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Robert Kelly

Personal Details

First Name:Robert
Middle Name:
Last Name:Kelly
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pke227
http://www.centralbank.ie
Terminal Degree: Department of Economics, Finance and Accounting; Maynooth University (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

Central Bank of Ireland

Dublin, Ireland
http://www.centralbank.ie/

: (01) 671 6666
(01) 671 6561
P.O. Box No. 559, Dame Street, Dublin 2
RePEc:edi:cbigvie (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Byrne, David & Kelly, Robert, 2017. "Bank Asset Quality & Monetary Policy Pass-Through," Research Technical Papers 11/RT/17, Central Bank of Ireland.
  2. Byrne, David & Kelly, Robert & O'Toole, Conor, 2017. "How does monetary policy pass-through affect mortgage default? Evidence from the Irish mortgage market," Research Technical Papers 04/RT/17, Central Bank of Ireland.
  3. Kelly, Robert & O'Toole, Conor, 2016. "Lending Conditions and Loan Default: What Can We Learn From UK Buy-to-Let Loans?," Research Technical Papers 04/RT/16, Central Bank of Ireland.
  4. Kelly, Robert & McQuinn, Kieran, 2015. "Do Sovereign-bank Inter-linkages affect the Net Cost of a Fiscal Stimulus?," Papers RB2015/1/4, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  5. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2015. "Households in long-term mortgage arrears:lessons from economic research," Economic Letters 11/EL/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
  6. Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terence & O'Toole, Conor, 2015. "Designing Macro-prudential Policy in Mortgage Lending: Do First Time Buyers Default Less?," Research Technical Papers 02/RT/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
  7. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2015. "Some defaults are deeper than others: Understanding long-term mortgage arrears," Research Technical Papers 05/RT/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
  8. Kelly, Robert & Lyons, Paul & O'Toole, Conor, 2015. "Mortgage Interest Rate Types in Ireland," Economic Letters 09/EL/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
  9. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal & O'Toole, Conor, 2015. "Credit conditions, macroprudential policy and house prices," Research Technical Papers 06/RT/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
  10. Gaffney, Edward & Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2014. "A transitions-based framework for estimating expected credit losses," Research Technical Papers 16/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
  11. Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terence, 2014. "A Transitions-Based Model of Default for Irish Mortgages," Research Technical Papers 17/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
  12. Kelly, Robert & O'Brien, Eoin & Stuart, Rebecca, 2014. "A long-run survival analysis of corporate liquidations in Ireland," Research Technical Papers 10/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
  13. Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terry & O'Toole, Conor, 2014. "Do first time buyers default less? Implications for macro-prudential policy," Economic Letters 14/EL/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
  14. Gaffney, Edward & Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal & Lyons, Paul, 2014. "Loan loss forecasting: a methodological overview," Economic Letters 13/EL/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
  15. Hallissey, Niamh & Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terry, 2014. "Macro-prudential Tools and Credit Risk of Property Lending at Irish banks," Economic Letters 10/EL/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
  16. Kelly, Robert & McQuinn, Kieran, 2013. "On the hook for impaired bank lending: Do sovereign-bank inter-linkages affect the fiscal multiplier?," Research Technical Papers 01/RT/13, Central Bank of Ireland.
  17. Kelly, Robert & McQuinn, Kieran & Stuart, Rebecca, 2011. "Exploring the Steady-State Relationship between Credit and GDP for a Small Open Economy - The Case of Ireland," Research Technical Papers 1/RT/11, Central Bank of Ireland.
  18. Conniffe, Denis & Kelly, Robert, 2011. "Structural Breaks - An Instrumental Variable Approach," Research Technical Papers 4/RT/11, Central Bank of Ireland.
  19. Kelly, Robert, 2011. "The Good, The Bad and The Impaired - A Credit Risk Model of the Irish Mortgage Market," Research Technical Papers 13/RT/11, Central Bank of Ireland.
  20. Kelly, Robert & McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran, 2011. "Impairment and Negative Equity in the Irish Mortgage Market," Research Technical Papers 9/RT/11, Central Bank of Ireland.
  21. Browne, Frank & Kelly, Robert, 2009. "Money and uncertainty in democratised financial markets," Research Technical Papers 16/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.

Articles

  1. Kelly, Robert & O’Toole, Conor, 2018. "Mortgage default, lending conditions and macroprudential policy: Loan-level evidence from UK buy-to-lets," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 322-335.
  2. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2016. "Some defaults are deeper than others: Understanding long-term mortgage arrears," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 15-27.
  3. Kelly, Robert & O’Malley, Terence, 2016. "The good, the bad and the impaired: A credit risk model of the Irish mortgage market," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 1-9.
  4. Robert Kelly & Eoin Brien & Rebecca Stuart, 2015. "A long-run survival analysis of corporate liquidations in Ireland," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 671-683, March.
  5. Robert Kelly & Kieran McQuinn, 2014. "On the Hook for Impaired Bank Lending: Do Sovereign-Bank Interlinkages Affect the Net Cost of a Fiscal Stimulus?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(3), pages 95-128, September.
  6. Kelly, Robert & McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran, 2012. "Impairment and negative equity in the Irish mortgage market," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 256-268.
  7. David Cronin & Robert Kelly & Bernard Kennedy, 2011. "Money growth, uncertainty and macroeconomic activity: a multivariate GARCH analysis," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 38(2), pages 155-167, May.
  8. Robert Kelly & Kieran Mcquinn & Rebecca Stuart, 2011. "Exploring the Steady-State Relationship Between Credit and GDP for a Small Open Economy–The Case Of Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 42(4), pages 455-477.
  9. Browne, Frank & Kelly, Robert, 2010. "Central Bank Credibility and Income Velocity in a Monetary Union," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 77-92, October.
  10. Robert Kelly, 2008. "Opening and Closing Asymmetry: Empirical Analysis from ISE Xetra," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 39(1), pages 55-78.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Byrne, David & Kelly, Robert & O'Toole, Conor, 2017. "How does monetary policy pass-through affect mortgage default? Evidence from the Irish mortgage market," Research Technical Papers 04/RT/17, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. McCann, Fergal, 2018. "Resolving a Non-Performing Loan crisis: the ongoing case of the Irish mortgage market," ESRB Working Paper Series 71, European Systemic Risk Board.

  2. Kelly, Robert & O'Toole, Conor, 2016. "Lending Conditions and Loan Default: What Can We Learn From UK Buy-to-Let Loans?," Research Technical Papers 04/RT/16, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Keenan, Enda & Kinghan, Christina & McCarthy, Yvonne & O'Toole, Conor, 2016. "Macroprudential Measures and Irish Mortgage Lending: A Review of Recent Data," Economic Letters 03/EL/16, Central Bank of Ireland.

  3. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2015. "Households in long-term mortgage arrears:lessons from economic research," Economic Letters 11/EL/15, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. McCann, Fergal, 2018. "Resolving a Non-Performing Loan crisis: the ongoing case of the Irish mortgage market," ESRB Working Paper Series 71, European Systemic Risk Board.

  4. Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terence & O'Toole, Conor, 2015. "Designing Macro-prudential Policy in Mortgage Lending: Do First Time Buyers Default Less?," Research Technical Papers 02/RT/15, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Lydon, Reamonn & McCann, Fergal, 2017. "The income distribution and the Irish mortgage market," Economic Letters 05/EL/17, Central Bank of Ireland.
    2. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2015. "Households in long-term mortgage arrears:lessons from economic research," Economic Letters 11/EL/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
    3. Mark Cassidy & Niamh Hallissey, 2016. "The Introduction of Macroprudential Measures for the Irish Mortgage Market," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 47(2), pages 271-297.
    4. Keenan, Enda & Kinghan, Christina & McCarthy, Yvonne & O'Toole, Conor, 2016. "Macroprudential Measures and Irish Mortgage Lending: A Review of Recent Data," Economic Letters 03/EL/16, Central Bank of Ireland.
    5. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Ireland; Financial Sector Assessment Program: Technical Note-Macroprudential Policy Framework," IMF Staff Country Reports 16/316, International Monetary Fund.

  5. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2015. "Some defaults are deeper than others: Understanding long-term mortgage arrears," Research Technical Papers 05/RT/15, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2015. "Households in long-term mortgage arrears:lessons from economic research," Economic Letters 11/EL/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
    2. McCann, Fergal, 2017. "Borrower-lender engagement during the Irish mortgage arrears crisis," Economic Letters 17/EL/17, Central Bank of Ireland.
    3. Danne, Christian & McGuinness, Anne, 2016. "Mortgage modifications and loan performance," Research Technical Papers 05/RT/16, Central Bank of Ireland.

  6. Kelly, Robert & Lyons, Paul & O'Toole, Conor, 2015. "Mortgage Interest Rate Types in Ireland," Economic Letters 09/EL/15, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. McIndoe-Calder, Tara, 2017. "Debt giveth and debt taketh away: mortgage debt burdens in Ireland," Economic Letters 11/EL/17, Central Bank of Ireland.
    2. Jean Cassidy, 2016. "Understanding long-term mortgage arrears in Ireland: insights from macro and micro data," IFC Bulletins chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Combining micro and macro data for financial stability analysis, volume 41 Bank for International Settlements.

  7. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal & O'Toole, Conor, 2015. "Credit conditions, macroprudential policy and house prices," Research Technical Papers 06/RT/15, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Bank for International Settlements, 2016. "Experiences with the ex ante appraisal of macroprudential instruments," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 56.
    2. Peter Lindner & Nicolás Albacete, 2017. "Simulating impacts of borrower based macroprudential policies on mortgages and the real estate sector in Austria – evidence from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey 2014," IFC Bulletins chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Data needs and Statistics compilation for macroprudential analysis, volume 46 Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Jean-Francois Carpantier & Javier Olivera Angulo & Philippe Van Kerm, 2017. "Macroprudential policy and household wealth inequality," Working Papers Department of Economics 584609, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    4. Tatiana Cesaroni, 2018. "Average time to sell a property and credit conditions: evidence from the Italian Housing Market Survey," Working Papers LuissLab 18136, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
    5. Nicolas Albacete & Peter Lindner, 2017. "Simulating the impact of borrower-based macroprudential policies on mortgages and the real estate sector in Austria – evidence from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey 2014," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 33, pages 52-68.
    6. John V. Duca & Lilit Popoyan & Susan M. Wachter, 2016. "Real Estate and the Great Crisis: Lessons for Macro-Prudential Policy," LEM Papers Series 2016/30, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    7. Kinghan, Christina & McCarthy, Yvonne & O'Toole, Conor, 2016. "The Effects of Macroprudential Policy on Borrower Leverage," Economic Letters 08/EL/16, Central Bank of Ireland.

  8. Gaffney, Edward & Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2014. "A transitions-based framework for estimating expected credit losses," Research Technical Papers 16/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Kelly, Robert & O'Toole, Conor, 2016. "Lending Conditions and Loan Default: What Can We Learn From UK Buy-to-Let Loans?," Research Technical Papers 04/RT/16, Central Bank of Ireland.
    2. Gaffney, Edward & Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal & Lyons, Paul, 2014. "Loan loss forecasting: a methodological overview," Economic Letters 13/EL/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Ireland; Financial Sector Assessment Program: Technical Note-Nonbank Sector Stability Analyses," IMF Staff Country Reports 16/317, International Monetary Fund.
    4. McCann, Fergal, 2014. "Modelling default transitions in the UK mortgage market," Research Technical Papers 18/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
    5. Joyce, John & McCann, Fergal, 2016. "Model-based estimates of the resilience of mortgages at origination," Economic Letters 09/EL/16, Central Bank of Ireland.
    6. Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terence & O'Toole, Conor, 2015. "Designing Macro-prudential Policy in Mortgage Lending: Do First Time Buyers Default Less?," Research Technical Papers 02/RT/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
    7. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Ireland; Financial Sector Assessment Program: Technical Note-Macroprudential Policy Framework," IMF Staff Country Reports 16/316, International Monetary Fund.

  9. Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terence, 2014. "A Transitions-Based Model of Default for Irish Mortgages," Research Technical Papers 17/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Gaffney, Edward & Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal & Lyons, Paul, 2014. "Loan loss forecasting: a methodological overview," Economic Letters 13/EL/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
    2. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2015. "Households in long-term mortgage arrears:lessons from economic research," Economic Letters 11/EL/15, Central Bank of Ireland.

  10. Kelly, Robert & O'Brien, Eoin & Stuart, Rebecca, 2014. "A long-run survival analysis of corporate liquidations in Ireland," Research Technical Papers 10/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Guimarães Barbosa, Evaldo, 2016. "The relationships between, on the hand, size, growth and age of the firm and, on the other hand, small business survival – a constructive critique and a proposal of a new framework," MPRA Paper 72111, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Bergin, Adele & Conroy, Niall & Garcia Rodriguez, Abian & Holland, Dawn & McInerney, Niall & Morgenroth, Edgar & Smith, Donal, 2017. "COSMO: A new COre Structural MOdel for Ireland," Papers WP553, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

  11. Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terry & O'Toole, Conor, 2014. "Do first time buyers default less? Implications for macro-prudential policy," Economic Letters 14/EL/14, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2015. "Some defaults are deeper than others: Understanding long-term mortgage arrears," Research Technical Papers 05/RT/15, Central Bank of Ireland.

  12. Gaffney, Edward & Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal & Lyons, Paul, 2014. "Loan loss forecasting: a methodological overview," Economic Letters 13/EL/14, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Ireland; Financial Sector Assessment Program: Technical Note-Macroprudential Policy Framework," IMF Staff Country Reports 16/316, International Monetary Fund.

  13. Hallissey, Niamh & Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terry, 2014. "Macro-prudential Tools and Credit Risk of Property Lending at Irish banks," Economic Letters 10/EL/14, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo & João Barata R B Barroso & Rodrigo Barbone Gonzalez, 2017. "Loan-to-value policy and housing finance: effects on constrained borrowers," BIS Working Papers 673, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Ireland; Financial Sector Assessment Program: Technical Note-Nonbank Sector Stability Analyses," IMF Staff Country Reports 16/317, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terry & O'Toole, Conor, 2014. "Do first time buyers default less? Implications for macro-prudential policy," Economic Letters 14/EL/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
    4. Gross, Marco & Población García, Francisco Javier, 2016. "Assessing the efficacy of borrower-based macroprudential policy using an integrated micro-macro model for European households," Working Paper Series 1881, European Central Bank.
    5. Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terence, 2014. "A Transitions-Based Model of Default for Irish Mortgages," Research Technical Papers 17/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
    6. Kelly, Robert, 2011. "The Good, The Bad and The Impaired - A Credit Risk Model of the Irish Mortgage Market," Research Technical Papers 13/RT/11, Central Bank of Ireland.
    7. Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo & João Barata Ribeiro Blanco Barroso & Rodrigo Barbone Gonzalez, 2016. "Loan-To-Value Policy and Housing Loans: effects on constrained borrowers," Working Papers Series 445, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    8. Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terence & O'Toole, Conor, 2015. "Designing Macro-prudential Policy in Mortgage Lending: Do First Time Buyers Default Less?," Research Technical Papers 02/RT/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
    9. Gross, Marco & Población, Javier, 2017. "Assessing the efficacy of borrower-based macroprudential policy using an integrated micro-macro model for European households," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 510-528.
    10. Kelly, Robert & Lyons, Paul & O'Toole, Conor, 2015. "Mortgage Interest Rate Types in Ireland," Economic Letters 09/EL/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
    11. Keenan, Enda & Kinghan, Christina & McCarthy, Yvonne & O'Toole, Conor, 2016. "Macroprudential Measures and Irish Mortgage Lending: A Review of Recent Data," Economic Letters 03/EL/16, Central Bank of Ireland.
    12. Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der Gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung (ed.), 2015. "Zukunftsfähigkeit in den Mittelpunkt. Jahresgutachten 2015/16," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201516, April.
    13. Cussen, Mary & O'Brien, Martin & Onorante, Luca & O'Reilly, Gerard, 2015. "Assessing the impact of macroprudential measures," Economic Letters 03/EL/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
    14. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Ireland; Financial Sector Assessment Program: Technical Note-Macroprudential Policy Framework," IMF Staff Country Reports 16/316, International Monetary Fund.

  14. Kelly, Robert & McQuinn, Kieran, 2013. "On the hook for impaired bank lending: Do sovereign-bank inter-linkages affect the fiscal multiplier?," Research Technical Papers 01/RT/13, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Rory McElligott & Martin O'Brien, 2014. "The evolution of loan level data in Ireland," IFC Bulletins chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Proceedings of the Porto Workshop on "Integrated management of micro-databases", volume 37, pages 18-23 Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Duffy, David & Foley, Daniel & McQuinn, Kieran, 2016. "Cross Country Residential Investment Rates and the Implications for the Irish Housing Market," Quarterly Economic Commentary: Special Articles, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    3. Linn, Andrew & Kelly, Anne-Marie & Bailey, Samuel, 2014. "Irish Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities – Preliminary Analysis of Loan-Level Data," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 60-70, October.

  15. Kelly, Robert & McQuinn, Kieran & Stuart, Rebecca, 2011. "Exploring the Steady-State Relationship between Credit and GDP for a Small Open Economy - The Case of Ireland," Research Technical Papers 1/RT/11, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. José Alves & Rita Pereira, 2017. "The Portuguese Households' Indebtedness," Working Papers Department of Economics 2017/07, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    2. Itumeleng Pleasure Mongale & Tumelo Mashamaite & Nyiko Khoza, 2018. "Household savings, financing and economic growth in South Africa," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, vol. 14(1), pages 105-116, January.
    3. Robert Kelly & Kieran McQuinn, 2014. "On the Hook for Impaired Bank Lending: Do Sovereign-Bank Interlinkages Affect the Net Cost of a Fiscal Stimulus?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(3), pages 95-128, September.
    4. Lawless, Martina & Mc Inerney, Niall & McQuinn, Kieran & O'Toole, Conor, 2014. "Credit Requirements for Irish Firms in the Economic Recovery," Quarterly Economic Commentary: Special Articles, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    5. Giray Gozgor, 2015. "Causal relation between economic growth and domestic credit in the economic globalization: Evidence from the Hatemi-J's test," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 395-408, April.
    6. Christian Castro & Ángel Estrada & Jorge Martínez, 2016. "The countercyclical capital buffer in spain: an analysis of key guiding indicators," Working Papers 1601, Banco de España;Working Papers Homepage.
    7. Bermingham, Colin & Conefrey, Thomas, 2014. "The Irish macroeconomic response to an external shock with an application to stress testing," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 454-470.
    8. Mary M. Everett, 2015. "Blowing the Bubble: The Global Funding of the Irish Credit Boom," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 46(3), pages 339-365.
    9. Creedon, Conn & O'Brien, Eoin, 2016. "Indicators for Setting the Countercyclical Capital Buffer," Economic Letters 02/EL/16, Central Bank of Ireland.
    10. Aisling Menton & Martina Sherman, 2015. "Analysis of the Irish SME market using micro-data," IFC Bulletins chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Indicators to support monetary and financial stability analysis: data sources and statistical methodologies, volume 39 Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Dušan Stojanović & Danilo Stojanović, 2015. "Excessive Credit Growth Or Catching Up Process: The Case Of Central, Eastern And Southeastern European Countries," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics, University of Belgrade, vol. 60(206), pages 7-44, July - Se.
    12. Zsuzsanna Hosszú & Gyöngyi Körmendi & Bence Mérõ, 2015. "Univariate and multivariate filters to measure the credit gap," MNB Occasional Papers 2015/118, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).

  16. Kelly, Robert, 2011. "The Good, The Bad and The Impaired - A Credit Risk Model of the Irish Mortgage Market," Research Technical Papers 13/RT/11, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Thorvardur Tjörvi Ólafsson & Karen Á. Vignisdóttir, 2012. "Households’ position in the financial crisis in Iceland. Analysis based on a nationwide household-level database," Economics wp59, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    2. Rory McElligott & Martin O'Brien, 2014. "The evolution of loan level data in Ireland," IFC Bulletins chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Proceedings of the Porto Workshop on "Integrated management of micro-databases", volume 37, pages 18-23 Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Kelly, Robert & O'Toole, Conor, 2016. "Lending Conditions and Loan Default: What Can We Learn From UK Buy-to-Let Loans?," Research Technical Papers 04/RT/16, Central Bank of Ireland.
    4. Lawless, Martina & McCann, Fergal, 2012. "Determinants of default: Evidence from a sector-level panel of Irish SME loans," Research Technical Papers 03/RT/12, Central Bank of Ireland.
    5. McCann, Fergal & McIndoe-Calder, Tara, 2012. "Determinants of SME Loan Default: The Importance of Borrower-Level Heterogeneity," Research Technical Papers 06/RT/12, Central Bank of Ireland.
    6. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Ireland; Financial Sector Assessment Program: Technical Note-Nonbank Sector Stability Analyses," IMF Staff Country Reports 16/317, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2015. "Some defaults are deeper than others: Understanding long-term mortgage arrears," Research Technical Papers 05/RT/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
    8. Rebecca Williams, 2017. "Business cycle review: 2008 to present day," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 80, pages 1-22, March.
    9. McCann, Fergal, 2014. "Modelling default transitions in the UK mortgage market," Research Technical Papers 18/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
    10. Lozej, Matija & Onorante, Luca & Rannenberg, Ansgar, 2018. "Countercyclical capital regulation in a small open economy DSGE model," Working Paper Series 2144, European Central Bank.
    11. Byrne, David & Kelly, Robert & O'Toole, Conor, 2017. "How does monetary policy pass-through affect mortgage default? Evidence from the Irish mortgage market," Research Technical Papers 04/RT/17, Central Bank of Ireland.
    12. Gaffney, Edward & Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2014. "A transitions-based framework for estimating expected credit losses," Research Technical Papers 16/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
    13. Hallissey, Niamh & Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terry, 2014. "Macro-prudential Tools and Credit Risk of Property Lending at Irish banks," Economic Letters 10/EL/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
    14. Lydon, Reamonn, 2013. "Do households with debt problems spend less?," Economic Letters 02/EL/13, Central Bank of Ireland.
    15. McCann, Fergal, 2018. "Resolving a Non-Performing Loan crisis: the ongoing case of the Irish mortgage market," ESRB Working Paper Series 71, European Systemic Risk Board.
    16. McCann, Fergal & Ryan, Ellen, 2016. "Originating Loan to Value ratios and the resilience of mortgage portfolios," Economic Letters 10/EL/16, Central Bank of Ireland.
    17. Michael Pedersen, 2016. "Pass-Through, Expectations, and Risks. What Affects Chilean Banks’ Interest Rates?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 780, Central Bank of Chile.
    18. Lydon, Reamonn & McCarthy, Yvonne, 2011. "What Lies Beneath? Understanding Recent Trends in Irish Mortgage Arrears," Research Technical Papers 14/RT/11, Central Bank of Ireland.
    19. McGuinness, Anne, 2011. "The Distribution of Property Level Mortgage Arrears," Economic Letters 06/EL/11, Central Bank of Ireland.
    20. Joyce, John & McCann, Fergal, 2016. "Model-based estimates of the resilience of mortgages at origination," Economic Letters 09/EL/16, Central Bank of Ireland.
    21. Kelly, Robert & O'Malley, Terence & O'Toole, Conor, 2015. "Designing Macro-prudential Policy in Mortgage Lending: Do First Time Buyers Default Less?," Research Technical Papers 02/RT/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
    22. Robert Kelly & Kieran McQuinn, 2014. "On the Hook for Impaired Bank Lending: Do Sovereign-Bank Interlinkages Affect the Net Cost of a Fiscal Stimulus?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(3), pages 95-128, September.
    23. Gross, Marco & Población, Javier, 2017. "Assessing the efficacy of borrower-based macroprudential policy using an integrated micro-macro model for European households," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 510-528.
    24. Mark Cassidy & Niamh Hallissey, 2016. "The Introduction of Macroprudential Measures for the Irish Mortgage Market," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 47(2), pages 271-297.
    25. Kelly, Jane & Kennedy, Gerard & McIndoe-Calder, Tara, 2014. "Interest-only mortgages in Ireland," Economic Letters 05/EL/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
    26. Richard Waldron & Declan Redmond, 2016. "Stress in Suburbia: Counting the Costs of Ireland's Property Crash and Mortgage Arrears Crisis," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 107(4), pages 484-501, September.
    27. Kelly, Robert & McQuinn, Kieran, 2013. "On the hook for impaired bank lending: Do sovereign-bank inter-linkages affect the fiscal multiplier?," Research Technical Papers 01/RT/13, Central Bank of Ireland.
    28. Neumann, Tobias, 2018. "Mortgages: estimating default correlation and forecasting default risk," Bank of England working papers 708, Bank of England.

  17. Kelly, Robert & McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran, 2011. "Impairment and Negative Equity in the Irish Mortgage Market," Research Technical Papers 9/RT/11, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Kennedy, Gerard & McIndoe-Calder, Tara, 2012. "The Irish Mortgage Market: Stylised Facts, Negative Equity and Arrears," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 85-108, February.
    2. McCarthy, Yvonne, 2014. "Dis-entangling the mortgage arrears crisis: The rolw of the labour market, income volatility and housing equity," Research Technical Papers 02/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
    3. McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran, 2014. "Deleveraging in a highly indebted property market: Who does it and are there implications for household consumption?," Research Technical Papers 05/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
    4. McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran, 2013. "Price expectations, distressed mortgage markets and the housing wealth effect," Research Technical Papers 06/RT/13, Central Bank of Ireland.
    5. Lydon, Reamonn & McCarthy, Yvonne, 2011. "What Lies Beneath? Understanding Recent Trends in Irish Mortgage Arrears," Research Technical Papers 14/RT/11, Central Bank of Ireland.
    6. McGuinness, Anne, 2011. "The Distribution of Property Level Mortgage Arrears," Economic Letters 06/EL/11, Central Bank of Ireland.
    7. McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran, 2017. "Credit conditions in a boom and bust property market: Insights for macro-prudential policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 171-182.
    8. McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran, 2013. "Credit conditions in a boom and bust property market," Research Technical Papers 08/RT/13, Central Bank of Ireland.
    9. Linn, Andrew & Kelly, Anne-Marie & Bailey, Samuel, 2014. "Irish Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities – Preliminary Analysis of Loan-Level Data," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 60-70, October.

Articles

  1. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal, 2016. "Some defaults are deeper than others: Understanding long-term mortgage arrears," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 15-27.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Kelly, Robert & O’Malley, Terence, 2016. "The good, the bad and the impaired: A credit risk model of the Irish mortgage market," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 1-9. See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Robert Kelly & Eoin Brien & Rebecca Stuart, 2015. "A long-run survival analysis of corporate liquidations in Ireland," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 671-683, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Robert Kelly & Kieran McQuinn, 2014. "On the Hook for Impaired Bank Lending: Do Sovereign-Bank Interlinkages Affect the Net Cost of a Fiscal Stimulus?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(3), pages 95-128, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Cronin, David & McQuinn, Kieran, 2016. "Credit availability, macroprudential regulations and the house price-to-rent ratio," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 971-984.
    2. Duffy, David & Mc Inerney, Niall & McQuinn, Kieran, 2015. "Macroprudential Policy in a Recovering Market: Too Much too Soon?," Papers WP500, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    3. Cronin, David & McQuinn, Kieran, 2014. "Irish Fiscal Policy in Good Times and in Bad: Its Impact During Different Stages of the Economic Cycle," Quarterly Economic Commentary: Special Articles, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    4. McQuinn, Kieran, 2017. "Irish house prices: Déjà vu all over again?," Quarterly Economic Commentary: Special Articles, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    5. Addison-Smyth, Diarmaid & McQuinn, Kieran, 2016. "Assessing the Sustainable Nature of Housing-related Taxation Receipts: The case of Ireland," Papers RB2016/3/6, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    6. Niall McInerney, 2016. "A Structural Model of Macroprudential Policy: the Case of Ireland," EcoMod2016 9643, EcoMod.
    7. McQuinn, Kieran, 2017. "The changing relationship between affordability and house prices: a cross-country examination," Papers WP560, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    8. Bergin, Adele & Conroy, Niall & Garcia Rodriguez, Abian & Holland, Dawn & McInerney, Niall & Morgenroth, Edgar & Smith, Donal, 2017. "COSMO: A new COre Structural MOdel for Ireland," Papers WP553, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    9. McQuinn, Kieran, 2014. "Bubble, Bubble Toil and Trouble? An Assessment of the Current State of the Irish Housing Market," Quarterly Economic Commentary: Special Articles, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

  5. Kelly, Robert & McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran, 2012. "Impairment and negative equity in the Irish mortgage market," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 256-268.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. David Cronin & Robert Kelly & Bernard Kennedy, 2011. "Money growth, uncertainty and macroeconomic activity: a multivariate GARCH analysis," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 38(2), pages 155-167, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Artur Tarassow, 2017. "Forecasting growth of U.S. aggregate and household-sector M2 after 2000 using economic uncertainty measures," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201702, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    2. Pei-Tha Gan, 2014. "The Optimal Economic Uncertainty Index: A Grid Search Application," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 43(2), pages 159-182, February.
    3. Havvanur Feyza Erdem & Rahmi Yamak, 2016. "Measuring The Optimal Macroeconomic Uncertainty Index For Turkey," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics, University of Belgrade, vol. 61(210), pages 7-22, July - Se.
    4. Ingrid Groessl & Artur Tarassow, 2018. "A Microfounded Model of Money Demand Under Uncertainty, and some Empirical Evidence," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201802, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    5. Guerello, Chiara, 2016. "The effect of investors’ confidence on monetary policy transmission mechanism," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 248-266.

  7. Robert Kelly & Kieran Mcquinn & Rebecca Stuart, 2011. "Exploring the Steady-State Relationship Between Credit and GDP for a Small Open Economy–The Case Of Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 42(4), pages 455-477.
    See citations under working paper version above.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 22 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-BAN: Banking (14) 2011-12-13 2013-04-20 2014-11-01 2014-12-24 2014-12-29 2015-01-31 2015-07-04 2015-08-19 2016-01-18 2016-01-18 2016-08-21 2017-04-02 2017-04-16 2018-02-05. Author is listed
  2. NEP-URE: Urban & Real Estate Economics (14) 2011-10-01 2011-12-13 2013-04-20 2014-11-01 2014-12-29 2015-01-03 2015-01-31 2015-08-19 2016-01-18 2016-01-18 2016-01-18 2016-08-21 2017-04-02 2017-04-16. Author is listed
  3. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (8) 2011-04-02 2013-08-23 2015-07-04 2016-01-18 2016-08-21 2017-04-02 2017-04-16 2018-02-05. Author is listed
  4. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (6) 2011-12-13 2014-12-29 2015-01-03 2015-01-31 2015-07-04 2016-08-21. Author is listed
  5. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (5) 2009-12-19 2011-04-02 2015-07-04 2017-04-02 2017-04-16. Author is listed
  6. NEP-EUR: Microeconomic European Issues (3) 2016-01-18 2016-01-18 2017-04-16
  7. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (3) 2009-12-19 2017-04-16 2018-02-05
  8. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (1) 2011-04-02
  9. NEP-EEC: European Economics (1) 2018-02-05
  10. NEP-PAY: Payment Systems & Financial Technology (1) 2016-01-18

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