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Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén

Personal Details

First Name:Osmani
Middle Name:Teixeira de Carvalho
Last Name:Guillén
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pgu175
http://professores.ibmecrj.br/erg/people/osmanitcg.htm

Affiliation

(50%) Banco Central do Brasil

Brasília, Brazil
http://www.bcb.gov.br/

: (061) 3414-2401
(061) 3414-2480
Caixa Postal 08670 - CEP 70074-900 - Brasília DF
RePEc:edi:bcbgvbr (more details at EDIRC)

(50%) IBMEC Business School - Rio de Janeiro

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
http://www.ibmecrj.br/

:

Av. Pres. Wilson 118, 11 andar, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil, 20030-020
RePEc:edi:ibmrjbr (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Francisco Marcos Rodrigues Figueiredo, 2015. "Local Unit Root and Inflationary Inertia in Brazil," Working Papers Series 406, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  2. Debora Pereira Tavares & Gabriel Caldas Montes & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2013. "Transmissão da Política Monetária pelos Canais de Tomada de Risco e de Crédito: uma análise considerando os seguros contratados pelos bancos e o spread de crédito no Brasil," Working Papers Series 308, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  3. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2013. "Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value-model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 742, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
  4. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & José Valentim Machado Vicente & Claudio Oliveira de Moraes, 2013. "Análise do Comportamento dos Bancos Brasileiros Pré e Pós-Crise Subprime," Working Papers Series 334, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  5. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2013. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 748, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
  6. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2013. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 735, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
  7. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Alain Hecq & João Victor Issler & Diogo Saraiva, 2013. "Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," Working Papers Series 330, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  8. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2012. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 729, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
  9. Osmani Teixeira De Carvalho Guillen & José Valentim Machado Vicente, 2011. "Characterizing The Brazilian Termstructure Of Interest Rates In A Cointegrated Var Model," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 041, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  10. José Valentim Machado Vicente & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillen, 2010. "Do Inflation-linked Bonds Contain Information about Future Inflation?," Working Papers Series 214, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  11. Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor, 2009. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 688, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
  12. Osmani T. Guillen & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2008. "Characterizing the Brazilian Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers Series 158, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  13. Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araujo & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2008. "Previsão de inflação com incerteza do hiato do produto no Brasil," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807211138520, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  14. Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutiérrez & Reinaldo Castro Souza & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2007. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Working Papers Series 139, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  15. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & George Athanasopoulos, 2005. "Forecasting Accuracy and Estimation Uncertainty Using VAR Models with Short- and Long-Term Economic Restrictions: A Monte-Carlo Study," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  16. Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello & Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2005. "The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 605, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
  17. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho de Guillén & Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araújo, 2005. "O Mecanismo De Transmissão Da Taxa De Câmbio Para Índices De Preços: Uma Análise Vecm Para O Brasil," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 034, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  18. Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araujo & Marta Baltar Moreira Areosa & Osmani Teixera de Carvalho Guillén, 2004. "Estimating Potential Output And The Output Gap For Brazil," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 041, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  19. Ricardo D. Brito & Angelo Jose Mont & Alverne Duarte & Osamani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2004. "Reação Exagerada dos Diferenciais de Rendimento e Movimentos das Taxas de Juros Brasileiras," Finance Lab Working Papers flwp_67, Finance Lab, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
  20. Ricardo D. Brito & Angelo José Mont'Alverne Duarte & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2003. "O Prêmio pela Maturidade na Estrutura a Termo das Taxas de Juros Brasileiras," Working Papers Series 72, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  21. Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2003. "On the welfare costs of business cycles in the 20th century," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 481, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
  22. Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araújo & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho de Guillén, 2002. "Componentes de Curto e Longo Prazo das Taxas de Juros no Brasil," Working Papers Series 55, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  23. Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2002. "Estrutura Competitiva, Produtividade Industrial e Liberação Comercial no Brasil," Working Papers Series 44, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  24. Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2001. "O Impacto da Abertura Comercial Sobre Mark-Up e Produtividade Industrial Brasileira," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 432, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).

Articles

  1. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo, 2015. "Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 862-875.
  2. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2014. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 62-78.
  3. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Tavares, Debora Pereira & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2013. "Canal de Transmissão da Política Monetária Por Meio dos Seguros Contratados Pelo Setor Bancário," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 67(3), September.
  4. Vicente, José Valentim Machado & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2013. "Do inflation-linked bonds contain information about future inflation?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 67(2), June.
  5. Athanasopoulos, George & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 116-129, September.
  6. Osmani Teixeira De Carvalho Guillen & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2009. "Characterising the Brazilian term structure of interest rates," International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(2), pages 103-114.
  7. Issler, Joao Victor & de Mello Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos & de Carvalho Guillen, Osmani Teixeira, 2008. "The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 98(2), pages 167-175, February.
  8. Osmani T. De C. De Guillén & Carlos Hamilton V. Araújo, 2005. "Tasas de cupón de cambio en Brasil: componentes de corto y largo plazos," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, vol. 0(1), pages 77-103, enero-mar.
  9. Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2004. "Estrutura Competitiva, Produtividade Industrial e Liberalização Comercial no Brasil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 58(4), October.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Debora Pereira Tavares & Gabriel Caldas Montes & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2013. "Transmissão da Política Monetária pelos Canais de Tomada de Risco e de Crédito: uma análise considerando os seguros contratados pelos bancos e o spread de crédito no Brasil," Working Papers Series 308, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Machado, Vicente da Gama & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2014. "Measuring inflation persistence in Brazil using a multivariate model," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 68(2), June.
    2. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Peixoto, Gabriel Barros Tavares, 2014. "Risk-taking channel, bank lending channel and the “paradox of credibility”," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 82-94.

  2. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2013. "Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value-model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 742, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Castro, Andressa Monteiro de & Issler, João Victor, 2016. "Consumption-Wealth Ratio and Expected Stock Returns: Evidence from Panel Data on G7 Countries," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 70(4), December.
    2. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Sean Telg, 2018. "Detecting Co-Movements in Noncausal Time Series," CEIS Research Paper 430, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 23 Apr 2018.
    3. Machado, Vicente da Gama & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2014. "Measuring inflation persistence in Brazil using a multivariate model," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 68(2), June.

  3. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2013. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 748, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Cunha, Alexandre & Araújo, Eurilton, 2014. "Simple Macroeconomic Policies and Welfare: A Quantitative Assessment," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 68(3), September.

  4. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2013. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 735, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Robinson, Zurika, 2017. "Sustainability of platinum production in South Africa and the dynamics of commodity pricing," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 107-114.
    2. D'Orlando, Fabio & Ferrante, Francesco, 2015. "The benefits of stabilization policies revisited," MPRA Paper 67321, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. John Baffes, 2014. "Global Economic Prospects : Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2014," World Bank Publications, The World Bank, number 20455.
    4. Delalibera, Bruno Ricardo & Issler, João Victor & Branco, Roberto da Cunha Castello, 2017. "Using common features to investigate common growth cycles for BRICS Countries," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 784, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    5. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Kizys, Renatas, 2015. "Dynamic spillovers between commodity and currency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 303-319.
    6. He, Kaijian & Lu, Xingjing & Zou, Yingchao & Keung Lai, Kin, 2015. "Forecasting metal prices with a curvelet based multiscale methodology," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 144-150.
    7. Dario Caldara & Michele Cavallo & Matteo Iacoviello, 2016. "Oil Price Elasticities and Oil Price Fluctuations," International Finance Discussion Papers 1173, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Karl Inderfurth & Peter Kelle & Rainer Kleber, 2018. "Inventory control in dual sourcing commodity procurement with price correlation," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 26(1), pages 93-119, March.
    9. Karl Inderfurth & Peter Kelle & Rainer Kleber, 2014. "The Effect of Material Price and Product Demand Correlations on Combined Sourcing and Inventory Management," FEMM Working Papers 140013, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    10. Golosnoy, Vasyl & Rossen, Anja, 2014. "Modeling dynamics of metal price series via state space approach with two common factors," HWWI Research Papers 156, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    11. Buncic, Daniel & Moretto, Carlo, 2014. "Forecasting Copper Prices with Dynamic Averaging and Selection Models," Economics Working Paper Series 1430, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
    12. Lya Paola Sierra & Luis Eduardo Girón & Carolina Osorio, 2017. "Has Financialization in Commodity Markets Affected the Predictability in Metal Markets? The Efficient Markets Hypotheses for Metal Returns," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 15-22.
    13. Cunha, Alexandre & Araújo, Eurilton, 2014. "Simple Macroeconomic Policies and Welfare: A Quantitative Assessment," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 68(3), September.
    14. John Baffes & Damir Cosic, 2014. "Global Economic Prospects : Commodity Markets Outlook, January 2014," World Bank Publications, The World Bank, number 18996.
    15. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Common cycles and common trends in the stock and oil markets: Evidence from more than 150years of data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 72-86.
    16. Rossen, Anja, 2015. "What are metal prices like? Co-movement, price cycles and long-run trends," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 255-276.
    17. Munzert, Simon, 2017. "Forecasting elections at the constituency level: A correction–combination procedure," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 467-481.
    18. Li, Xiao-Lin & Chang, Tsangyao & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 220-233.
    19. Byrne, Joseph P & Sakemoto, Ryuta & Xu, Bing, 2017. "Commodity Price Co-movement: Heterogeneity and the Time Varying Impact of Fundamentals," MPRA Paper 80791, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Fomin, M., 2016. "Business cycles and acquisition policy: Analysis of M&A deals of metallurgical companies," Working Papers 6441, Graduate School of Management, St. Petersburg State University.

  5. José Valentim Machado Vicente & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillen, 2010. "Do Inflation-linked Bonds Contain Information about Future Inflation?," Working Papers Series 214, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Benjamin M. Tabak & Marcelo Yoshio Takami & J. M. C. Rocha & Daniel O. Cajueiro, 2011. "Directed Clustering Coefficient as a Measure of Systemic Risk in Complex Banking Networks," Working Papers Series 249, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    2. Nunes, Clemens Vinicius & Doi, Jonas & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2017. "Disagreement in Inflation Forecasts and Inflation Risk Premia in Brazil," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 37(1), May.
    3. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2012. "Evaluating the existence of structural change in the brazilian term structure of interest: evidence based on cointegration models with structural break," Textos para discussão 314, FGV/EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).

  6. Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor, 2009. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 688, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Tu, Yundong & Yi, Yanping, 2017. "Forecasting cointegrated nonstationary time series with time-varying variance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 83-98.
    2. Hendry, David F. & Martinez, Andrew B., 2017. "Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 359-372.
    3. Phillips, Peter C.B. & Li, Degui & Gao, Jiti, 2017. "Estimating smooth structural change in cointegration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 180-195.
    4. Marco Centoni & Gianluca Cubadda, 2015. "Common Feature Analysis of Economic Time Series: An Overview and Recent Developments," CEIS Research Paper 355, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 05 Oct 2015.
    5. Liao, Zhipeng & Phillips, Peter C. B., 2015. "Automated Estimation Of Vector Error Correction Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(03), pages 581-646, June.
    6. Hecq Alain & Victor Issler João, 2012. "A Common-Feature Approach for Testing Present-Value Restrictions with Financial Data," Research Memorandum 006, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    7. Jukka Ruohonen & Sami Hyrynsalmi, 2017. "Evaluating the use of internet search volumes for time series modeling of sales in the video game industry," Electronic Markets, Springer;IIM University of St. Gallen, vol. 27(4), pages 351-370, November.
    8. Neri, Marcelo Côrtes, 2014. "Brazil's middle classes," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 759, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    9. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2014. "Forecasting Multivariate Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 753, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    10. Jukka Ruohonen & Sami Hyrynsalmi, 0. "Evaluating the use of internet search volumes for time series modeling of sales in the video game industry," Electronic Markets, Springer;IIM University of St. Gallen, vol. 0, pages 1-20.
    11. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2014. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 310-335.
    12. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2014. "Microfounded Forecasting," Working Papers Series 372, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    13. Poskitt, D.S., 2016. "Vector autoregressive moving average identification for macroeconomic modeling: A new methodology," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 468-484.
    14. Heather M Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2010. "VARs, Cointegration and Common Cycle Restrictions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/10, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    15. Hecq Alain & Laurent Sébastien & Palm Franz, 2011. "Common intraday periodicity," Research Memorandum 010, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    16. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Alain Hecq & João Victor Issler & Diogo Saraiva, 2013. "Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," Working Papers Series 330, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    17. Justyna Wróblewska, 2015. "Common Trends and Common Cycles – Bayesian Approach," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, CEJEME, vol. 7(2), pages 91-110, June.
    18. Li, Xiao-Lin & Chang, Tsangyao & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 220-233.

  7. Osmani T. Guillen & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2008. "Characterizing the Brazilian Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers Series 158, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Burak Saltoglu & M. Ege Yazgan, 2012. "The Role of Regime Shifts in the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Further Evidence from an Emerging Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(S5), pages 48-63, November.
    2. Dániel Horváth & Péter Kálmán & Zalán Kocsis & Imre Ligeti, 2014. "Short-rate expectations and term premia: experiences from Hungary and other emerging market economies," BIS Papers chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), The transmission of unconventional monetary policy to the emerging markets, volume 78, pages 185-196 Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2012. "Evaluating the existence of structural change in the brazilian term structure of interest: evidence based on cointegration models with structural break," Textos para discussão 314, FGV/EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).

  8. Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araujo & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2008. "Previsão de inflação com incerteza do hiato do produto no Brasil," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807211138520, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

    Cited by:

    1. Vicente da Gama Machado & Marcelo Savino Portugal, 2014. "Phillips curve in Brazil: an unobserved components approach," Working Papers Series 354, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

  9. Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutiérrez & Reinaldo Castro Souza & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2007. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Working Papers Series 139, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Ghouse, Ghulam & Khan, Saud Ahmed & Rehman, Atiq Ur, 2018. "ARDL model as a remedy for spurious regression: problems, performance and prospectus," MPRA Paper 83973, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  10. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & George Athanasopoulos, 2005. "Forecasting Accuracy and Estimation Uncertainty Using VAR Models with Short- and Long-Term Economic Restrictions: A Monte-Carlo Study," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.

    Cited by:

    1. Aloisio Araujo & Mário R. Páscoa & Juan Pablo Torres-Martínez, 2006. "Bubbles, Collateral and Monetary Equilibrium," Levine's Working Paper Archive 122247000000001055, David K. Levine.
    2. Bonomo, Marco Antônio Cesar & Terra, Maria Cristina T., 2005. "Special interests and political business cycles," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 597, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    3. Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique Carrasco & Souza, Reinaldo Castro & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2009. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 29(1), May.
    4. Barbosa, Fernando de Holanda, 2005. "The contagion effect of public debt on monetary policy: the brazilian experience," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 591, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    5. Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2006. "Income inequality in a job-search model with heterogeneous discount factors: (revised version, forthcoming 2006, Revista Economia)," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 611, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    6. Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2006. "An intra-household approach to the welfare costs of inflation (Revised Version, Forthcoming 2006, Estudos Econômicos)," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 612, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    7. Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique & Castro Souza, Reinaldo & Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani, 2009. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," MPRA Paper 66065, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2009.
    8. Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão & Watanuki, Masakazu, 2006. "Integration options for mercosul - an investigation Uusing the AMIDA Model," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 610, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).

  11. Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello & Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2005. "The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 605, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Aloisio Araujo & Mário R. Páscoa & Juan Pablo Torres-Martínez, 2006. "Bubbles, Collateral and Monetary Equilibrium," Levine's Working Paper Archive 122247000000001055, David K. Levine.
    2. Monteiro, Paulo Klinger, 2009. "First-price auction symmetric equilibria with a general distribution," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 65(1), pages 256-269, January.
    3. Lima, Luiz Renato & Néri, Breno Pinheiro, 2007. "Comparing Value-at-Risk Methodologies," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 27(1), May.
    4. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2014. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 62-78.
    5. Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2006. "Income inequality in a job-search model with heterogeneous discount factors: (revised version, forthcoming 2006, Revista Economia)," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 611, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    6. Renato G. Flôres & Maria Paula Fontoura & Rogério Guerra Santos, 2007. "Foreign Direct Investment Spillovers in Portugal: Additional Lessons from a Country Study," The European Journal of Development Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 372-390.
    7. Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2006. "An intra-household approach to the welfare costs of inflation (Revised Version, Forthcoming 2006, Estudos Econômicos)," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 612, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    8. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2006. "A stochastic discount factor approach to asset pricing using panel data," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 628, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    9. Xiao, Zhijie & Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira, 2006. "Testing covariance stationarity," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 632, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    10. Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão, 2006. "The diversity of diversity: further methodological considerations on the use of the concept in cultural economics," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 626, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    11. Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão & Watanuki, Masakazu, 2006. "Integration options for mercosul - an investigation Uusing the AMIDA Model," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 610, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    12. Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Sampaio, Raquel Menezes Bezerra & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2006. "Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: a quantile autoregression approach," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 631, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).

  12. Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araujo & Marta Baltar Moreira Areosa & Osmani Teixera de Carvalho Guillén, 2004. "Estimating Potential Output And The Output Gap For Brazil," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 041, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

    Cited by:

    1. Arruda, Elano Ferreira & Ferreira, Roberto Tatiwa & Castelar, Ivan, 2011. "Modelos lineares e não lineares da curva de Phillips para previsão da taxa de Inflação no Brasil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 65(3), September.
    2. Leandro Nascimento Brito & Elcyon Caiado Rocha Lima, 2008. "Inflação e Nível de Atividade no Brasil: Estimativas via Curva de Phillips," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807211039560, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    3. Elaine Cristina de Piza & Joilson Dias, 2006. "Novo Consenso Macroeconômico E Política Monetária No Brasil: Uma Avaliação Empírica," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 164, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

  13. Ricardo D. Brito & Angelo José Mont'Alverne Duarte & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2003. "O Prêmio pela Maturidade na Estrutura a Termo das Taxas de Juros Brasileiras," Working Papers Series 72, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Rodrigo Cabral & Richard Munclinger & Luiz Alves & Marco Rodriguez Waldo, 2011. "On Brazil’s Term Structure; Stylized Facts and Analysis of Macroeconomic Interactions," IMF Working Papers 11/113, International Monetary Fund.

  14. Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2003. "On the welfare costs of business cycles in the 20th century," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 481, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Márcio Antônio Salvato & João Victor Issler & Angelo Mont'alverne Duarte, 2005. "Are Business Cycles All Alike In Europe?," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 031, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    2. Ensar Yılmaz, 2014. "Welfare Costs of Business Cycles in Turkey," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(2), pages 195-211, May.
    3. Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes & Leandro Gonçalves do Nascimento, 2004. "A Welfare Analysis Of Economic Fluctuations In South America," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 045, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

  15. Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araújo & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho de Guillén, 2002. "Componentes de Curto e Longo Prazo das Taxas de Juros no Brasil," Working Papers Series 55, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Loureiro, André Soares & Barbosa, Fernando de Holanda, 2003. "The risk premium on brazilian government debt, 1996-2002," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 485, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).

Articles

  1. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo, 2015. "Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 862-875.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2014. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 62-78.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Vicente, José Valentim Machado & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2013. "Do inflation-linked bonds contain information about future inflation?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 67(2), June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Athanasopoulos, George & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 116-129, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Osmani Teixeira De Carvalho Guillen & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2009. "Characterising the Brazilian term structure of interest rates," International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(2), pages 103-114.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Issler, Joao Victor & de Mello Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos & de Carvalho Guillen, Osmani Teixeira, 2008. "The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 98(2), pages 167-175, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2004. "Estrutura Competitiva, Produtividade Industrial e Liberalização Comercial no Brasil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 58(4), October.

    Cited by:

    1. Carmem Aparecida Feijo & Luiz Fernando Cerqueira, 2013. "Econometric Evidence on the Determinants of the Mark Up of Industrial Brazilian Firms in the 1990s," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 14(1a), pages .91-119.

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 30 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (12) 2006-01-24 2007-07-27 2009-03-22 2010-04-17 2010-05-02 2010-09-25 2010-10-23 2011-08-02 2013-07-20 2013-12-15 2015-09-05 2015-12-08. Author is listed
  2. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (12) 2004-12-12 2005-12-01 2005-12-09 2006-01-24 2006-09-30 2007-07-27 2007-12-15 2008-03-25 2012-07-23 2012-11-03 2013-07-28 2013-11-16. Author is listed
  3. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (10) 2005-06-05 2006-01-24 2007-07-27 2009-03-22 2010-04-17 2010-09-25 2011-08-02 2013-07-20 2013-12-15 2015-09-05. Author is listed
  4. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (9) 2005-06-05 2006-01-24 2007-07-27 2009-03-22 2010-04-17 2010-05-02 2010-09-25 2013-07-20 2013-12-15. Author is listed
  5. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (4) 2004-06-02 2006-01-24 2012-03-21 2012-07-23
  6. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (3) 2008-03-25 2010-05-02 2010-10-23
  7. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic & Financial History (3) 2012-03-21 2012-07-23 2012-11-03
  8. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (3) 2007-12-15 2008-03-25 2010-10-23
  9. NEP-BAN: Banking (1) 2013-07-28
  10. NEP-BEC: Business Economics (1) 2012-11-03
  11. NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (1) 2009-02-22
  12. NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (1) 2007-12-15
  13. NEP-LAM: Central & South America (1) 2015-12-08
  14. NEP-MIC: Microeconomics (1) 2010-05-02
  15. NEP-TUR: Tourism Economics (1) 2009-02-22

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