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Do jumps contribute to the dynamics of the equity premium?

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  • Maheu, John M.
  • McCurdy, Thomas H.
  • Zhao, Xiaofei

Abstract

This paper investigates whether risks associated with time-varying arrival of jumps and their effect on the dynamics of higher moments of returns are priced in the conditional mean of daily market excess returns. We find that jumps and jump dynamics are significantly related to the market equity premium. The results from our time-series approach reinforce the importance of the skewness premium found in cross-sectional studies using lower-frequency data; and offer a potential resolution to sometimes conflicting results on the intertemporal risk-return relationship. We use a general utility specification, consistent with our pricing kernel, to evaluate the relative value of alternative risk premium models in an out-of-sample portfolio performance application.

Suggested Citation

  • Maheu, John M. & McCurdy, Thomas H. & Zhao, Xiaofei, 2013. "Do jumps contribute to the dynamics of the equity premium?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 457-477.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:110:y:2013:i:2:p:457-477 DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.07.006
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    Cited by:

    1. Kuttu, Saint, 2017. "Time-varying conditional discrete jumps in emerging African equity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 35-54.
    2. Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risks, Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201762, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Li, Gang & Zhang, Chu, 2016. "On the relationship between conditional jump intensity and diffusive volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 196-213.
    4. Jensen, Mark J & Maheu, John M, 2013. "Risk, Return and Volatility Feedback: A Bayesian Nonparametric Analysis," MPRA Paper 52132, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Erdemlioglu, Deniz & Laurent, Sébastien & Neely, Christopher J., 2015. "Which continuous-time model is most appropriate for exchange rates?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 256-268.
    6. Cerrato, Mario & Crosby, John & Kim, Minjoo & Zhao, Yang, 2017. "Relation between higher order comoments and dependence structure of equity portfolio," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 101-120.
    7. Peter Christoffersen & Bruno Feunou & Yoontae Jeon & Chayawat Ornthanalai, 2016. "Time-Varying Crash Risk: The Role of Stock Market Liquidity," Staff Working Papers 16-35, Bank of Canada.
    8. Nolte, Ingmar & Xu, Qi, 2015. "The economic value of volatility timing with realized jumps," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 45-59.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Jumps; Higher-order moments; Skewness; Kurtosis; Equity premium;

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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