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Long-Term Prognosis of Basic Demographic and Macroeconomic Indicators in Russia

Author

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  • Kazakova, Maria

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Trunin, Pavel

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

Abstract

This paper deals with the long-term (up to 2100) prediction of the demographic (population, including labor) and macroeconomic (GDP and labor productivity) parameters in the Russian Federation. Based on the economic outlook mayor and population projections to 2030 Rosstat authors calculated the trajectory of GDP and constructed demographic scenario forecast; further results are used in calculating the dynamics of each of the components of the costs and revenues of the budgetary system of the Russian Federation until 2100.

Suggested Citation

  • Kazakova, Maria & Trunin, Pavel, 2015. "Long-Term Prognosis of Basic Demographic and Macroeconomic Indicators in Russia," Published Papers 2308, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    • Handle: RePEc:rnp:ppaper:2308
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    Keywords

    forecasting; macroeconomic parameters; demographic prediction; Russia; long-term prognosis;
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