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Multinational Electricity Market Integration and Electricity Price Dynamics

  • Lundgren, Jens

    ()

    (Department of Economics)

  • Hellström, Jörgen

    ()

    (Department of Economics)

  • Rudholm, Niklas

    ()

    (The Swedish Retail Institute)

Registered author(s):

    The paper empirically explores the electricity price dynamics in the Nordic electricity market, Nord Pool. In particular, the focus is on determining what effect the multinational market integration, during the years 1996-2006, has had on the conditional mean electricity price, its volatility, the price jump-intensity and the price jump size. Empirically the study reveals that the conditional mean electricity price increased when Finland joined the Nord Pool exchange, and the price remained at the higher level when Denmark also joined. Turning to the price volatility, this increased when Finland joined, mainly due to an increase in jump size, and decreased when Denmark also joined Nord Pool. However, the price jump-intensity decreased both when Finland and Denmark joined the market. This means that a large electricity market integration in Scandinavia seems to reduce the probability of sudden price jumps. That is, the multinational electricity market integration in Scandinavia seems to have created a market that handles external shocks to supply and demand better than the separate national electricity markets previous did.

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    Paper provided by HUI Research in its series HUI Working Papers with number 16.

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    Length: 24 pages
    Date of creation: 15 Apr 2008
    Date of revision:
    Publication status: Published as Lundgren, Jens, Jörgen Hellström and Niklas Rudholm, 'Multinational Electricity Market Integration and Electricity Price Dynamics' in Proceedings of the EEM 2008 - 5th International Conference on the European Electricity Market, 2008.
    Handle: RePEc:hhs:huiwps:0016
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    1. Geert Bekaert & Stephen F. Gray, 1999. "Target Zones and Exchange Rates: An Empirical Investigation," NBER Working Papers 5445, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Guthrie, Graeme & Videbeck, Steen, 2007. "Electricity spot price dynamics: Beyond financial models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 5614-5621, November.
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    12. Amundsen, Eirik S. & Bergman, Lars & Andersson, Bo, 1998. "Competition and Prices on the Emerging Nordic Electricity Market," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 217, Stockholm School of Economics.
    13. Amundsen, Eirik S. & Bergman, Lars, 2006. "Why has the Nordic electricity market worked so well?," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 148-157, September.
    14. Neely, Christopher J., 1999. "Target zones and conditional volatility: The role of realignments," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 177-192, April.
    15. Amundsen, E.S. & Bergman, L. & Andersson, B., 1998. "Competition and Prices on the Emerging Nordic Electricity Market," Norway; Department of Economics, University of Bergen 0298, Department of Economics, University of Bergen.
    16. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-70, March.
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