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Trade, Production Sharing, and the International Transmission of Business Cycles

  • Ariel Burstein
  • Christopher Kurz
  • Linda Tesar

Countries that are more engaged in production sharing exhibit higher bilateral manufacturing output correlations. We use data on trade flows between US multinationals and their affiliates as well as trade between the United States and Mexican maquiladoras to measure production-sharing trade and its link with the business cycle. We then develop a quantitative model of international business cycles that generates a positive link between the extent of vertically integrated production-sharing trade and internationally synchronized business cycles. A key assumption in the model is a relatively low elasticity of substitution between home and foreign inputs in the production of the vertically integrated good.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 13731.

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Date of creation: Jan 2008
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Publication status: published as Burstein, Ariel & Kurz, Christopher & Tesar, Linda, 2008. "Trade, production sharing, and the international transmission of business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 775-795, May.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:13731
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