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Credit-Supply Shocks and Firm Productivity in Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Sebastian Dörr
  • Mr. Mehdi Raissi
  • Miss Anke Weber

Abstract

The Italian economy has been struggling with low productivity growth and bank balance sheet strains. This paper examines the implications for firm productivity of adverse shocks to bank lending in Italy, using a novel identification scheme and loan-level data on syndicated lending. We exploit the heterogeneous loan exposure of Italian banks to foreign borrowers in distress, and find that a negative shock to bank credit supply reduces firms' loan growth, investment, capital-to-labor ratio, and productivity. The transmission from changes in credit supply to firm productivity relates to labor market rigidities, which delay or distort the adjustment of firms' desired labor and capital allocations, and thereby reduce firms' productivity. Effects are stronger for firms with higher capital intensity and external financial dependence.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebastian Dörr & Mr. Mehdi Raissi & Miss Anke Weber, 2017. "Credit-Supply Shocks and Firm Productivity in Italy," IMF Working Papers 2017/067, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2017/067
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Xiaohui & Shen, Shaowei, 2024. "Probability causal inference of interest rate fluctuations: Evidence from private credit in emerging markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    2. Marco Causi & Andrea Baldini, 2018. "Determinants Of Loan And Bad Loan Dynamics: Evidence From Italy," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' o232, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
    3. Hau, Harald & Ouyang, Difei, 2024. "Can real estate booms hurt firms? Evidence on investment substitution," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    4. Francesco Manaresi & Nicola Pierri, 2024. "The Asymmetric Effect of Credit Supply on Firm‐Level Productivity Growth," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(4), pages 677-704, June.
    5. Harald Hau & Difei Ouyang, 2019. "Local Capital Scarcity and Small Firm Growth: Evidence from Real Estate Booms in China," CESifo Working Paper Series 7928, CESifo.
    6. Bezemer, Dirk & Samarina, Anna & Zhang, Lu, 2020. "Does mortgage lending impact business credit? Evidence from a new disaggregated bank credit data set," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    7. Mariarosaria Agostino & Lucia Errico & Sandro Rondinella & Francesco Trivieri, 2022. "Do cooperative banks matter for new business creation? Evidence on Italian manufacturing industry," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(3), pages 637-675, September.
    8. Tetsuji Okazaki & Toshihiro Okubo & Eric Strobl, 2024. "The Bright and Dark Sides of a Central Bank's Financial Support to Local Banks after a Natural Disaster: Evidence from the Great Kanto Earthquake, 1923 Japan," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(6), pages 1439-1477, September.
    9. Mohaddes, Kamiar & Raissi, Mehdi & Weber, Anke, 2017. "Can Italy grow out of its NPL overhang? A panel threshold analysis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 185-189.
    10. Lenzu, Simone & Manaresi, Francesco, 2018. "Do Marginal Products Differ from User Costs? Micro-Level Evidence from Italian Firms," Working Papers 276, The University of Chicago Booth School of Business, George J. Stigler Center for the Study of the Economy and the State.
    11. Giulio Cornelli & Sebastian Doerr & Leonardo Gambacorta & Ouarda Merrouche, 2020. "Inside the regulatory sandbox: effects on fintech funding," BIS Working Papers 901, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. Michal Andrle & Shafik Hebous & Alvar Kangur & Mehdi Raissi, 2021. "Correction to: Italy: toward a growth-friendly fiscal reform," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 38(1), pages 421-421, April.
    13. Francesco Manaresi & Nicola Pierri, 2018. "Credit supply and productivity growth," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1168, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    14. Hardy, Bryan & Sever, Can, 2021. "Financial crises and innovation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    15. Doerr, Sebastian & Schaz, Philipp, 2021. "Geographic diversification and bank lending during crises," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(3), pages 768-788.
    16. Ozan Güler & Mike Mariathasan & Klaas Mulier & Nejat G. Okatan, 2021. "The real effects of banks' corporate credit supply: A literature review," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(3), pages 1252-1285, July.
    17. Iñaki Aldasoro & Sebastian Doerr & Haonan Zhou, 2022. "Non-bank lenders in the syndicated loan market," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    18. Iñaki Aldasoro & Sebastian Doerr, 2025. "Collateralized lending in private credit," BIS Working Papers 1267, Bank for International Settlements.
    19. Doerr, Sebastian, 2018. "Collateral, Reallocation, and Aggregate Productivity: Evidence from the U.S. Housing Boom," MPRA Paper 106163, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Junxue Jia & Jia Gu & Guangrong Ma, 2021. "Real Estate Boom and Firm Productivity: Evidence from China," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(5), pages 1218-1242, October.
    21. Francesco Manaresi & Mr. Nicola Pierri, 2019. "Credit Supply and Productivity Growth," IMF Working Papers 2019/107, International Monetary Fund.
    22. ElFayoumi, Khalid, 2024. "Firm financing and the relative demand for labor and capital," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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