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How Excessive are External Imbalances in Selected Transition Countries?

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  • Aleksander Aristovnik

Abstract

This article examines the main current account balance determinants in order to assess the potential excessiveness of current account deficits in selected transition countries. For this purpose, dynamic panel-regression techniques are used to characterise the properties of current account variations across the transition regions. The results are chiefly consistent with the theoretical and previous empirical analysis, indicating a moderate level of current account deficits persistency and negative effects of economic growth, real appreciation and worsening of terms of trade on the external balances. Furthermore, the validity of the stages of development hypothesis and twin deficit hypothesis, as well as the significance of demographic factors is confirmed in the regions. Finally, the results suggest that most transition countries are justified in running relatively high current account deficits.

Suggested Citation

  • Aleksander Aristovnik, 2006. "How Excessive are External Imbalances in Selected Transition Countries?," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2006(3), pages 243-267.
  • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2006:y:2006:i:3:id:287:p:243-267
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    1. repec:aes:amfeco:v:46:y:2017:i:19:p:772 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. repec:aes:amfeco:v:46:y:2017:i:19:p:757 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Aristovnik, Aleksander & Djurić, Sandra, 2010. "Twin deficits and the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle: a comparison of the EU member states and candidate countries," MPRA Paper 24149, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    transition; current account deficits; excessiveness; determinants; dynamic panel data;

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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