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The Effects of the 2006 Tuition Fee Reform and the Great Recession on University Student Dropout Behaviour in the UK

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  • Steven Bradley
  • Giuseppe Migali

Abstract

This paper investigates the causal effect of the Great Recession, and a conditional effect of a tuition fee reform, on the risk of students dropping out of HE. We use HESA data and our analysis combines duration modelling with difference-in-differences. We find that the causal effect of the recession increases the risk of drop out, especially for males. A smaller and positive effect of the tuition fee reform for males, whereas we observe the opposite effect for females. Differences in dropout behaviour are also found for high and low income groups, and between different types of university and subjects studied.
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  • Steven Bradley & Giuseppe Migali, 2017. "The Effects of the 2006 Tuition Fee Reform and the Great Recession on University Student Dropout Behaviour in the UK," Working Papers 149346773, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:lan:wpaper:149346773
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    2. Babatunde Buraimo & Giuseppe Migali & Rob Simmons, 2022. "Impacts of the Great Recession on sport: evidence from English Football League attendance demand [US household tourism expenditure and the great recession: an analysis with the consumer expenditure," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 74(1), pages 155-177.
    3. Barbara Sadaba & Sunčica Vujič & Sofia Maier, 2020. "Cyclicality of Schooling: New Evidence from Unobserved Components Models," Staff Working Papers 20-38, Bank of Canada.
    4. Sadaba, Barbara & Vujić, Sunčica & Maier, Sofia, 2024. "Characterizing the schooling cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Aina, Carmen & Baici, Eliana & Casalone, Giorgia & Pastore, Francesco, 2022. "The determinants of university dropout: A review of the socio-economic literature," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    6. Jennifer Graves & Zoë Kuehn, 2022. "Higher education decisions and macroeconomic conditions at age eighteen," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 171-241, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tuition fee reform; Recession; University Dropouts;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I22 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Educational Finance; Financial Aid
    • I28 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Government Policy
    • J6 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers

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