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The inflation bias under Calvo and Rotemberg pricing

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  • Campbell Leith
  • Ding Liu

Abstract

New Keynesian models rely heavily on two workhorse models of nominal inertia - price contracts of random duration (Calvo, 1983) and price adjustment costs (Rotemberg, 1982) - to generate a meaningful role for monetary policy. These alternative descriptions of price stickiness are often used interchangeably since, to a first order of approximation they imply an isomorhpic Phillips curve and, if the steady-state is efficient, identical objectives for the policy maker and as a result in an LQ framework, the same policy conclusions. In this paper we compute time-consistent optimal monetary policy in bench- mark New Keynesian models containing each form of price stickiness. Using global solution techniques we find that the in ation bias problem under Calvo contracts is significantly greater than under Rotemberg pricing, despite the fact that the for- mer typically exhibits far greater welfare costs of inflation. The rates of in inflation observed under this policy are non-trivial and suggest that the model can comfort- ably generate the rates of in ation at which the problematic issues highlighted in the trend in inflation literature emerge, as well as the movements in trend inflation emphasized in empirical studies of the evolution of inflation. Finally, we consider the response to cost push shocks across both models and find these can also be significantly different. The choice of which form of nominal inertia to adopt is not innocuous.

Suggested Citation

  • Campbell Leith & Ding Liu, 2014. "The inflation bias under Calvo and Rotemberg pricing," Working Papers 2014_06, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
  • Handle: RePEc:gla:glaewp:2014_06
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    Cited by:

    1. Leeper, Eric M. & Leith, Campbell & Liu, Ding, 2021. "Optimal Time-Consistent Monetary, Fiscal and Debt Maturity Policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 600-617.
    2. Cho, Daeha & Han, Yoonshin & Oh, Joonseok & Rogantini Picco, Anna, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks, precautionary pricing, and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    3. Ales Marsal & Katrin Rabitsch & Lorant Kaszab, 2023. "Undesired Consequences of Calvo Pricing in a Non-linear World," Working and Discussion Papers WP 1/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    4. Carlos Alberto Zarazúa Juárez, 2021. "Macroprudential regulation as part of the Mexican policy toolkit," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(1), pages 1-27, Enero - M.
    5. Leeper, E.M. & Leith, C., 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary–Fiscal Phenomenon," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2305-2415, Elsevier.
    6. Ronald Mau, 2023. "What Is in a Name? Purchases and Sales of Financial Assets as a Monetary Policy Instrument," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(6), pages 1507-1533, September.
    7. Campbell Leith & Eric Leeper, 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary-Fiscal Phenomenon," Working Papers 2016_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    8. Nakata, Taisuke, 2016. "Optimal fiscal and monetary policy with occasionally binding zero bound constraints," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 220-240.
    9. Cho, Deaha & Han, Yoonshin & Oh, Joonseok & Rogantini Picco, Anna, 2020. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Uncertainty Shocks," Dynare Working Papers 61, CEPREMAP.
    10. Ales Marsal & Katrin Rabitsch & Lorant Kaszab, 2023. "From Linear to Nonlinear: Rethinking Inflation Dynamics in the Calvo Pricing Mechanism," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp350, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    11. Carlos Alberto Zarazúa Juárez, 2021. "Macroprudential regulation as part of the Mexican policy toolkit," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(1), pages 1-27, Enero - M.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    New Keynesian Model; Monetary Policy; Rotemberg Pricing; Calvo Pricing; In ation Bias; Time-Consistent Policy.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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