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A long-run survival analysis of corporate liquidations in Ireland

Author

Listed:
  • Kelly, Robert

    (Central Bank of Ireland)

  • O'Brien, Eoin

    (Central Bank of Ireland)

  • Stuart, Rebecca

    (Central Bank of Ireland)

Abstract

This paper examines the role of credit and the macroeconomy in SME distress during a pro- longed economic downturn. Specifically, we estimate the determinants of SME distress in Ireland during the severe financial and economic crisis which began in 2007/2008. We use a measure of dis- tress, insolvencies, which captures both bank and non-bank forms of credit. We conduct a survival analysis of insolvent liquidations and find that, controlling for firm location and economic activity, both variables capturing a build-up of stress in the macroeconomy and those capturing bank credit standards and availability throughout the cycle are determinants of firm survival.

Suggested Citation

  • Kelly, Robert & O'Brien, Eoin & Stuart, Rebecca, 2014. "A long-run survival analysis of corporate liquidations in Ireland," Research Technical Papers 10/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbi:wpaper:10/rt/14
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Pilar Muñoz-Dueñas & Manuel Meijide-Vecino & Jesús F. Lampón & Antonio Vaamonde-Liste, 2024. "Do crises Really Catalyze Creative Destruction? A Critical Reflection on Firm Survival," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, June.
    2. Ichiro Iwasaki & Evžen Kočenda & Yoshisada Shida, 2022. "Institutions, financial development, and small business survival: evidence from European emerging markets," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1261-1283, March.
    3. Slaymaker, Rachel & O'Toole, Conor & McQuinn, Kieran & Fahy, Mike, 2018. "Monetary policy normalisation and mortgage arrears in a recovering economy: The case of the Irish residential market," Papers WP613, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    4. Jaka Cepec & Peter Grajzl & Barbara Mörec, 2022. "Public cash and modes of firm exit," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 247-298, January.
    5. Guimarães Barbosa, Evaldo, 2016. "The relationships between, on the hand, size, growth and age of the firm and, on the other hand, small business survival – a constructive critique and a proposal of a new framework," MPRA Paper 72111, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. O’Toole, Conor & Slaymaker, Rachel, 2021. "Repayment capacity, debt service ratios and mortgage default: An exploration in crisis and non-crisis periods," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    7. Sun, Ruohan & Zhou, Nan & Zhang, Bing, 2023. "Can bank branch establishment help SMEs survive? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    8. McInerney, Niall, 2019. "Macroprudential Policy, Banking and the Real Estate Sector," MPRA Paper 91777, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Andrés Navarro-Galera & Juan Lara-Rubio & Pavel Novoa-Hernández & Carlos A. Cruz Corona, 2025. "Using Decision Trees to Predict Insolvency in Spanish SMEs: Is Early Warning Possible?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(1), pages 91-116, January.
    10. Bergin, Adele & Conroy, Niall & Garcia Rodriguez, Abian & Holland, Dawn & McInerney, Niall & Morgenroth, Edgar & Smith, Donal, 2017. "COSMO: A new COre Structural MOdel for Ireland," Papers WP553, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    11. Zhou, Nan & Sun, Ruohan, 2024. "Coping with the storm: The role of fintech in SME survival," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • D20 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - General
    • L0 - Industrial Organization - - General

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