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Forecasters’ Objectives and Strategies

In: Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Author

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  • Marinovic, Iván
  • Ottaviani, Marco
  • Sorensen, Peter

Abstract

This chapter develops a unified modeling framework for analyzing the strategic behavior of forecasters. The theoretical model encompasses reputational objectives, competition for the best accuracy, and bias. Also drawing from the extensive literature on analysts, we review the empirical evidence on strategic forecasting and illustrate how our model can be structurally estimated.

Suggested Citation

  • Marinovic, Iván & Ottaviani, Marco & Sorensen, Peter, 2013. "Forecasters’ Objectives and Strategies," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 690-720, Elsevier.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofch:2-690
    DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-444-62731-5.00012-9
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