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Trader see, trader do: How do (small) FX traders react to large counterparties' trades?

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  • Menkhoff, Lukas
  • Schmeling, Maik

Abstract

We show that information about the counterparty of a trade affects the future trading decisions of individual traders. The effect is such that traders tend to reverse their order flow in line with the better-informed counterparties. Informed traders primarily incorporate their own private as well as publicly available information into prices, whereas uninformed traders mainly magnify the effect of the informed. This pattern of interaction among traders extends to different order types: traders treat their own and others' market orders as more informative than limit orders.

Suggested Citation

  • Menkhoff, Lukas & Schmeling, Maik, 2009. "Trader see, trader do: How do (small) FX traders react to large counterparties' trades?," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-415, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    • Handle: RePEc:han:dpaper:dp-415
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    3. Ranaldo, Angelo & Somogyi, Fabricius, 2021. "Asymmetric information risk in FX markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 391-411.
    4. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Wave function method to forecast foreign currencies exchange rates at ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper 67470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. King, Michael R. & Osler, Carol L. & Rime, Dagfinn, 2013. "The market microstructure approach to foreign exchange: Looking back and looking forward," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 95-119.
    6. Dennis, Patrick J. & Sandås, Patrik, 2014. "Does Trading Anonymously Enhance Liquidity?," Working Paper Series 288, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    7. Rita Biswas & Louis R. Piccotti & Ben Z. Schreiber, 2021. "Differential risk premiums and the UIP puzzle," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 50(1), pages 139-167, March.
    8. Gau, Yin-Feng & Wu, Zhen-Xing, 2014. "Order choices under information asymmetry in foreign exchange markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 106-118.
    9. Moore, Michael J. & Payne, Richard, 2011. "On the sources of private information in FX markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 1250-1262, May.
    10. Dennis, Patrick J. & Sandås, Patrik, 2020. "Does Trading Anonymously Enhance Liquidity?," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 55(7), pages 2372-2396, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign exchange microstructure; order flow; informed traders; counterparty identity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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