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Short-run pain, long-run gain: the conditional welfare gains from international financial integration

Author

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  • Raouf Boucekkine

    () (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, AMSE - Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - AMU - Aix Marseille Université)

  • Giorgio Fabbri

    () (Dipartimento Matematica e statistica - Université de Naples)

  • Patrick Pintus

    () (InSHS - Institut des Sciences Humaines et Sociales)

Abstract

This paper aims at clarifying the analytical conditions under which financial globalization originates welfare gains in a simple endogenous growth setting. We focus on an open-economy AK model in which the capital-deepening effect of financial globalization boosts growth in a in permanent but entails an entry cost in order to access international credit markets. We show that constrained borrowing triggers substantial welfare gains, even at small levels of international financial integration, provided that the autarkic growth rate is larger than the world interest rate. Such conditional welfare benefits boosted by stronger growth—long-run gain—arise in our preferred model without investment commitment and they range, relative to autarky, from about 2% in middle-income countries to about 13% in OECD-type countries under international financial integration. Sizeable benefits emerge despite the fact that consumption initially falls—short-run pain—which is, however, shown not to dwarf positive growth changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Raouf Boucekkine & Giorgio Fabbri & Patrick Pintus, 2018. "Short-run pain, long-run gain: the conditional welfare gains from international financial integration," Post-Print hal-02084239, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02084239
    DOI: 10.1007/s00199-016-1019-7
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal-amu.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02084239
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    Cited by:

    1. Fabbri, Giorgio, 2017. "International borrowing without commitment and informational lags: Choice under uncertainty," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 103-114.
    2. Marwân-al-Qays Bousmah & Daria Onori, 2016. "Financial Openness, Aggregate Consumption and Threshold Effects," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 358-380, August.
    3. Raouf Boucekkine & Aude Pommeret & Fabien Prieur, 2013. "On the timing and optimality of capital controls: Public expenditures, debt dynamics and welfare," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 9(1), pages 101-112, March.
    4. Raouf Boucekkine & Benteng Zou, 2019. "A Pedagogical Note on Risk Sharing Versus Instability in International Financial Integration: When Obstfeld Meets Stiglitz," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 179-190, February.
    5. Anne Epaulard & Aude Pommeret, 2016. "Financial Integration, Growth and Volatility," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 330-357, August.
    6. Wyatt J. Brooks & Pau S. Pujolas, 2018. "Capital accumulation and the welfare gains from trade," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 66(2), pages 491-523, August.
    7. Raouf Boucekkine & Benteng Zou, 2017. "A Note on Risk Sharing versus Instability in International Financial Integration: When Obstfeld Meets Stiglitz," AMSE Working Papers 1730, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    8. Boucekkine, R. & Fabbri, G. & Pintus, P., 2014. "Growth and financial liberalization under capital collateral constraints: The striking case of the stochastic AK model with CARA preferences," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(2), pages 303-307.
    9. Mauro Bambi & Cristina Girolami & Salvatore Federico & Fausto Gozzi, 2017. "Generically distributed investments on flexible projects and endogenous growth," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 63(2), pages 521-558, February.
    10. Philippe Darreau & Francois Pigalle, 2017. "International financial integration: Ramsey vs Solow," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1381-1392.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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