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Labor-Market Scars When Youth Unemployment Is Extremely High: Evidence from Macedonia

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  • Petreski, Marjan

    (University American College Skopje)

  • Mojsoska-Blazevski, Nikica

    (University American College Skopje)

  • Bergolo, Marcelo

    (IECON, Universidad de la República)

Abstract

The objective of this study is to assess how the duration of the unemployment spell of Macedonia youth affects later employment (the employment 'scarring' effect) and wage outcomes (the wage 'scarring' effect). To that end, we first devise a model in which the unemployment spell is determined by individual and household characteristics and work attitudes and preferences. Discrete-time duration method is used to estimate this model. Then, we rely on a standard employment and Mincer earnings functions. We repeatedly impute missing wages to address the selection on observables, and use the regional unemployment rate when individual finished school as an instrument to mitigate the selection on unobservables. The School to Work Transition Survey 2012 is used. Results robustly suggest a presence of employment scar as those young persons who stay unemployed over a longer period of time were found to have lower chances to find a job afterwards. On the other hand, the study does not provide evidence for the existence of the wage scar.

Suggested Citation

  • Petreski, Marjan & Mojsoska-Blazevski, Nikica & Bergolo, Marcelo, 2016. "Labor-Market Scars When Youth Unemployment Is Extremely High: Evidence from Macedonia," IZA Discussion Papers 10342, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10342
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    Cited by:

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    2. Nikica Mojsoska-Blazevski & Marjan Petreski & Marjan I Bojadziev, 2017. "Youth survival in the labour market: Employment scarring in three transition economies," The Economic and Labour Relations Review, , vol. 28(2), pages 312-331, June.
    3. Sènakpon Fidèle A. Dedehouanou & Luca Tiberti & Hilaire G. Houeninvo & Djohodo Inès Monwanou, 2019. "Working while studying: Employment premium or penalty for youth in Benin?," Working Papers PMMA 2019-03, PEP-PMMA.
    4. Bundervoet, Tom & Dávalos, Maria E. & Garcia, Natalia, 2022. "The short-term impacts of COVID-19 on households in developing countries: An overview based on a harmonized dataset of high-frequency surveys," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    5. Amélie Barbier-Gauchard & Meixing Dai & Claire Mainguy & Jamel Saadaoui & Moïse Sidiropoulos & Isabelle Terraz & Jamel Trabelsi, 2020. "Towards a more resilient European Union after the COVID-19 crisis," Working Papers hal-03008144, HAL.
    6. Dimitar NIKOLOSKI & Marjan ANGELESKI & Slavica ROCHESKA, 2018. "Determinants of earnings in Macedonia: assessing the difference between low-paid and highly-paid employees," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 9, pages 111-131, June.
    7. Despina Tumanoska, 2019. "The Validity of Okun¡¯s Law in North Macedonia," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 9(2), pages 160-168, June.
    8. Blagica Petreski & Despina Tumanoska & Tereza KÐ¾Ñ ovska & Jorge Davalos & Ivan Vchkov, 2019. "Analysis of youth underemployment in North Macedonia, Montenegro and Serbia," Finance Think Policy Studies 2019-03/22, Finance Think - Economic Research and Policy Institute.
    9. Mattia Filomena, 2021. "Unemployment Scarring Effects: A Symposium On Empirical Literature," Working Papers 453, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    10. Sènakpon Fidèle Ange Dedehouanou & Luca Tiberti & Gbodja Hilaire Houeninvo & Djohodo Inès Monwanou, 2022. "Working while studying: Employment premium or penalty for youth?," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 415-441, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    employment scarring; wage scarring; extremely high unemployment; Macedonia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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