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Foreign Capital and Economic Growth in the First Era of Globalization

  • Michael D. Bordo
  • Christopher M. Meissner

We explore the association between income and international capital flows between 1880 and 1913. Capital inflows are associated with higher incomes per capita in the long-run, but capital flows also brought income volatility via financial crises. Crises also decreased growth rates of income per capita significantly below trend for at least two years leading to important short term output losses. Countries just barely made up for these losses over time, so that there is no conditional long-run income loss or gain for countries that experienced crises. This is in contrast to the recent wave of globalization when capital importing countries that experienced a crisis seemed to grow relatively faster over fixed periods of time. We discuss some possibilities that can explain this finding.

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File URL: http://www.nber.org/papers/w13577.pdf
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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 13577.

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Date of creation: Nov 2007
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Publication status: published as Michael Bordo and Christopher Meissner. “Foreign Cap ital, Financial Crises and Income in the first Era of Globalization” European Review of Economic History October 2010
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:13577
Note: DAE IFM ITI
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