IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cdp/texdis/td680.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Enhancing Industry-Modern Services Integration via Competitive Real Exchange Rates

Author

Listed:
  • Wallace P. Marcelino

    (UFPA)

  • Fabrício Missio

    (Cedeplar/UFMG)

  • Frederico G. Jayme Jr

    (Cedeplar/UFMG)

Abstract

This article discusses theoretically the role of the Real Exchange Rate (RER) on the integration of industrial and modern services sectors. It highlights the historical importance of manufacturing in economic growth and explains how deindustrialization since the 1970s has elevated the significance of modern services, which are critical for productivity and innovation. The symbiotic relationship between the manufacturing and services sectors is a vital force that induces pro-growth structural economic change. We demonstrate how competitive RER encourages structural adjustments and investments, promoting interaction between the manufacturing and services sectors, particularly in developing economies, thereby enhancing global competitiveness. In a two-cycle process, a competitive RER initially boosts profitability and external competitiveness, leading to increased automation and collaboration with modern services. This interaction catalyzes "amplified dynamic increasing returns to scale," driven by shared innovations. Over time, as sectors reap profits, they deepen their integration, improve products, and broaden market access. Consequently, the RER fosters a symbiotic relationship that is essential for sustainable economic development and competitiveness in international trade.

Suggested Citation

  • Wallace P. Marcelino & Fabrício Missio & Frederico G. Jayme Jr, 2025. "Enhancing Industry-Modern Services Integration via Competitive Real Exchange Rates," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 680, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdp:texdis:td680
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cedeplar.ufmg.br/pesquisas/td/TD%20680.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Charalambos Pattichis, 2012. "Exchange rate effects on trade in services," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 39(6), pages 697-708, October.
    2. Habib, Maurizio Michael & Mileva, Elitza & Stracca, Livio, 2017. "The real exchange rate and economic growth: Revisiting the case using external instruments," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB), pages 386-398.
    3. Barry Eichengreen & Poonam Gupta, 2013. "The two waves of service-sector growth," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 65(1), pages 96-123, January.
    4. Ariu, Andrea & Breinlich, Holger & Corcos, Gregory & Mion, Giordano, 2019. "The interconnections between services and goods trade at the firm-level," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 173-188.
    5. Brian Tavonga Mazorodze & Dev D. Tewari, 2018. "Real exchange rate undervaluation and sectoral growth in South Africa," African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(4), pages 462-476, July.
    6. Cainelli, Giulio & Mazzanti, Massimiliano, 2013. "Environmental innovations in services: Manufacturing–services integration and policy transmissions," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(9), pages 1595-1604.
    7. Anubha Dhasmana, 2015. "Transmission of real exchange rate changes to the manufacturing sector: The role of financial access," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 143, pages 48-69.
    8. Eichengreen, Barry & Gupta, Poonam, 2012. "The Real Exchange Rate and Export Growth: Are Services Different?," Working Papers 12/112, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    9. Paulo Vaz & Werner Baer, 2014. "Real exchange rate and manufacturing growth in Latin America," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 23(1), pages 1-17, December.
    10. Guzman, Martin & Ocampo, Jose Antonio & Stiglitz, Joseph E., 2018. "Real exchange rate policies for economic development," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 51-62.
    11. Fiona Tregenna, 2016. "Deindustrialization and premature deindustrialization," Chapters, in: Erik S. Reinert & Jayati Ghosh & Rainer Kattel (ed.), Handbook of Alternative Theories of Economic Development, chapter 38, pages 710-728, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    12. Fabrício José Missio & Frederico G. Jayme, 2012. "Structural Heterogeneity and Endogeneity of Elasticities on the Balance of Payments Constrained Growth Model," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Elias Soukiazis & Pedro A. Cerqueira (ed.), Models of Balance of Payments Constrained Growth, chapter 9, pages 239-267, Palgrave Macmillan.
    13. Bela Balassa, 1964. "The Purchasing-Power Parity Doctrine: A Reappraisal," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 72(6), pages 584-584.
    14. Charles Cadestin & Sébastien Miroudot, 2020. "Services exported together with goods," OECD Trade Policy Papers 236, OECD Publishing.
    15. Fiona Tregenna, 2009. "Characterising deindustrialisation: An analysis of changes in manufacturing employment and output internationally," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 33(3), pages 433-466, May.
    16. Dao, Mai Chi & Minoiu, Camelia & Ostry, Jonathan D., 2021. "Corporate investment and the real exchange rate," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    17. Miguel León-Ledesma & Alessio Moro, 2020. "The Rise of Services and Balanced Growth in Theory and Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(4), pages 109-146, October.
    18. Frenkel, Roberto & Ros, Jaime, 2006. "Unemployment and the real exchange rate in Latin America," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 631-646, April.
    19. Victor R. Fuchs, 1965. "The Growing Importance of the Service Industries," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number fuch65-1, June.
    20. Gilberto Lima & Gabriel Porcile, 2013. "Economic growth and income distribution with heterogeneous preferences on the real exchange rate," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 651-674.
    21. repec:dgr:rugccs:200311 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Hugo C Iasco-Pereira & Gilberto Libânio & Fabrício Missio, 2024. "The real exchange rate and industrial investment: new evidence for Brazil," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 48(4), pages 741-766.
    23. Bart van Ark & Robert Inklaar & Robert H. McGuckin, 2003. "ICT and Productivity in Europe and the United States Where Do the Differences Come From?," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 49(3), pages 295-318.
    24. Bart van Ark & Robert Inklaar & Robert H. McGuckin, 2003. "'Changing Gear': Productivity, ICT and Service Industries in Europe and the United States," Chapters, in: Jens Frøslev Christensen & Peter Maskell (ed.), The Industrial Dynamics of the New Digital Economy, chapter 3, pages 56-100, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    25. Manoranjan Sahoo & M. Suresh Babu & Umakant Dash, 2019. "Asymmetric effects of exchange rate movements on traditional and modern services exports: Evidence from a large emerging economy," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 508-531, May.
    26. Dani Rodrik, 2016. "Premature deindustrialization," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-33, March.
    27. Ark, Bart van & Inklaar, Robert & McGuckin, Robert H., 2003. "ICT and productivity in Europe and the United States," CCSO Working Papers 200311, University of Groningen, CCSO Centre for Economic Research.
    28. Gisela Di Meglio & Jorge Gallego & Andrés Maroto & Maria Savona, 2018. "Services in Developing Economies: The Deindustrialization Debate in Perspective," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 49(6), pages 1495-1525, November.
    29. Porcile, Gabriel & Sartorello Spinola, Danilo & Yajima, Giuliano, 2020. "Patterns of growth in structuralist models: The role of the real exchange rate and industrial policy," MERIT Working Papers 2020-027, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    30. Ajaya Kumar Panda & Swagatika Nanda, 2019. "The nexus between exchange rate and long-term investment in Indian manufacturing industry," Management Research Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 42(2), pages 174-198, February.
    31. Dani Rodrik, 2008. "The Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 39(2 (Fall)), pages 365-439.
    32. Yong Chen & Dingming Liu, 2018. "Dissecting Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations in China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(2), pages 288-306, January.
    33. Victor R. Fuchs, 1965. "Introduction to "The Growing Importance of the Service Industries"," NBER Chapters, in: The Growing Importance of the Service Industries, pages 1-4, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    34. Di Meglio, Gisela & Gallego, Jorge, 2022. "Disentangling services in developing regions: A test of Kaldor's first and second laws," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 221-229.
    35. Sukti Dasgupta & Ajit Singh, 2006. "Manufacturing, Services and Premature Deindustrialization in Developing Countries: A Kaldorian Analysis," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2006-49, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    36. Thomas Goda & Alejandro Torres García & Cristhian Larrahondo, 2024. "Real exchange rates and manufacturing exports in emerging economies: the role of sectoral heterogeneity and product complexity," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 160(3), pages 1057-1082, August.
    37. Pim Den Hertog, 2000. "Knowledge-Intensive Business Services As Co-Producers Of Innovation," International Journal of Innovation Management (ijim), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(04), pages 491-528.
    38. Eduardo Levy-Yeyati & Federico Sturzenegger, 2009. "Fear of Appreciation: Exchange Rate Policy as a Development Strategy," Chapters, in: Gill Hammond & Ravi Kanbur & Eswar Prasad (ed.), Monetary Policy Frameworks for Emerging Markets, chapter 5, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    39. Jen Baggs & Eugene Beaulieu & Loretta Fung, 2010. "Are Service Firms Affected By Exchange Rate Movements?," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 56(s1), pages 156-176, June.
    40. Bogale Hunegnaw, Fetene, 2017. "Real Exchange Rate and Manufacturing Export Competitiveness in Eastern Africa," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 32(4), pages 891-912.
    41. Ajaya Kumar Panda & Swagatika Nanda, 2019. "The nexus between exchange rate and long-term investment in Indian manufacturing industry," Management Research Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 42(2), pages 174-198, February.
    42. Charalambos Pattichis, 2012. "Exchange rate effects on trade in services," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 39(6), pages 697-708, December.
    43. Charalambos Pattichis, 2012. "Exchange rate effects on trade in services," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 39(6), pages 697-708, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wallace P. Marcelino & Fabrício Missio & Frederico G. Jayme Jr, 2025. "Revisiting Kaldor'S Laws: The Symbiosis Between Manufacturing And Services In Economic Growth," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 681, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    2. Amor, Thouraya Hadj & Nouira, Ridha & Rault, Christophe & Sova, Anamaria Diana, 2023. "Real exchange rate misalignments and economic growth in Tunisia: New evidence from a threshold analysis of asymmetric adjustments," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 215-227.
    3. Di Meglio, Gisela & Gallego, Jorge, 2022. "Disentangling services in developing regions: A test of Kaldor's first and second laws," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 221-229.
    4. Abdallah, Ali, 2022. "Dépréciation réelle de la monnaie et croissance économique [Can real currency depreciation lead growth?]," MPRA Paper 113183, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Firat Demir & Arslan Razmi, 2022. "The Real Exchange Rate And Development Theory, Evidence, Issues And Challenges," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 386-428, April.
    6. Yajima, Giuliano Toshiro & Nalin, Lorenzo, 2024. "Technological lock-in developing countries: The role of external financing," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 494-502.
    7. Basil Oberholzer, 2021. "Managing commodity booms: Dutch disease and economic performance," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 74(299), pages 307-323.
    8. Boire, Sidiki & Nell, Kevin S., 2021. "The enclave hypothesis and Dutch disease effect: A critical appraisal of Mali's gold mining industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    9. Teimouri, Sheida & Zietz, Joachim, 2018. "The impact of surges in net private capital inflows on manufacturing, investment, and unemployment," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 158-170.
    10. Ramos-Herrera María del Carmen, 2022. "How Equilibrium Exchange Rate Misalignments Influence on Economic Growth? Evidence for European Countries," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 199-211, January.
    11. Ribeiro, Rafael S.M. & McCombie, John S.L. & Lima, Gilberto Tadeu, 2020. "Does real exchange rate undervaluation really promote economic growth?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 408-417.
    12. Khalid, Waqar & Civcir, Irfan & Özdeşer, Hüseyin & Iqbal, Javed, 2023. "The asymmetric impact of real exchange rate misalignment on growth dynamics in Turkey," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(6), pages 1184-1203.
    13. Erten, Bilge & Metzger, Martina, 2019. "The real exchange rate, structural change, and female labor force participation," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 296-312.
    14. Hugo Iasco-Pereira & Fabricio José Missio, 2022. "Would a competitive real exchange rate be a driver of economic prosperity?," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 75(303), pages 355-383.
    15. Ashok Babubudjnauth & Boopen Seetanah, 2021. "An empirical analysis of the impacts of real exchange rate on GDP, manufacturing output and services sector in Mauritius," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1657-1669, April.
    16. Luciano Ferreira Gabriel & Luiz Carlos De Santana Ribeiro & Frederico Gonzaga Jayme Jr. & Jose Luis Oreiro, 2020. "Manufactoring, economic growth, and real exchange rate: Empirical evidence in panel data and input-output multipliers," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 73(292), pages 51-75.
    17. Palazzo, Gabriel & Rapetti, Martín, 2023. "From macro to micro and macro back: Macroeconomic trade elasticities in a developing economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 223-252.
    18. Çakır, Muhammet Sait & Aydemir, Resul, 2022. "A Dutch disease approach into the premature deindustrialization," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
    19. Ramos-Herrera, María del Carmen & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2023. "Economic growth and deviations from the equilibrium exchange rate," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 764-786.
    20. Giuliano Toshiro Yajima & Lorenzo Nalin, 2022. "Financial Barriers to Structural Change in Developing Economies: A Theoretical Framework," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_1004, Levy Economics Institute.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Industry-Modern Services Symbiosis; Real Exchange Rate; Economic Growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • L8 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cdp:texdis:td680. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Gustavo Britto (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/pufmgbr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.