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Measuring and testing for the systemically important financial institutions

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  • Carlos Castro

    () (Faculty of Economics, Universidad del Rosario, Colombia)

  • Stijn Ferrari

    () (National Bank of Belgium)

Abstract

This paper analyses Delta CoVaR proposed by Adrian and Brunnermeier (2008) as a tool for identifying/ranking systemically important institutions and assessing interconnectedness. We develop a test of significance of Delta CoVaR that allows determining whether or not a financial institution can be classified as being systemically important on the basis of the estimated systemic risk contribution, as well as a test of dominance aimed at testing whether or not, according to Delta CoVaR, one financial institution is more systemically important than another. We provide two applications on a sample of 26 large European banks to show the importance of statistical testing when using Delta CoVaR, and more generally also other market-based systemic risk measures, in this context.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Castro & Stijn Ferrari, 2012. "Measuring and testing for the systemically important financial institutions," Working Paper Research 228, National Bank of Belgium.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbb:reswpp:201210-228
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Nucera, Federico & Schwaab, Bernd & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André, 2016. "The information in systemic risk rankings," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PA), pages 461-475.
    2. Popoyan, Lilit & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2017. "Taming macroeconomic instability: Monetary and macro-prudential policy interactions in an agent-based model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 117-140.
    3. repec:spr:annopr:v:262:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s10479-016-2113-8 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. van de Leur, Michiel C.W. & Lucas, André & Seeger, Norman J., 2017. "Network, market, and book-based systemic risk rankings," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 84-90.
    5. Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2016. "CoVaR," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(7), pages 1705-1741, July.
      • Adrian, Tobias & Brunnermeier, Markus K., 2008. "CoVaR," Staff Reports 348, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, revised 01 Sep 2014.
      • Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2011. "CoVaR," NBER Working Papers 17454, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. repec:eee:ecofin:v:43:y:2018:i:c:p:141-157 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Mauro Bernardi & Leopoldo Catania, 2015. "Switching-GAS Copula Models With Application to Systemic Risk," Papers 1504.03733, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2016.
    8. Mikhail Stolbov, 2017. "Assessing systemic risk and its determinants for advanced and major emerging economies: the case of ΔCoVaR," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 119-152, January.
    9. repec:eee:ecmode:v:67:y:2017:i:c:p:55-72 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. H. Dewachter & G. de Walque & M. Emiris & P. Ilbas & J. Mitchell & R. Wouters, 2012. "Endogenous financial risk : The seventh international conference of the NBB," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 135-146, December.
    11. Souza, Sergio Rubens Stancato de & Silva, Thiago Christiano & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda & Guerra, Solange Maria, 2016. "Evaluating systemic risk using bank default probabilities in financial networks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 54-75.
    12. repec:eee:empfin:v:43:y:2017:i:c:p:1-32 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Jokivuolle, Esa & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2018. "Testing the systemic risk differences in banks," Research Discussion Papers 13/2018, Bank of Finland.
    14. Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin, 2016. "The Determinants of Equity Risk and Their Forecasting Implications: A Quantile Regression Perspective," Journal of Risk and Financial Management, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 9(3), pages 1-25, July.
    15. Georgios Moratis & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2017. "Measuring the systemic importance of banks," Working Papers 240, Bank of Greece.
    16. Olivier de Bandt & Jean-Cyprien Héam & Claire Labonne & Santiago Tavolaro, 2015. "La mesure du risque systémique après la crise financière," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 66(3), pages 481-500.
    17. Bernal, Oscar & Gnabo, Jean-Yves & Guilmin, Grégory, 2016. "Economic policy uncertainty and risk spillovers in the Eurozone," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 24-45.
    18. repec:eee:intfin:v:50:y:2017:i:c:p:52-68 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Silva, Walmir & Kimura, Herbert & Sobreiro, Vinicius Amorim, 2017. "An analysis of the literature on systemic financial risk: A survey," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 91-114.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Systemic risk; SIFIs; interconnectedness; quantile regression; stochastic dominance test;

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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