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Heckscher-Ohlin Business Cycles

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  • Maffezzoli, Marco
  • Cuñat, Alejandro

Abstract

This Paper introduces Heckscher-Ohlin trade features into a two-country DSGE model, and studies how productivity shocks propagate through trade in goods. In comparison with standard models, the business cycle properties of our framework are broadly compatible with the empirical evidence. Moreover, the model yields some novel predictions that distinguish it from the existing international real business cycle literature: (1) transitory shocks to productivity have permanent effects on country-level aggregate variables; (2) aggregate productivity shocks have relevant effects on the sectoral allocation of production factors; (3) under complete asset markets, the international correlation of consumption is lower than that of output; (4) the model?s predictions on the correlation of the terms of trade with the main aggregate variables are compatible with the data.

Suggested Citation

  • Maffezzoli, Marco & Cuñat, Alejandro, 2002. "Heckscher-Ohlin Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 3382, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:3382
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    2. Ju, Jiandong & Shi, Kang & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2021. "Trade reforms and current account imbalances," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    3. Partha Sen, 2013. "Capital Accumulation and Convergence in a Small Open Economy," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 690-704, September.
    4. Yoshiyasu Ono & Akihisa Shibata, 2010. "Time Patience and Specialization Patterns in the Presence of Asset Trade," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(1), pages 93-112, February.
    5. Chatterjee, Partha & Shukayev, Malik, 2012. "A stochastic dynamic model of trade and growth: Convergence and diversification," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 416-432.
    6. Igor Fedotenkov & Lex Meijdam, 2013. "Crisis and Pension System Design in the EU: International Spillover Effects Via Factor Mobility and Trade," De Economist, Springer, vol. 161(2), pages 175-197, June.
    7. Ju, Jiandong & Lin, Justin Yifu & Liu, Qing & Shi, Kang, 2020. "Structural changes and the real exchange rate dynamics," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    8. Keyu Jin & Nan Li, 2018. "International Transmission with Heterogeneous Sectors," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 10(4), pages 36-76, October.
    9. Ju, Jiandong & Shi, Kang & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2021. "Trade reforms and current account imbalances," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    10. Claustre Bajona & Timothy J. Kehoe, 2006. "Demographics in dynamic Heckscher-Ohlin models: overlapping generations versus infinitely lived consumers," Staff Report 377, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    11. Almuth Scholl, 2002. "Limited Enforceable International Loans, International Risk Sharing and Trade," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-055, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany, revised Aug 2005.
    12. Rzigui, Lotfi, 2005. "External shocks and economic fluctuations: evidence from Tunisia," MPRA Paper 630, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2005.
    13. Jiandong Ju & Kang Shi & Shang-Jin Wei, 2011. "On the Connections between Intertemporal and Intra-temporal Trades," NBER Working Papers 17549, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Jin, Keyu, 2009. "Industrial structure and financial capital flows," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 25827, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    15. Sen, Partha, 2015. "Uncertain lifetimes and convergence in a two-country Heckscher–Ohlin model," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 14-20.
    16. repec:zbw:bofitp:2013_025 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Fedotenkov, I., 2012. "Pensions and ageing in a globalizing world. International spillover effects via trade and factor mobility," Other publications TiSEM 8830bc21-4138-4479-8459-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International trade; Heckscher-ohlin; Business cycles; Productivity shocks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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