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Us Deficit Sustainability Revisited: A Multiple Structural Change Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Óscar Bajo-Rubio

    (Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha and Instituto de Estudios Fiscales)

  • Carmen Díaz-Roldán

    (Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha)

  • Vicente Esteve

    (Universidad de Valencia)

Abstract

. In this paper we re-examine the long-run sustainability of US budget de…cits, using Bai and Perron’s multiple structural change approach. While the de…cit would have been weakly sustainable over the full sample (1947:1-2004:3), strong sustainability would appear only between 1982:1 and 1995:4.

Suggested Citation

  • Óscar Bajo-Rubio & Carmen Díaz-Roldán & Vicente Esteve, "undated". "Us Deficit Sustainability Revisited: A Multiple Structural Change Approach," Working Papers 19-05 Classification-JEL , Instituto de Estudios Fiscales.
    • Handle: RePEc:hpe:wpaper:y:2005:i:19
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    1. Bajo-Rubio, Oscar & Díaz-Roldán, Carmen & Esteve, Vicente, 2014. "Deficit sustainability, and monetary versus fiscal dominance: The case of Spain, 1850–2000," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 924-937.
    2. Paniagua, Jordi & Sapena, Juan & Tamarit, Cecilio, 2017. "Fiscal sustainability in EMU countries: A continued fiscal commitment?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 85-97.
    3. Bertrand Groslambert & Raphaël Chiappini & Olivier Bruno, 2015. "Bank Output Calculation in the Case of France: What Do New Methods Tell About the Financial Intermediation Services in the Aftermath of the Crisis?," GREDEG Working Papers 2015-32, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    4. Gordon L. Brady & Cosimo Magazzino, 2018. "Sustainability and comovement of government debt in EMU Countries: A panel data analysis," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 85(1), pages 189-202, July.
    5. Magazzino, Cosimo & Brady, Gordon L. & Forte, Francesco, 2019. "A panel data analysis of the fiscal sustainability of G-7 countries," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    6. Owolabi A. Usman & Dauda Gbolagade Adebisi, 2017. "A Structural Break Analysis of Fiscal Deficit Process in Nigeria," The Review of Black Political Economy, Springer;National Economic Association, vol. 44(3), pages 341-352, December.
    7. Chen, Shyh-Wei & Wu, An-Chi, 2018. "Is there a bubble component in government debt? New international evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 467-486.
    8. María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2020. "Fiscal Sustainability in Aging Societies: Evidence from Euro Area Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-20, December.
    9. Chen, Shyh-Wei, 2014. "Testing for fiscal sustainability: New evidence from the G-7 and some European countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-15.
    10. Akram, Vaseem & Rath, Badri Narayan, 2020. "What do we know about fiscal sustainability across Indian states?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 307-321.

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