes, Linda A., 2015. "History of share prices and market efficiency of the Madrid general stock index," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 178-184.
  64. Yufeng Lin & Xiaogang Wang & Yuehua Wu, 2023. "An Adaptive Multiple-Asset Portfolio Strategy with User-Specified Risk Tolerance," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-35, March.
  65. Angela Besana & Annamaria Esposito, 2017. "Memory, Marketing and Economic Performances in Usa Symphony Orchestras and Opera Houses," European Journal of Economics and Business Studies Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 3, September.
  66. Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Taylor, Mark P. & Wang, Zigan, 2016. "Technical trading: Is it still beating the foreign exchange market?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 188-208.
  67. Valeriy Zakamulin & Javier Giner, 2020. "Trend following with momentum versus moving averages: a tale of differences," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 985-1007, June.
  68. Jim Kyung-Soo Liew & Ahmad Ajakh, 2020. "Volatility-Adjusted 60/40 versus 100—New Risk Investing Paradigm," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-6, August.
  69. Andrew Detzel & Hong Liu & Jack Strauss & Guofu Zhou & Yingzi Zhu, 2021. "Learning and predictability via technical analysis: Evidence from bitcoin and stocks with hard‐to‐value fundamentals," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 50(1), pages 107-137, March.
  70. Dan Anghel, 2013. "How Reliable is the Moving Average Crossover Rule for an Investor on the Romanian Stock Market?," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 5(2), pages 089-115, December.
  71. Scholz, Peter, 2012. "Size matters! How position sizing determines risk and return of technical timing strategies," CPQF Working Paper Series 31, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, Centre for Practical Quantitative Finance (CPQF).
  72. Ebert, Sebastian & Hilpert, Christian, 2019. "Skewness preference and the popularity of technical analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  73. Heng-Chih Chou & Dar-Hsin Chen, 2019. "The use of technical analysis in sale-and-purchase transactions of secondhand ships," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 21(2), pages 223-240, June.
  74. Panha Heng & Scott J. Niblock, 2014. "Trading with Tigers: A Technical Analysis of Southeast Asian Stock Index Futures," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 679-692, December.
  75. Eugenio D’Angelo & Giulio Grimaldi, 2017. "The Effectiveness of the Elliott Waves Theory to Forecast Financial Markets: Evidence from the Currency Market," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(6), pages 1-18, June.
  76. Joseph Zhi Bin Ling & Albert K. Tsui & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2021. "Trading Macro-Cycles of Foreign Exchange Markets Using Hybrid Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-20, September.
  77. Liping Wang & Jiawei Li & Lifan Zhao & Zhizhuo Kou & Xiaohan Wang & Xinyi Zhu & Hao Wang & Yanyan Shen & Lei Chen, 2023. "Methods for Acquiring and Incorporating Knowledge into Stock Price Prediction: A Survey," Papers 2308.04947, arXiv.org.
  78. Ryan Flugum, 2021. "The trend is an analyst's friend: Analyst recommendations and market technicals," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 56(2), pages 301-330, May.
  79. Chia-Lin Chang & Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Moving Average Market Timing in European Energy Markets: Production Versus Emissions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-24, November.
  80. Jin, Xiaoye, 2021. "What do we know about the popularity of technical analysis in foreign exchange markets? A skewness preference perspective," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  81. Xianzhe Chen & Weidong Tian, 2014. "Optimal portfolio choice and consistent performance," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 37(2), pages 453-474, October.
  82. Hui Zeng & Ben R Marshall & Nhut H Nguyen & Nuttawat Visaltanachoti, 2022. "Are individual stock returns predictable?," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 47(1), pages 135-162, February.
  83. Santos, André A.P. & Torrent, Hudson S., 2022. "Markowitz meets technical analysis: Building optimal portfolios by exploiting information in trend-following signals," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
  84. Afiruddin Tapa* & Mohd Hasimi Yaacob & Ahmad Husni Hamzah & Yean Soh Chuen, 2018. "Trading Performance Analysis: A Comparisons Between the Original MA Crossover and Modified MA Crossover Strategy," The Journal of Social Sciences Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, pages 933-941:6.
  85. Cepoi, Cosmin-Octavian & Anghel, Dan-Gabriel & Pop, Ionuţ Daniel, 2021. "Asymmetries and flight-to-safety effects in the price discovery process of cross-listed stocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 302-318.
  86. Ansari Saleh Ahmar & Abdul Rahman & Andi Nurani Mangkawani Arifin & Alfatih Abqary Ahmar, 2017. "Predicting movement of stock of “Y” using Sutte Indicator," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1347123-134, January.
  87. Ansari Saleh Ahmar, 2017. "Sutte Indicator: A Technical Indicator in Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 223-226.
  88. Fernandes, Betina & Street, Alexandre & Valladão, Davi & Fernandes, Cristiano, 2016. "An adaptive robust portfolio optimization model with loss constraints based on data-driven polyhedral uncertainty sets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 255(3), pages 961-970.
  89. Chen, Chien-Hua & Su, Xuan-Qi & Lin, Jun-Biao, 2016. "The role of information uncertainty in moving-average technical analysis: A study of individual stock-option issuance in Taiwan," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 263-272.
  90. Corsaro, Stefania & Kyriakou, Ioannis & Marazzina, Daniele & Marino, Zelda, 2019. "A general framework for pricing Asian options under stochastic volatility on parallel architectures," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 272(3), pages 1082-1095.
  91. Guohao Tang & Fuwei Jiang & Xinlin Qi & Nan Huang, 2021. "It takes two to tango: Fundamental timing in stock market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5259-5277, October.
  92. Yang, Junmin & Cao, Zhiguang & Han, Qiheng & Wang, Qiyu, 2019. "Tactical asset allocation on technical trading rules and data snooping," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
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