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Household Debt, Financial Intermediation, and Monetary Policy

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  • Yahong Zhang

    (Department of Economics, University of Windsor)

Abstract

The collapse of the housing prices in the U.S. during the Great Recession not only eroded housing wealth held by households, but also the values of the assets in the banking sector. As a result, during the Great Recession mortgage risk premium increases signi?cantly. I introduce a micro-founded banking sector to a standard DSGE model with household debt to study the interaction between housing prices, household debt and banks’ balance sheet positions. I estimate the model using the US data from 1991Q1 to 2014Q1. I ?nd that the model accounts well the negative relationship between housing prices and mortgage risk premium. In the model, a weakened households’ demand for housing leads to a decline in housing prices, which worsens the banks’ balance sheet positions, and as a result, risk premium rises. The results show that housing demand shocks as well as shocks that increases the riskiness of the banking sector contribute signi?cantly to the decline in output during the Great Recession. I also ?nd that the unconventional monetary policy implemented by the Federal Reserve mitigates the decline in output.

Suggested Citation

  • Yahong Zhang, 2015. "Household Debt, Financial Intermediation, and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 1504, University of Windsor, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:wis:wpaper:1504
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    Cited by:

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    2. Guangling Liu & Thabang Molise, 2020. "The Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies for the South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 368-404, September.
    3. Turdaliev, Nurlan & Zhang, Yahong, 2019. "Household debt, macroprudential rules, and monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 234-252.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    household debt; risk premium; banking; unconventional monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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