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Adding China to the Global Projection Model

Author

Listed:
  • Patrick Blagrave
  • Peter Elliott
  • Mr. Roberto Garcia-Saltos
  • Mr. Douglas Hostland
  • Mr. Douglas Laxton
  • Fan Zhang

Abstract

We extend the Global Projection Model (GPM) to include a separate block for China. China plays an important role in shaping global economic outcomes, given its sheer size and trade integration with other key economies, its demand for commodities, and its policies. Also, the Chinese economy has several unique features which differentiate it from the rest of emerging Asia. These features (the use of multiple monetary-policy instruments and a managed-floating exchange-rate policy) mean that a separate treatment of China allows for a better consideration of China, as well as how the rest of emerging Asia behaves.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Blagrave & Peter Elliott & Mr. Roberto Garcia-Saltos & Mr. Douglas Hostland & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Fan Zhang, 2013. "Adding China to the Global Projection Model," IMF Working Papers 2013/256, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2013/256
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Jan Przystupa & Ewa Wróbel, 2016. "Modelling monetary transmission in less developed emerging markets: the case of Tunisia," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 47(5), pages 395-434.
    4. Ali Alichi & Kevin Clinton & Charles Freedman & Mr. Ondrej Kamenik & Michel Juillard & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Mr. Jarkko Turunen & Hou Wang, 2015. "Avoiding Dark Corners: A Robust Monetary Policy Framework for the United States," IMF Working Papers 2015/134, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Mr. Maurice Obstfeld & Kevin Clinton & Mr. Ondrej Kamenik & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Ms. Yulia Ustyugova & Hou Wang, 2016. "How to Improve Inflation Targeting in Canada," IMF Working Papers 2016/192, International Monetary Fund.
    6. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Singapore: 2016 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Singapore," IMF Staff Country Reports 2016/263, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Audzei, Volha & Brůha, Jan, 2022. "A model of the Euro area, China, and the United States: Trade links and trade wars," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    8. repec:nbp:nbpbik:v:47:y:2016:i:6:p:395-434 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Aguirre, John & Arrieta, Johar & Castillo, Luis E. & Florián, David & Ledesma, Alan & Martinez, Jefferson & Morales, Valeria & Vélez, Amilcar, 2023. "Modelo de Proyección Trimestral: Una Actualización Hasta 2019," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 42, pages 9-58.
    10. Zoltan Jakab & Pavel Lukyantsau & Mr. Shengzu Wang, 2015. "A Global Projection Model for Euro Area Large Economies," IMF Working Papers 2015/050, International Monetary Fund.
    11. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Singapore: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2016/264, International Monetary Fund.

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