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Will climate change benefit or hurt Russian grain production? A statistical evidence from a panel approach
[Wird der Klimawandel der russischen Getreideproduktion nutzen oder schaden? Statistische Evidenz auf der Grundlage eines Panel-Ansatzes]

Author

Listed:
  • Belyaeva, Maria
  • Bokusheva, Raushan

Abstract

We conduct an examination of the climate effect to analyze the historical dependence of grain production on temperatures and precipitation levels, and project this dependence to estimate the productivity of different grain types in the mid- and long-terms, given four greenhouse gas concentration pathways. We find that altering temperatures have an equivocal effect on agriculture. The most productive zones of the southern black soil belt is projected to face considerable declines in yields, due to insufficient precipitation levels and high probability of heat waves during the summer vegetation period. The northern part, on the contrary, can experience increases in productivity as a result of milder and drier winters and warmer springs.

Suggested Citation

  • Belyaeva, Maria & Bokusheva, Raushan, 2017. "Will climate change benefit or hurt Russian grain production? A statistical evidence from a panel approach [Wird der Klimawandel der russischen Getreideproduktion nutzen oder schaden? Statistische ," IAMO Discussion Papers 161, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iamodp:161
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    Cited by:

    1. S. O. Siptits & I. A. Romanenko & N. E. Evdokimova, 2021. "Model Estimates of Climate Impact on Grain and Leguminous Crops Yield in the Regions of Russia," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 169-176, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russia; grain production; climate change; Russland; Getreideproduktion; Klimawandel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets
    • Q16 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - R&D; Agricultural Technology; Biofuels; Agricultural Extension Services
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • P32 - Economic Systems - - Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions - - - Collectives; Communes; Agricultural Institutions

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