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Estimating heterogeneous returns to college by cognitive and non-cognitive ability

Author

Listed:
  • Oliver Cassagneau-Francis

    (UCL Centre for Education Policy and Equalising Opportunities)

Abstract

Recent work has highlighted the significant variation in returns to higher education across individuals. I develop a novel methodology --- exploiting recent advances in the identification of mixture models --- which groups individuals according to their prior ability and estimates the wage returns to a university degree by group, and show that the model is non-parametrically identified. Applying the method to data from a UK cohort study, the findings reflect recent evidence that skills and ability are multidimensional. The flexible model allows the returns to university to vary across the (multi-dimensional) ability distribution, a flexibility missing from commonly used additive models, but which I show is empirically important. Returns are generally increasing in ability for both men and women, but vary non-monotonically across the ability distribution.

Suggested Citation

  • Oliver Cassagneau-Francis, 2025. "Estimating heterogeneous returns to college by cognitive and non-cognitive ability," CEPEO Working Paper Series 25-10, UCL Centre for Education Policy and Equalising Opportunities, revised Sep 2025.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucl:cepeow:25-10
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • I23 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Higher Education; Research Institutions
    • I26 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Returns to Education
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity

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