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Corporate Investment and the Real Exchange Rate

Author

Listed:
  • Mai Dao
  • Ms. Camelia Minoiu
  • Mr. Jonathan David Ostry

Abstract

We examine the relationship between real exchange rate depreciations and indicators of firm performance using data for a sample of more than 30,000 firms from 66 (advanced and emerging market) countries over the 2000-2011 period. We show that depreciations boost profits, investment, and sales of firms that are more financially-constrained and have higher labor shares. These findings are consistent with the view that depreciations boost internal financing opportunities by reducing real wages, thereby spurring investment. We show that these effects on firm performance are enduring, including in the market valuation of firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Mai Dao & Ms. Camelia Minoiu & Mr. Jonathan David Ostry, 2017. "Corporate Investment and the Real Exchange Rate," IMF Working Papers 2017/183, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2017/183
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    Cited by:

    1. Abdallah, Ali, 2022. "Dépréciation réelle de la monnaie et croissance économique [Can real currency depreciation lead growth?]," MPRA Paper 113183, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Salimeh Abedini Birang & Rebecca Neumann & Saleh S. Tabrizy, 2025. "Exchange rates and investment: comparing the effects of export intensity and import competition," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 1-30, May.
    3. Huang, Wendi & Zhang, Weikang, 2024. "Exchange rate and corporate investment: Heterogeneous effects via the global value chain networks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    4. Bo Jiang & Tahsin Saadi Sedik, 2019. "The Turning Tide: How Vulnerable are Asian Corporates?," IMF Working Papers 2019/093, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Kuantan, Dhaha Praviandi & Siregar, Hermanto & Ratnawati, Anny & Juhro, Solikin M., 2021. "Corporate Investment Behavior and Level of Participation in the Global Value Chain: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach," MPRA Paper 115417, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Oct 2021.
    6. Wallace P. Marcelino & Fabrício Missio & Frederico G. Jayme Jr, 2025. "Enhancing Industry-Modern Services Integration via Competitive Real Exchange Rates," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 680, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    7. Wenbo Jia & Hao Jiang & Yiqing Lyv & Stavros Sindakis, 2025. "Uncertainty’s Effect on China’s Knowledge-Based Economy: Transformation Beyond Trade," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(1), pages 4684-4725, March.
    8. Minsuk Kim, 2019. "Financial Development, Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Debt Dollarization: A Firm-Level Evidence," IMF Working Papers 2019/168, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Nuwat Nookhwun & Jettawat Pattararangrong & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2025. "Exchange Rate Effects on Firm Performance: A NICER Approach," BIS Working Papers 1266, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Beck, Thorsten & Bednarek, Peter & te Kaat, Daniel Marcel & von Westernhagen, Natalja, 2021. "Exchange rate depreciations and local business cycles: The role of bank loan supply," Discussion Papers 52/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    11. Palazzo, Gabriel & Rapetti, Martín, 2023. "From macro to micro and macro back: Macroeconomic trade elasticities in a developing economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 223-252.
    12. Ryan Banerjee & Boris Hofmann & Aaron Mehrotra, 2022. "Corporate investment and the exchange rate: The financial channel," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 296-312, December.
    13. Palazzo, Gabriel, 2024. "Real exchange rate and import substitution episodes: Evidence from a developing economy," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    14. Alina Landowska & Robert A. K{l}opotek & Dariusz Filip & Konrad Raczkowski, 2025. "GDP-GFCF Dynamics Across Global Economies: A Comparative Study of Panel Regressions and Random Forest," Papers 2504.20993, arXiv.org.
    15. Dao, Mai Chi & Minoiu, Camelia & Ostry, Jonathan D., 2021. "Corporate investment and the real exchange rate," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    16. Shesadri Banerjee & M S Mohanty, 2021. "US monetary policy and the financial channel of the exchange rate: evidence from India," BIS Working Papers 945, Bank for International Settlements.

    More about this item

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    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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