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The Economic Consequences of the Doha Round for Ireland

Author

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  • Alan Matthews
  • Keith Walsh

Abstract

This paper provides a quantitative study of the economic effects of a stylised simulation of trade liberalisation for Ireland using the GTAP model. The experiment incorporates the liberalisation of agricultural, manufacturing and services trade as well as measures to improve trade facilitation. The simulation is implemented against a baseline projection of the Irish and world economy over the next decade. Overall, Ireland's welfare will increase as a result of further trade liberalisation, with particularly strong gains from services liberalisation. The industrial liberalisation scenario also generates positive gains to Ireland, while agricultural liberalisation has a slightly negative effect on the overall economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Alan Matthews & Keith Walsh, 2005. "The Economic Consequences of the Doha Round for Ireland," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp107, IIIS.
    • Handle: RePEc:iis:dispap:iiisdp107
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Harrison, W Jill & Pearson, K R, 1996. "Computing Solutions for Large General Equilibrium Models Using GEMPACK," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 9(2), pages 83-127, May.
    2. repec:esr:forcas:mtr09 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. W. Jill Harrison & J. Mark Horridge & K.R. Pearson, 2000. "Decomposing Simulation Results with Respect to Exogenous Shocks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 15(3), pages 227-249, June.
    4. Philippa Dee & Kevin Hanslow, 2013. "Multilateral Liberalization of Services Trade," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Services Trade Reform Making Sense of It, chapter 4, pages 69-95, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    5. Bergin, Adele & Cullen, Joe & Duffy, David & FitzGerald, John & Kearney, Ide & McCoy, Daniel, 2003. "Medium-Term Review 2003-2010, No. 9," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number MTR09, March.
    6. Alan Matthews & Keith Walsh, 2006. "The Economic Consequences of the Doha Round for Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 37(1), pages 47-69.
    7. Laurian Unnevehr & James Eales & Helen Jensen & Jayson Lusk & Jill McCluskey & Jean Kinsey, 2010. "Food and Consumer Economics," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 92(2), pages 506-521.
    8. Peter Walkenhorst & Tadashi Yasui, 2004. "Quantitative Assessment of the Benefits of Trade Facilitation," International Trade 0401008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Cited by:

    1. Antoine Bouët & Simon Mevel & David Orden, 2007. "More or Less Ambition in the Doha Round: Winners and Losers from Trade Liberalisation with a Development Perspective," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(8), pages 1253-1280, August.
    2. Jan Hagemejer & Ewa Kaliszuk, 2007. "Wpływ redukcji ceł na towary nierolne w rundzie Doha na handel zagraniczny Polski," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 5-6, pages 61-83.
    3. Alan Matthews & Keith Walsh, 2006. "The Economic Consequences of the Doha Round for Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 37(1), pages 47-69.
    4. Susanna Kinnman & Magnus Lodefalk, 2007. "What is at Stake in the Doha Round?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(8), pages 1305-1325, August.
    5. Michael King & Frank Barry & Alan Matthews, 2010. "Policy Coherence for Development: Five Challenges," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp335, IIIS, revised Aug 2010.

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    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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