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Sources of Current Account Fluctuations in Industrialized Countries

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  • Aikaterini Karadimitropoulou

    ()

  • Miguel A. León-Ledesma

    ()

Abstract

We analyze the sources of current account fluctuations for the G6 economies. Based on Bergin and Sheffrin’s (2000) two-goods inter-temporal framework, we build a SVAR model including the world real interest rate, net output, real exchange rate, and the current account. The theory model allows for the identification of structural shocks in the SVAR using longrun restrictions. Our results suggest three main conclusions: i) we find evidence in favour of the present-value model of the CA for all countries except France; ii) there is substantial support for the two-good intertemporal model, since both external supply and preferences shocks account for an important proportion of CA fluctuations; iii) temporary domestic shocks account for a large proportion of CA fluctuations, but the excess response of the CA is less pronounced than in previous studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Aikaterini Karadimitropoulou & Miguel A. León-Ledesma, 2009. "Sources of Current Account Fluctuations in Industrialized Countries," Studies in Economics 0910, School of Economics, University of Kent.
  • Handle: RePEc:ukc:ukcedp:0910
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ibhagui, Oyakhilome, 2015. "Understanding the Sources of High Current Account Fluctuations in 5 Developed Economies," MPRA Paper 75881, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. repec:eee:ecmode:v:64:y:2017:i:c:p:201-210 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. repec:mth:ber888:v:7:y:2017:i:2:p:163-177 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Bettendorf, Timo, 2017. "Investigating Global Imbalances: Empirical evidence from a GVAR approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 201-210.
    5. Komain Jiranyakul, 2017. "Asset Prices, Real Exchange Rate and Current Account Fluctuations: Some Structural VAR Evidence for Thailand," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 7(2), pages 163-177, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Current account; real exchange rate; two-good intertemporal model; SVAR;

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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