IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ris/nereus/2022_005.html

Input-Output Analysis of the Ukraine War: A Tool for Assessing the Internal Territorial Impacts of the Conflict

Author

Listed:
  • Eduardo Haddad

    (Departamento de Economia, Universidade de São Paulo)

  • Inacio Araujo

    (Departamento de Economia, Universidade de São Paulo)

  • Ademir Rocha

    (Departamento de Economia, Universidade de São Paulo)

  • Karina Sass

    (Departamento de Economia, Universidade de São Paulo)

Abstract

The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, scaled up the ongoing conflict in Donbas beyond its regional borders, hindering and halting different aspects of economic life. Considering the internal geography of Ukraine’s economic structure, the damages to physical infrastructure and supply chain disruptions are likely to propagate to other parts of the country through an intricate plot of production and income linkages. From a disaggregated analysis of multiregional and multisectoral linkages, this paper offers a systematic, integrated account of the structural linkages that allows modeling spillovers from one Ukrainian region to another. This approach breaks new ground by highlighting the internal economic effects of the conflict in Ukraine. We develop an interregional input-output system for Ukraine, providing the numerical basis for developing analytical frameworks to support knowledge building in the recovery process of distressed territories during the post-war period. We offer this database to the international scientific community to support modeling projects focusing on structural features of the Ukrainian economy. As shown in our illustrative exercises, understanding the structure of intersectoral and interregional linkages is critical to understanding better the propagation of exogenous shocks in the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo Haddad & Inacio Araujo & Ademir Rocha & Karina Sass, 2022. "Input-Output Analysis of the Ukraine War: A Tool for Assessing the Internal Territorial Impacts of the Conflict," TD NEREUS 5-2022, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:nereus:2022_005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.usp.br/nereus/wp-content/uploads/TD-Nereus-05-2022.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: ris
    File URL: https://www.policycenter.ma/sites/default/files/2022-08/IIOS_Ukraine_2019_PCNS_NEREUS_final%20%281%29.xlsx
    File Function: Database
    Download Restriction: ris
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Courtney V. Bower & Mark J. Minton & John I. Carruthers, 2023. "Endogenously driven de‐peripheralization through political secession: The case of the Donbas region," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(7), pages 1647-1663, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:nereus:2022_005. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Eduardo Amaral Haddad (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/neuspbr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.