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The Cost of Grade Retention

  • Marco Manacorda

This paper uses administrative longitudinal micro data on the universe of Junior High school students in Uruguay to measure the effect of grade failure on students' subsequent school outcomes. Exploiting the discontinuity induced by a rule establishing automatic grade failure for pupils missing more than 25 days, I show that grade failure leads to substantial drop-out and lower educational attainment even after 4 to 5 years since the time when failure first occurred. Complementary evidence based on a change in the regime of grade promotion leads to very similar conclusions, suggesting that non-random sorting around the discontinuity point is unlikely to drive my results.

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File URL: http://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/dp0878.pdf
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Paper provided by Centre for Economic Performance, LSE in its series CEP Discussion Papers with number dp0878.

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Date of creation: Jul 2008
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Handle: RePEc:cep:cepdps:dp0878
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://cep.lse.ac.uk/_new/publications/series.asp?prog=CEP

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  1. Wilbert van der Klaauw, 2002. "Estimating the Effect of Financial Aid Offers on College Enrollment: A Regression-Discontinuity Approach," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 43(4), pages 1249-1287, November.
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  24. repec:feb:natura:0004 is not listed on IDEAS
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