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How Reliable is the Moving Average Crossover Rule for an Investor on the Romanian Stock Market?

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  • Dan Anghel

Abstract

Applying a technical analysis trading system based on the moving average crossover rule for companies listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange does not produce significant profits, but leads to consistent excess returns and lower risk versus the benchmark buy and hold strategy for a potential investor during the 2001-2011 period. Comparing the results with the ones obtained for companies listed on two more developed markets, the United States and South Korea, a significant return surplus on the local market can be identified. The results point out that the local market is less efficient than the two foreign ones but also that the Romanian stock market is not weak form informational efficient.

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  • Dan Anghel, 2013. "How Reliable is the Moving Average Crossover Rule for an Investor on the Romanian Stock Market?," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 5(2), pages 089-115, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:rfb:journl:v:05:y:2013:i:2:p:089-115
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    Cited by:

    1. Dan Gabriel Anghel, 2015. "Market Efficiency and Technical Analysis in Romania," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(2), pages 164-177, April.
    2. Andreea Săseanu & Hosney (Harry) Zurub & Gurgen Ohanyan & Natalia Bob, 2014. "The effects of IMF conditionality on Romanian economy: evidence from the Bucharest Stock Exchange," Management & Marketing, Economic Publishing House, vol. 9(3), Autumn.
    3. Victor Dragota & Dragos Stefan Oprea, 2014. "Informational Efficiency Tests on the Romanian Stock Market: A Review of the Literature," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 6(1), pages 015-028, June.

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