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The Chinese Economies in Global Context: The Integration Process and Its Determinants

  • Yin-Wong Cheung
  • Menzie D. Chinn
  • Eiji Fujii

The linkages between the People's Republic of China (PRC) and the other Chinese economies of Hong Kong and Taiwan are assessed, and compared against those with Japan and the US. We first characterize the time series behavior of variables corresponding to three criteria of integration, namely real interest parity, uncovered interest parity, and relative purchasing power parity. There is evidence that these parity conditions tend to hold over longer periods between the PRC and all other economies, although they do not hold instantaneously. In general, the magnitude of the deviations from the parity conditions is shrinking over time. Overall, however, Hong Kong exhibits indications of a more advanced level of integration with the PRC. We also find that evidence is surprisingly positive for integration with the US. We then turn to examining the determinants of the degree of integration. Regression results suggest that the degrees of financial and real integration depend upon the extent of capital controls, foreign direct investment linkages, as well as the magnitude of exchange rate volatility.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 10047.

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Date of creation: Oct 2003
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Publication status: published as Cheung, Yin-Wong, Menzie D. Chinn and Eiji Fujii. "The Chinese Economies In Global Context: The Integration Process And Its Determinants," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2006, v20(1,Mar), 128-153.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:10047
Note: IFM
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