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How Persistent are International Capital Flows?

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  • Galstyan, Vahagn

Abstract

This paper documents the dynamic properties of the current account, trade balance and international capital flows. For this purpose, two approaches are taken: probit and a nonparametric estimation. The probabilistic approach shows that, in general, deficits and net inflows tend to be more persistent than surpluses and net outflows. This result is robust to either specification of pooled and country-specific probits. The results of non-parametric estimation are in line with the results obtained from the probit.

Suggested Citation

  • Galstyan, Vahagn, 2009. "How Persistent are International Capital Flows?," Economics Discussion Papers 2009-13, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwedp:7492
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    Cited by:

    1. Mina, Wasseem, 2015. "Political risk guarantees and capital flows: The role of bilateral investment treaties," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 9, pages 1-38.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital flows; persistence;

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General

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