Disaggregation of results from a detailed general equilibrium model of the US to the State level
This paper describes the regional extension of USAGE-ITC, a 500-order dynamic CGE model of the US that we are developing in collaboration with the International Trade Commission. With the regional extension, USAGE-ITC can project the effects on employment and output by state of policy and other shocks to the economy. The paper describes the theory and data underlying the regional extension, and provides an illustrative application concerned with the effects of elimination of US restraints on imports. In CGE modeling there are two broad approaches to generating regional results: bottoms-up and tops-down. Our approach here is tops-down with emphasis on the estimation of inter-regional flows of goods and services. As explained in the paper, the tops-down approach is adequate for analysis of economy-wide shocks such as changes in Federal policies. Bottoms-up modeling will be required for analysis of shocks in which the essence is a change in relative costs across regions.
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| Date of creation: | Apr 2004 |
| Date of revision: | |
| Handle: | RePEc:cop:wpaper:g-145 |
| Contact details of provider: | Postal: PO Box 14428, Melbourne, Victoria, 8001 Phone: 03 9919 1877 Web page: http://www.copsmodels.com/about.htm More information through EDIRC
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References listed on IDEAS
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- Pearson, K. R., 1988.
"Automating the computation of solutions of large economic models,"
Economic Modelling,
Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 385-395, October.
- K.R. Pearson, 1986. "Automating the Computation of Solutions of Large Economic Models," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers ip-27, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
- Naqvi, Farzana & Peter, Matthew W, 1996. "A Multiregional, Multisectoral Model of the Australian Economy with an Illustrative Application," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(66), pages 94-113, June.
- W. Jill Harrison & K.R. Pearson, 1994.
"Computing Solutions for Large General Equilibrium Models Using GEMPACK,"
Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers
ip-64, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
- Harrison, W Jill & Pearson, K R, 1996. "Computing Solutions for Large General Equilibrium Models Using GEMPACK," Computational Economics, Society for Computational Economics, vol. 9(2), pages 83-127, May.
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