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Understanding the subprime mortgage crisis

  • Yuliya Demyanyk
  • Otto Van Hemert

Using loan-level data, we analyze the quality of subprime mortgage loans by adjusting their performance for differences in borrower characteristics, loan characteristics, and macroeconomic conditions. We find that the quality of loans deteriorated for six consecutive years before the crisis and that securitizers were, to some extent, aware of it. We provide evidence that the rise and fall of the subprime mortgage market follows a classic lending boom-bust scenario, in which unsustainable growth leads to the collapse of the market. Problems could have been detected long before the crisis, but they were masked by high house price appreciation between 2003 and 2005.

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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago in its series Proceedings with number 1092.

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Length: 171-192
Date of creation: 2008
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Conference on Bank Structure and Competition (2008: 44th) ; Credit Market Turmoil: Causes, Consequences, and Causes
Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhpr:1092
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