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External constraints and endogenous growth: Why didn't some countries benefit from capital flows?

Author

Listed:
  • Miguel A. Leon-Ledesma
  • Carine Nourry

    (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Karine Gente

    (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Empirical evidence on the growth benefits of capital inflows is mixed. The growth benefits accruing from capital inflows also appear to be larger for high savings countries. We explain this phenomenon using an \OLG\ model of endogenous growth in open economies with borrowing constraints that can generate both positive and negative growth effects of capital inflows. The amount an economy can borrow is restricted by an endogenous enforcement constraint. In our setting, with physical capital and a pay-as-you-go pensions system, the steady state is unique. However, it can either be constrained or unconstrained. In a constrained economy, opening up to equity and \FDI\ inflows can be bad for growth because it makes the domestic interest rate too low, which endogenously tightens borrowing constraints. Agents decrease savings and investment in productivity-enhancing activities resulting in lower growth. Results are reversed in an unconstrained economy. We also provide a quantitative analysis of these constraints and some policy implications.

Suggested Citation

  • Miguel A. Leon-Ledesma & Carine Nourry & Karine Gente, 2015. "External constraints and endogenous growth: Why didn't some countries benefit from capital flows?," Post-Print hal-01456127, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01456127
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2014.09.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Ibrahim D. Raheem & Sara le Roux & Simplice A. Asongu, 2019. "The Role of Asymmetry and Uncertainties in the Capital Flows- Economic Growth Nexus," Research Africa Network Working Papers 19/047, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    2. Faria, João Ricardo & McAdam, Peter, 2015. "Macroeconomic adjustment under regime change: From social contract to Arab Spring," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-22.
    3. repec:rim:rimwps:23-12 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Destrée, Nicolas & Gente, Karine & Nourry, Carine, 2021. "Migration, remittances and accumulation of human capital with endogenous debt constraints," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 38-60.
    5. Pan, Xuefeng & Wu, Weixing, 2022. "Can capital inflows reduce financing costs in emerging economies? Firm-level evidence from China and Malaysia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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