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Giovanni Pellegrino

Personal Details

First Name:Giovanni
Middle Name:
Last Name:Pellegrino
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:ppe799
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
https://sites.google.com/site/giovannipellegrinopg/

Affiliation

Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research (MIAESR)
Faculty of Business and Economics
University of Melbourne

Melbourne, Australia
http://www.melbourneinstitute.com/

+61 3 8344 2100
+61 3 8344 2111
The University of Melbourne, Victoria 3010
RePEc:edi:mimelau (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Olivier Damette & Antoine Parent & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Liquidity Traps and Large-Scale Financial Crises," CESifo Working Paper Series 7096, CESifo.
  2. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Uncertainty-dependent Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: A New Keynesian Interpretation," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0219, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
  3. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Estimating the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," CESifo Working Paper Series 6622, CESifo.
  4. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Uncertainty-dependent Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: A New Keynesian Interpretation," CESifo Working Paper Series 6821, CESifo.
  5. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Olivier Damette & Antoine Parent & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises," Post-Print halshs-01675562, HAL.
  6. Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Real Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n15, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
  7. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Caggiano & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2015. "Estimating the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0200, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
  8. Giovanni Pellegrino, 2015. "Uncertainty And Monetary Policy In The US: A Journey Into Non-Linear Territory," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0184, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".

Articles

  1. Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2018. "Uncertainty-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks: A new-Keynesian interpretation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 277-296.
  2. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Macroeconomic Policies in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Back to Keynes?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 51(1), pages 70-86, March.
  3. Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2018. "Uncertainty and the real effects of monetary policy shocks in the Euro area," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 177-181.
  4. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2017. "Estimating the real effects of uncertainty shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 257-272.
  5. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "A Short Review of the Recent Literature on Uncertainty," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 50(1), pages 68-78, March.
  6. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Damette, Olivier & Parent, Antoine & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2017. "Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 99-114.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Olivier Damette & Antoine Parent & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Liquidity Traps and Large-Scale Financial Crises," CESifo Working Paper Series 7096, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Antoine Le Riche & Francesco Magris & Antoine Parent, 2016. "Liquidity Trap and Stability of Taylor Rules," Working Papers halshs-01313002, HAL.

  2. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Uncertainty-dependent Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: A New Keynesian Interpretation," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0219, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".

    Cited by:

    1. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Bottero, Margherita, 2020. "Bank lending in uncertain times," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    2. Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Manuel M. F. Martins & Maria Joana Soares, 2019. "The Phillips Curve at 60: time for time and frequency," CEF.UP Working Papers 1902, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    3. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2019. "What Do We Know About the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 52(1), pages 78-93, March.
    4. Toni Beutler & Matthias Gubler & Simona Hauri & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2020. "Bank lending in Switzerland: Capturing cross-sectional heterogeneity and asymmetry over time," Working Papers 2020-12, Swiss National Bank.
    5. Julius Loermann, 2021. "The impact of CHF/EUR exchange rate uncertainty on Swiss exports to the Eurozone: evidence from a threshold VAR," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1363-1385, March.
    6. Sangyup Choi & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "Uncertainty, Financial Markets, and Monetary Policy over the Last Century," Working papers 2019rwp-142, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    7. Aye, G.C. & Clance, M. & Gupta, R., 2018. "The Effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Shocks on U.S. Inequality: The Role of Uncertainty," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277037, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0234, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    9. Vania Esady, 2019. "Real and Nominal Effects of Monetary Shocks under Time-Varying Disagreement," CESifo Working Paper Series 7956, CESifo.
    10. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Domestic and Global Uncertainty: A Survey and Some New Results," CESifo Working Paper Series 7900, CESifo.
    11. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Domestic and global uncertainty: A survey and some new results," CAMA Working Papers 2019-75, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Equity Market Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201851, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Hasan, Iftekhar & Kwak, Boreum & Li, Xiang, 2020. "Financial technologies and the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission," IWH Discussion Papers 26/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    14. Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87, December.
    15. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7697, CESifo.
    16. Herwartz, Helmut & Rohloff, Hannes, 2018. "Less bang for the buck? Assessing the role of inflation uncertainty for U.S. monetary policy transmission in a data rich environment," Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research Discussion Papers 358, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    17. Silvia Albrizio & Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "International Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 2019/234, International Monetary Fund.
    18. Aguirre, Idoia & Vázquez, Jesús, 2020. "Learning, parameter variability, and swings in US macroeconomic dynamics," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    19. Martin M. Andreasen & Mads Dang, 2019. "Estimating the Price Markup in the New Keynesian Model," CREATES Research Papers 2019-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    20. Julius Loermann, 2018. "The Impact of CHF/EUR Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Swiss Exports to the Eurozone: Evidence from a Threshold VAR," FIW Working Paper series 189, FIW, revised Feb 2019.
    21. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay C. Lim, 2018. "What Do We Know about the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," CESifo Working Paper Series 7366, CESifo.
    22. Bruce Preston, 2017. "Discussion of Is Monetary Policy Less Effective When Interest Rates Are Persistently Low?," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Jonathan Hambur & John Simon (ed.),Monetary Policy and Financial Stability in a World of Low Interest Rates, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    23. Magnus Reif, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates," ifo Working Paper Series 265, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    24. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Macroeconomic Policies in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Back to Keynes?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 51(1), pages 70-86, March.
    25. Murgia, Lucia M., 2020. "The effect of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic variables: Evidence from the Eurozone," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).

  3. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Estimating the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," CESifo Working Paper Series 6622, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and the great recession: Nonlinearities matter," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    2. Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks and financial crisis indicators," Discussion Papers 36/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    3. Belke, Ansgar & Kronen, Dominik, 2017. "The impact of uncertainty on macro variables: An SVAR-based empirical analysis for EU countries," Ruhr Economic Papers 699, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    4. Laurent Ferrara & Stéphane Lhuissier & Fabien Tripier, 2017. "Uncertainty Fluctuations: Measures, Effects and Macroeconomic Policy Challenges," CEPII Policy Brief 2017-20, CEPII research center.
    5. Jackson Laura E. & Kliesen Kevin L. & Owyang Michael T., 2020. "The nonlinear effects of uncertainty shocks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-19, September.
    6. Angelini, Giovanni & Fanelli, Luca, 2018. "Exogenous uncertainty and the identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions with external instruments," MPRA Paper 93864, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised May 2019.
    7. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    8. Berg, Tim Oliver, 2019. "Business Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In Germany," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 1442-1470, June.
    9. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2018. "Risk management-driven policy rate gap," CAMA Working Papers 2018-34, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    10. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Kima, Richard, 2020. "The global effects of Covid-19-induced uncertainty," Research Discussion Papers 11/2020, Bank of Finland.
    11. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé, 2017. "The impact of US policy uncertainty on the monetary effectiveness in the Euro area," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1052-1064.
    12. Martin Seneca, 2020. "Risk Shocks and Monetary Policy in the New Normal," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(6), pages 185-232, December.
    13. Mirela Miescu, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Working Papers 277077821, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    14. Efrem Castelnuovo & Trung Duc Tran, 2017. "Google It Up! A Google Trends-based Uncertainty Index for the United States and Australia," CESifo Working Paper Series 6695, CESifo.
    15. Qazi Haque & Leandro M. Magnusson, 2020. "Uncertainty shocks and inflation dynamics in the U.S," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 20-25, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    16. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
    17. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2019. "What Do We Know About the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 52(1), pages 78-93, March.
    18. Martin Seneca, 2017. "Risk Shocks Close to the Zero Lower Bound," 2017 Meeting Papers 107, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    19. Ahmed, Ali & Granberg, Mark & Troster, Victor & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2020. "Asymmetric Dynamics between Uncertainty and Unemployment Flows in the United States," LiU Working Papers in Economics 7, Linköping University, Division of Economics, Department of Management and Engineering.
    20. Efrem Castelnuovo & Trung Duc Tran, 2017. "Google It Up! A Google Trends-Based Uncertainty Index for the United States and Australia," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n27, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    21. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2017-06, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    22. Hamish Burrell & Joaquin Vespignani, 2019. "The industrial impact of economic uncertainty shocks in Australia," CAMA Working Papers 2019-89, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    23. Goemans, Pascal & Belke, Ansgar, 2019. "Uncertainty and non-linear macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in the US: A SEIVAR-based analysis," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203538, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    24. Lopez-Buenache, German, 2019. "The evolution of monetary policy effectiveness under macroeconomic instability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 221-233.
    25. Silvia Delrio, 2016. "Estimating the effects of global uncertainty in open economies," Working Papers 2016:19, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    26. Sangyup Choi & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "Uncertainty, Financial Markets, and Monetary Policy over the Last Century," Working papers 2019rwp-142, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    27. Adalgiso Amendola & Mario di Serio & Matteo Fragetta & Giovanni Melina, 2019. "The Euro-Area Government Spending Multiplier at the Effective Lower Bound," IMF Working Papers 2019/133, International Monetary Fund.
    28. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0234, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    30. Belke, Ansgar & Osowski, Thomas, 2017. "International effects of euro area versus US policy uncertainty: A FAVAR approach," Ruhr Economic Papers 689, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    31. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Domestic and Global Uncertainty: A Survey and Some New Results," CESifo Working Paper Series 7900, CESifo.
    32. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Domestic and global uncertainty: A survey and some new results," CAMA Working Papers 2019-75, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    33. Jan Prüser & Alexander Schlösser, 2020. "On the Time‐Varying Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the US Economy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(5), pages 1217-1237, October.
    34. Istiak, Khandokar & Serletis, Apostolos, 2020. "Risk, uncertainty, and leverage," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 257-273.
    35. Belke, Ansgar & Göcke, Matthias, 2019. "Interest rate hysteresis in macroeconomic investment under uncertainty," Ruhr Economic Papers 801, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    36. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Equity Market Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201851, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    37. Caballero, Ricardo & Simsek, Alp, 2019. "A Risk-centric Model of Demand Recessions and Speculation," CEPR Discussion Papers 13815, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    38. Prüser, Jan & Schlösser, Alexander, 2018. "On the time-varying effects of economic policy uncertainty on the US economy," Ruhr Economic Papers 761, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    39. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2018. "Risk Management-Driven Policy Rate Gap," CESifo Working Paper Series 7177, CESifo.
    40. Nikolay Hristov & Markus Roth, 2019. "Uncertainty Shocks and Financial Crisis Indicators," CESifo Working Paper Series 7839, CESifo.
    41. Nguyen, Bao H. & Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi, 2019. "Asymmetric reactions of the US natural gas market and economic activity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 86-99.
    42. Angelini, Giovanni & Costantini, Mauro & Easaw, Joshy, 2018. "Uncertainty and spillover effects across the Euro area," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    43. Bergmann, Philip, 2019. "Oil price shocks and GDP growth: Do energy shares amplify causal effects?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1010-1040.
    44. Di Serio, Mario & Fragetta, Matteo & Gasteiger, Emanuel, 2020. "The government spending multiplier at the zero lower bound: Evidence from the United States," ECON WPS - Working Papers in Economic Theory and Policy 04/2020, TU Wien, Institute of Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics, Economics Research Unit.
    45. Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2018. "Uncertainty-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks: A new-Keynesian interpretation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 277-296.
    46. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7697, CESifo.
    47. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2016. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: The Role of US Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201620, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    48. Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in the US: A Journey into Non-Linear Territory," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n06, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    49. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay C. Lim, 2018. "What Do We Know about the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," CESifo Working Paper Series 7366, CESifo.
    50. Manfred M. Fischer & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for predicting government bond yields," Papers 2102.13393, arXiv.org.
    51. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
    52. Belke, Ansgar & Goemans, Pascal, 2019. "Uncertainty and non-linear macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in the US: A SEIVAR-based analysis," Ruhr Economic Papers 826, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    53. Schüler, Yves S., 2020. "The impact of uncertainty and certainty shocks," Discussion Papers 14/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    54. Ricardo Caballero & Güneş Kamber, 2019. "On the global Impact of risk-off shocks and policy-put frameworks," BIS Working Papers 772, Bank for International Settlements.
    55. Neri, Stefano & Nobili, Andrea & Conti, Antonio M., 2017. "Low inflation and monetary policy in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2005, European Central Bank.
    56. Laurent FERRARA & Stéphane LHUISSIER & Fabien TRIPIER, 2018. "Uncertainty and macroeconomics: transmission channels and policy implications," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 61, April.
    57. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," CESifo Working Paper Series 6630, CESifo.
    58. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    59. AMENDOLA, Adalgiso & DI SERIO, Mario & FRAGETTA, Matteo, 2018. "The Government Spending Multiplier at the Zero Lower Bound: Evidence from the Euro Area," CELPE Discussion Papers 153, CELPE - Centre of Labour Economics and Economic Policy, University of Salerno, Italy.
    60. Steven J. Davis, 2019. "Rising Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 26243, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    61. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Macroeconomic Policies in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Back to Keynes?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 51(1), pages 70-86, March.
    62. Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús & Huber, Florian & Onorante, Luca, 2020. "Fragility and the effect of international uncertainty shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    63. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Uncertainty-dependent Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: A New Keynesian Interpretation," CESifo Working Paper Series 6821, CESifo.
    64. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Richard Kima, 2020. "The Global Effects of Covid-19-Induced Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 8280, CESifo.
    65. Bańbura, Marta & Albani, Maria & Ambrocio, Gene & Bursian, Dirk & Buss, Ginters & de Winter, Jasper & Gavura, Miroslav & Giordano, Claire & Júlio, Paulo & Le Roux, Julien & Lozej, Matija & Malthe-Thag, 2018. "Business investment in EU countries," Occasional Paper Series 215, European Central Bank.
    66. Gregor Bäurle & Daniel Kaufmann, 2018. "Measuring Exchange Rate, Price, and Output Dynamics at the Effective Lower Bound," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(6), pages 1243-1266, December.
    67. G. Angelini & L. Fanelli, 2018. "Identification and estimation issues in Structural Vector Autoregressions with external instruments," Working Papers wp1122, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.

  4. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Uncertainty-dependent Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: A New Keynesian Interpretation," CESifo Working Paper Series 6821, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Bottero, Margherita, 2020. "Bank lending in uncertain times," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    2. Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Manuel M. F. Martins & Maria Joana Soares, 2019. "The Phillips Curve at 60: time for time and frequency," CEF.UP Working Papers 1902, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    3. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2019. "What Do We Know About the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 52(1), pages 78-93, March.
    4. Toni Beutler & Matthias Gubler & Simona Hauri & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2020. "Bank lending in Switzerland: Capturing cross-sectional heterogeneity and asymmetry over time," Working Papers 2020-12, Swiss National Bank.
    5. Julius Loermann, 2021. "The impact of CHF/EUR exchange rate uncertainty on Swiss exports to the Eurozone: evidence from a threshold VAR," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1363-1385, March.
    6. Sangyup Choi & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "Uncertainty, Financial Markets, and Monetary Policy over the Last Century," Working papers 2019rwp-142, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    7. Aye, G.C. & Clance, M. & Gupta, R., 2018. "The Effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Shocks on U.S. Inequality: The Role of Uncertainty," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277037, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0234, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    9. Vania Esady, 2019. "Real and Nominal Effects of Monetary Shocks under Time-Varying Disagreement," CESifo Working Paper Series 7956, CESifo.
    10. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Domestic and Global Uncertainty: A Survey and Some New Results," CESifo Working Paper Series 7900, CESifo.
    11. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Domestic and global uncertainty: A survey and some new results," CAMA Working Papers 2019-75, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Equity Market Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201851, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Hasan, Iftekhar & Kwak, Boreum & Li, Xiang, 2020. "Financial technologies and the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission," IWH Discussion Papers 26/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    14. Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87, December.
    15. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7697, CESifo.
    16. Herwartz, Helmut & Rohloff, Hannes, 2018. "Less bang for the buck? Assessing the role of inflation uncertainty for U.S. monetary policy transmission in a data rich environment," Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research Discussion Papers 358, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    17. Silvia Albrizio & Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "International Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 2019/234, International Monetary Fund.
    18. Aguirre, Idoia & Vázquez, Jesús, 2020. "Learning, parameter variability, and swings in US macroeconomic dynamics," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    19. Martin M. Andreasen & Mads Dang, 2019. "Estimating the Price Markup in the New Keynesian Model," CREATES Research Papers 2019-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    20. Julius Loermann, 2018. "The Impact of CHF/EUR Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Swiss Exports to the Eurozone: Evidence from a Threshold VAR," FIW Working Paper series 189, FIW, revised Feb 2019.
    21. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay C. Lim, 2018. "What Do We Know about the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," CESifo Working Paper Series 7366, CESifo.
    22. Bruce Preston, 2017. "Discussion of Is Monetary Policy Less Effective When Interest Rates Are Persistently Low?," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Jonathan Hambur & John Simon (ed.),Monetary Policy and Financial Stability in a World of Low Interest Rates, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    23. Magnus Reif, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates," ifo Working Paper Series 265, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    24. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Macroeconomic Policies in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Back to Keynes?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 51(1), pages 70-86, March.
    25. Murgia, Lucia M., 2020. "The effect of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic variables: Evidence from the Eurozone," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).

  5. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Olivier Damette & Antoine Parent & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises," Post-Print halshs-01675562, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Antoine Le Riche & Francesco Magris & Antoine Parent, 2016. "Liquidity Trap and Stability of Taylor Rules," Working Papers halshs-01313002, HAL.

  6. Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Real Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n15, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.

    Cited by:

    1. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and the great recession: Nonlinearities matter," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    2. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    3. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Bottero, Margherita, 2020. "Bank lending in uncertain times," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    4. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Kima, Richard, 2020. "The global effects of Covid-19-induced uncertainty," Research Discussion Papers 11/2020, Bank of Finland.
    5. Belke, Ansgar & Volz, Ulrich, 2019. "Capital flows to emerging market and developing economies: Global liquidity and uncertainty versus country-specific pull factors," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203629, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    6. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Olivier Damette & Antoine Parent & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises," Post-Print halshs-01675562, HAL.
    7. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2019. "What Do We Know About the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 52(1), pages 78-93, March.
    8. Jiang, Yonghong & He, Luli & Meng, Juan & Nie, He, 2019. "Nonlinear impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks on credit scale: Evidence from China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 626-634.
    9. Toni Beutler & Matthias Gubler & Simona Hauri & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2020. "Bank lending in Switzerland: Capturing cross-sectional heterogeneity and asymmetry over time," Working Papers 2020-12, Swiss National Bank.
    10. Julius Loermann, 2021. "The impact of CHF/EUR exchange rate uncertainty on Swiss exports to the Eurozone: evidence from a threshold VAR," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1363-1385, March.
    11. Peter Tillmann, 2018. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and the Response of the Yield Curve to Policy Shocks," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2018_004, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    12. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2017-06, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    13. Lopez-Buenache, German, 2019. "The evolution of monetary policy effectiveness under macroeconomic instability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 221-233.
    14. Aye, G.C. & Clance, M. & Gupta, R., 2018. "The Effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Shocks on U.S. Inequality: The Role of Uncertainty," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277037, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    15. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0234, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    16. Vania Esady, 2019. "Real and Nominal Effects of Monetary Shocks under Time-Varying Disagreement," CESifo Working Paper Series 7956, CESifo.
    17. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Domestic and Global Uncertainty: A Survey and Some New Results," CESifo Working Paper Series 7900, CESifo.
    18. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Domestic and global uncertainty: A survey and some new results," CAMA Working Papers 2019-75, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    19. Hasan, Iftekhar & Kwak, Boreum & Li, Xiang, 2020. "Financial technologies and the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission," IWH Discussion Papers 26/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    20. Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87, December.
    21. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2017. "Estimating the real effects of uncertainty shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 257-272.
    22. Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2018. "Uncertainty-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks: A new-Keynesian interpretation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 277-296.
    23. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7697, CESifo.
    24. Herwartz, Helmut & Rohloff, Hannes, 2018. "Less bang for the buck? Assessing the role of inflation uncertainty for U.S. monetary policy transmission in a data rich environment," Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research Discussion Papers 358, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    25. Silvia Albrizio & Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "International Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 2019/234, International Monetary Fund.
    26. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Olivier Damette & Antoine Parent & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Liquidity Traps and Large-Scale Financial Crises," CESifo Working Paper Series 7096, CESifo.
    27. Aguirre, Idoia & Vázquez, Jesús, 2020. "Learning, parameter variability, and swings in US macroeconomic dynamics," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    28. Julius Loermann, 2018. "The Impact of CHF/EUR Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Swiss Exports to the Eurozone: Evidence from a Threshold VAR," FIW Working Paper series 189, FIW, revised Feb 2019.
    29. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay C. Lim, 2018. "What Do We Know about the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," CESifo Working Paper Series 7366, CESifo.
    30. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," CESifo Working Paper Series 6630, CESifo.
    31. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    32. Magnus Reif, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates," ifo Working Paper Series 265, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    33. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Macroeconomic Policies in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Back to Keynes?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 51(1), pages 70-86, March.
    34. Amine Ben Amar & Jean‐Étienne Carlotti, 2021. "Who drives the dance? Further insights from a time‐frequency wavelet analysis of the interrelationship between stock markets and uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1623-1636, January.
    35. Murgia, Lucia M., 2020. "The effect of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic variables: Evidence from the Eurozone," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    36. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Uncertainty-dependent Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: A New Keynesian Interpretation," CESifo Working Paper Series 6821, CESifo.
    37. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Richard Kima, 2020. "The Global Effects of Covid-19-Induced Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 8280, CESifo.
    38. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Estimating the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," CESifo Working Paper Series 6622, CESifo.

  7. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Caggiano & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2015. "Estimating the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0200, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".

    Cited by:

    1. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and the great recession: Nonlinearities matter," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    2. Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks and financial crisis indicators," Discussion Papers 36/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    3. Belke, Ansgar & Kronen, Dominik, 2017. "The impact of uncertainty on macro variables: An SVAR-based empirical analysis for EU countries," Ruhr Economic Papers 699, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    4. Laurent Ferrara & Stéphane Lhuissier & Fabien Tripier, 2017. "Uncertainty Fluctuations: Measures, Effects and Macroeconomic Policy Challenges," CEPII Policy Brief 2017-20, CEPII research center.
    5. Jackson Laura E. & Kliesen Kevin L. & Owyang Michael T., 2020. "The nonlinear effects of uncertainty shocks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-19, September.
    6. Angelini, Giovanni & Fanelli, Luca, 2018. "Exogenous uncertainty and the identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions with external instruments," MPRA Paper 93864, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised May 2019.
    7. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    8. Berg, Tim Oliver, 2019. "Business Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In Germany," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 1442-1470, June.
    9. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2018. "Risk management-driven policy rate gap," CAMA Working Papers 2018-34, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    10. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Kima, Richard, 2020. "The global effects of Covid-19-induced uncertainty," Research Discussion Papers 11/2020, Bank of Finland.
    11. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé, 2017. "The impact of US policy uncertainty on the monetary effectiveness in the Euro area," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1052-1064.
    12. Martin Seneca, 2020. "Risk Shocks and Monetary Policy in the New Normal," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(6), pages 185-232, December.
    13. Mirela Miescu, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Working Papers 277077821, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    14. Efrem Castelnuovo & Trung Duc Tran, 2017. "Google It Up! A Google Trends-based Uncertainty Index for the United States and Australia," CESifo Working Paper Series 6695, CESifo.
    15. Qazi Haque & Leandro M. Magnusson, 2020. "Uncertainty shocks and inflation dynamics in the U.S," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 20-25, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    16. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
    17. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2019. "What Do We Know About the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 52(1), pages 78-93, March.
    18. Martin Seneca, 2017. "Risk Shocks Close to the Zero Lower Bound," 2017 Meeting Papers 107, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    19. Ahmed, Ali & Granberg, Mark & Troster, Victor & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2020. "Asymmetric Dynamics between Uncertainty and Unemployment Flows in the United States," LiU Working Papers in Economics 7, Linköping University, Division of Economics, Department of Management and Engineering.
    20. Efrem Castelnuovo & Trung Duc Tran, 2017. "Google It Up! A Google Trends-Based Uncertainty Index for the United States and Australia," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n27, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    21. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2017-06, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    22. Hamish Burrell & Joaquin Vespignani, 2019. "The industrial impact of economic uncertainty shocks in Australia," CAMA Working Papers 2019-89, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    23. Goemans, Pascal & Belke, Ansgar, 2019. "Uncertainty and non-linear macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in the US: A SEIVAR-based analysis," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203538, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    24. Lopez-Buenache, German, 2019. "The evolution of monetary policy effectiveness under macroeconomic instability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 221-233.
    25. Silvia Delrio, 2016. "Estimating the effects of global uncertainty in open economies," Working Papers 2016:19, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    26. Sangyup Choi & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "Uncertainty, Financial Markets, and Monetary Policy over the Last Century," Working papers 2019rwp-142, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    27. Adalgiso Amendola & Mario di Serio & Matteo Fragetta & Giovanni Melina, 2019. "The Euro-Area Government Spending Multiplier at the Effective Lower Bound," IMF Working Papers 2019/133, International Monetary Fund.
    28. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    29. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0234, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    30. Belke, Ansgar & Osowski, Thomas, 2017. "International effects of euro area versus US policy uncertainty: A FAVAR approach," Ruhr Economic Papers 689, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    31. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Domestic and Global Uncertainty: A Survey and Some New Results," CESifo Working Paper Series 7900, CESifo.
    32. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Domestic and global uncertainty: A survey and some new results," CAMA Working Papers 2019-75, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    33. Jan Prüser & Alexander Schlösser, 2020. "On the Time‐Varying Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the US Economy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(5), pages 1217-1237, October.
    34. Istiak, Khandokar & Serletis, Apostolos, 2020. "Risk, uncertainty, and leverage," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 257-273.
    35. Belke, Ansgar & Göcke, Matthias, 2019. "Interest rate hysteresis in macroeconomic investment under uncertainty," Ruhr Economic Papers 801, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    36. Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Equity Market Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201851, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    37. Caballero, Ricardo & Simsek, Alp, 2019. "A Risk-centric Model of Demand Recessions and Speculation," CEPR Discussion Papers 13815, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    38. Prüser, Jan & Schlösser, Alexander, 2018. "On the time-varying effects of economic policy uncertainty on the US economy," Ruhr Economic Papers 761, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    39. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2018. "Risk Management-Driven Policy Rate Gap," CESifo Working Paper Series 7177, CESifo.
    40. Nikolay Hristov & Markus Roth, 2019. "Uncertainty Shocks and Financial Crisis Indicators," CESifo Working Paper Series 7839, CESifo.
    41. Nguyen, Bao H. & Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi, 2019. "Asymmetric reactions of the US natural gas market and economic activity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 86-99.
    42. Angelini, Giovanni & Costantini, Mauro & Easaw, Joshy, 2018. "Uncertainty and spillover effects across the Euro area," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    43. Bergmann, Philip, 2019. "Oil price shocks and GDP growth: Do energy shares amplify causal effects?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1010-1040.
    44. Di Serio, Mario & Fragetta, Matteo & Gasteiger, Emanuel, 2020. "The government spending multiplier at the zero lower bound: Evidence from the United States," ECON WPS - Working Papers in Economic Theory and Policy 04/2020, TU Wien, Institute of Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics, Economics Research Unit.
    45. Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2018. "Uncertainty-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks: A new-Keynesian interpretation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 277-296.
    46. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7697, CESifo.
    47. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2016. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: The Role of US Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201620, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    48. Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in the US: A Journey into Non-Linear Territory," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n06, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    49. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay C. Lim, 2018. "What Do We Know about the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," CESifo Working Paper Series 7366, CESifo.
    50. Manfred M. Fischer & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for predicting government bond yields," Papers 2102.13393, arXiv.org.
    51. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
    52. Belke, Ansgar & Goemans, Pascal, 2019. "Uncertainty and non-linear macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in the US: A SEIVAR-based analysis," Ruhr Economic Papers 826, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    53. Schüler, Yves S., 2020. "The impact of uncertainty and certainty shocks," Discussion Papers 14/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    54. Ricardo Caballero & Güneş Kamber, 2019. "On the global Impact of risk-off shocks and policy-put frameworks," BIS Working Papers 772, Bank for International Settlements.
    55. Neri, Stefano & Nobili, Andrea & Conti, Antonio M., 2017. "Low inflation and monetary policy in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2005, European Central Bank.
    56. Laurent FERRARA & Stéphane LHUISSIER & Fabien TRIPIER, 2018. "Uncertainty and macroeconomics: transmission channels and policy implications," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 61, April.
    57. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," CESifo Working Paper Series 6630, CESifo.
    58. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    59. AMENDOLA, Adalgiso & DI SERIO, Mario & FRAGETTA, Matteo, 2018. "The Government Spending Multiplier at the Zero Lower Bound: Evidence from the Euro Area," CELPE Discussion Papers 153, CELPE - Centre of Labour Economics and Economic Policy, University of Salerno, Italy.
    60. Steven J. Davis, 2019. "Rising Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 26243, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    61. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Macroeconomic Policies in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Back to Keynes?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 51(1), pages 70-86, March.
    62. Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús & Huber, Florian & Onorante, Luca, 2020. "Fragility and the effect of international uncertainty shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    63. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Uncertainty-dependent Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: A New Keynesian Interpretation," CESifo Working Paper Series 6821, CESifo.
    64. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Richard Kima, 2020. "The Global Effects of Covid-19-Induced Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 8280, CESifo.
    65. Bańbura, Marta & Albani, Maria & Ambrocio, Gene & Bursian, Dirk & Buss, Ginters & de Winter, Jasper & Gavura, Miroslav & Giordano, Claire & Júlio, Paulo & Le Roux, Julien & Lozej, Matija & Malthe-Thag, 2018. "Business investment in EU countries," Occasional Paper Series 215, European Central Bank.
    66. Gregor Bäurle & Daniel Kaufmann, 2018. "Measuring Exchange Rate, Price, and Output Dynamics at the Effective Lower Bound," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(6), pages 1243-1266, December.
    67. G. Angelini & L. Fanelli, 2018. "Identification and estimation issues in Structural Vector Autoregressions with external instruments," Working Papers wp1122, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.

  8. Giovanni Pellegrino, 2015. "Uncertainty And Monetary Policy In The US: A Journey Into Non-Linear Territory," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0184, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".

    Cited by:

    1. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and the great recession: Nonlinearities matter," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    2. Angelini, Giovanni & Fanelli, Luca, 2018. "Exogenous uncertainty and the identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions with external instruments," MPRA Paper 93864, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised May 2019.
    3. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    4. Berg, Tim Oliver, 2019. "Business Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In Germany," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 1442-1470, June.
    5. Elisabeth Falck & Mathias Hoffmann & Patrick Hürtgen, 2018. "Disagreement and Monetary Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 655, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Olivier Damette & Antoine Parent & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises," Post-Print halshs-01675562, HAL.
    7. Efrem Castelnuovo & Trung Duc Tran, 2017. "Google It Up! A Google Trends-based Uncertainty Index for the United States and Australia," CESifo Working Paper Series 6695, CESifo.
    8. Evren Erdogan Cosar & Sayg�n Sahinoz, 2018. "Quantifying Uncertainty and Identifying its Impacts on the Turkish Economy," Working Papers 1806, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    9. Efrem Castelnuovo & Trung Duc Tran, 2017. "Google It Up! A Google Trends-Based Uncertainty Index for the United States and Australia," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n27, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    10. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2017-06, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    11. Eickmeier, Sandra & Metiu, Norbert & Prieto, Esteban, 2016. "Time-varying volatility, financial intermediation and monetary policy," Discussion Papers 46/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    12. Silvia Delrio, 2016. "Estimating the effects of global uncertainty in open economies," Working Papers 2016:19, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    13. Belke, Ansgar & Osowski, Thomas, 2017. "International effects of euro area versus US policy uncertainty: A FAVAR approach," Ruhr Economic Papers 689, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    14. Vania Esady, 2019. "Real and Nominal Effects of Monetary Shocks under Time-Varying Disagreement," CESifo Working Paper Series 7956, CESifo.
    15. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2017. "Estimating the real effects of uncertainty shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 257-272.
    16. Isaac Baley & J. Andrés Blanco, 2016. "Menu costs, uncertainty cycles, and the propagation of nominal shocks," Economics Working Papers 1532, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    17. Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2018. "Uncertainty-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks: A new-Keynesian interpretation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 277-296.
    18. Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Real Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n15, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    19. Herwartz, Helmut & Rohloff, Hannes, 2018. "Less bang for the buck? Assessing the role of inflation uncertainty for U.S. monetary policy transmission in a data rich environment," Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research Discussion Papers 358, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    20. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Olivier Damette & Antoine Parent & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Liquidity Traps and Large-Scale Financial Crises," CESifo Working Paper Series 7096, CESifo.
    21. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," CESifo Working Paper Series 6630, CESifo.
    22. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Uncertainty-dependent Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: A New Keynesian Interpretation," CESifo Working Paper Series 6821, CESifo.
    23. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Estimating the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," CESifo Working Paper Series 6622, CESifo.

Articles

  1. Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2018. "Uncertainty-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks: A new-Keynesian interpretation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 277-296.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2018. "Uncertainty and the real effects of monetary policy shocks in the Euro area," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 177-181.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2017. "Estimating the real effects of uncertainty shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 257-272.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "A Short Review of the Recent Literature on Uncertainty," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 50(1), pages 68-78, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Yanele Nyamela & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Frequency-dependent real-time effects of uncertainty in the United States: evidence from daily data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(19), pages 1562-1566, November.
    2. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2019. "What Do We Know About the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 52(1), pages 78-93, March.
    3. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Greek economic policy uncertainty: Does it matter for Europe? Evidence from a dynamic connectedness decomposition approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    4. Ibrahim D. Raheem & Sara le Roux & Simplice A. Asongu, 2019. "The Role of Asymmetry and Uncertainties in the Capital Flows- Economic Growth Nexus," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 19/047, African Governance and Development Institute..
    5. Matthew W. Clance & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2019. "The Relationship between Economic Uncertainty and Corporate Tax Rates," Working Papers 201945, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Evren Erdogan Cosar & Sayg�n Sahinoz, 2018. "Quantifying Uncertainty and Identifying its Impacts on the Turkish Economy," Working Papers 1806, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    7. Dibiasi, Andreas & Abberger, Klaus & Siegenthaler, Michael & Sturm, Jan-Egbert, 2018. "The effects of policy uncertainty on investment: Evidence from the unexpected acceptance of a far-reaching referendum in Switzerland," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 38-67.
    8. Hamish Burrell & Joaquin Vespignani, 2019. "The industrial impact of economic uncertainty shocks in Australia," CAMA Working Papers 2019-89, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    9. Corinna Ghirelli & María Gil & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2021. "Measuring economic and economic policy uncertainty and their macroeconomic effects: the case of Spain," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 869-892, February.
    10. Rangan Gupta & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks on a Panel of Advanced and Emerging Market Economies: The Role of Exchange Rate, Trade and Financial Channels," Working Papers 201857, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Burrel, Hamish & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2020. "Industrial Impact of Economic Uncertainty Shocks in Australia: Revised," MPRA Paper 104117, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Christou, Christina & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Time-Varying impact of uncertainty shocks on macroeconomic variables of the united kingdom: Evidence from over 150 years of monthly data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    13. Michael Ryan, 2020. "An Anchor in Stormy Seas: Does Reforming Economic Institutions Reduce Uncertainty? Evidence from New Zealand," Working Papers in Economics 20/11, University of Waikato.
    14. Das, Debojyoti & Kannadhasan, M. & Bhattacharyya, Malay, 2019. "Do the emerging stock markets react to international economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and financial stress alike?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-19.
    15. Trung, Nguyen Ba, 2019. "The spillover effects of US economic policy uncertainty on the global economy: A global VAR approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 90-110.
    16. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay C. Lim, 2018. "What Do We Know about the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," CESifo Working Paper Series 7366, CESifo.
    17. Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2020. "The impact of uncertainty on the macro-financial linkage with international financial exposure," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    19. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "On the transmission mechanism of country-specific and international economic uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR connectedness decomposition approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 63-71.
    21. Zulquar Nain & Bandi Kamaiah, 2020. "Uncertainty and Effectiveness of Monetary Policy: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR Analysis," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 237-265.
    22. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Greek Economic Policy Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the European Union?," Working Papers 201840, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Macroeconomic Policies in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Back to Keynes?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 51(1), pages 70-86, March.

  5. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Damette, Olivier & Parent, Antoine & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2017. "Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 99-114.
    See citations under working paper version above.

More information

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Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 13 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (13) 2015-02-05 2015-09-26 2016-10-16 2017-01-22 2017-02-05 2017-02-12 2017-06-25 2017-11-12 2018-03-12 2018-07-09 2018-07-16 2018-07-23 2018-07-23. Author is listed
  2. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (7) 2015-02-05 2015-09-26 2017-02-12 2017-06-25 2018-07-09 2018-07-16 2018-07-23. Author is listed
  3. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (5) 2015-02-05 2017-02-12 2017-06-25 2018-03-12 2018-07-09. Author is listed
  4. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic & Financial History (3) 2016-10-16 2018-07-16 2018-07-23
  5. NEP-PKE: Post Keynesian Economics (3) 2016-10-16 2018-07-16 2018-07-23
  6. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (2) 2018-03-12 2018-07-09
  7. NEP-EEC: European Economics (1) 2017-06-25
  8. NEP-FDG: Financial Development & Growth (1) 2016-10-16
  9. NEP-KNM: Knowledge Management & Knowledge Economy (1) 2018-07-09

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