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Do Jumps Contribute to the Dynamics of the Equity Premium?

Author Info

Listed author(s):
  • John M. Maheu

    ()

    (Department of Economics, University of Toronto, Canada; RCEA, Italy)

  • Thomas H. McCurdy

    ()

    (Rotman School of Managment, University of Toronto, Canada; CIRANO, Canada)

  • Xiaofei Zhao

    ()

    (Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, Canada)

Abstract

This paper investigates whether risks associated with time-varying arrival of jumps and their effect on the dynamics of higher moments of returns are priced in the conditional mean of daily market excess returns. We find that jumps and jump dynamics are significantly related to the market equity premium. The results from our time-series approach reinforce the importance of the skewness premium found in cross-sectional studies using lower-frequency data; and offer a potential resolution to sometimes conflicting results on the intertemporal risk-return relationship. We use a general utility specification, consistent with our pricing kernel, to evaluate the relative value of alternative risk premium models in an out-of-sample portfolio performance application.

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Paper provided by The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis in its series Working Paper Series with number 47_12.

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Date of creation: Jun 2012
Handle: RePEc:rim:rimwps:47_12
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
  • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
  • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
  • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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Cited by:

  1. Peter Christoffersen & Bruno Feunou & Yoontae Jeon & Chayawat Ornthanalai, 2016. "Time-Varying Crash Risk: The Role of Stock Market Liquidity," Staff Working Papers 16-35, Bank of Canada.
  2. Kuttu, Saint, 2017. "Time-varying conditional discrete jumps in emerging African equity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 35-54.
  3. Erdemlioglu, Deniz & Laurent, Sébastien & Neely, Christopher J., 2015. "Which continuous-time model is most appropriate for exchange rates?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 256-268.
  4. Li, Gang & Zhang, Chu, 2016. "On the relationship between conditional jump intensity and diffusive volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 196-213.
  5. Jensen, Mark J & Maheu, John M, 2013. "Risk, Return and Volatility Feedback: A Bayesian Nonparametric Analysis," MPRA Paper 52132, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  6. Cerrato, Mario & Crosby, John & Kim, Minjoo & Zhao, Yang, 2017. "Relation between higher order comoments and dependence structure of equity portfolio," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 101-120.
  7. Nolte, Ingmar & Xu, Qi, 2015. "The economic value of volatility timing with realized jumps," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 45-59.

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