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Monetary Policy, Risk-Taking and Pricing: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment

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  • Ioannidou, Vasso
  • Ongena, Steven
  • Peydró, José-Luis

Abstract

We study the risk-taking channel of monetary policy in Bolivia, a dollarized country where monetary changes are transmitted exogenously from the US. We find that a lower policy rate spurs the granting of riskier loans, to borrowers with worse credit histories, lower ex-ante internal ratings, and weaker ex-post performance (acutely so when the rate subsequently increases). Effects are stronger for small firms borrowing from multiple banks. To uniquely identify risk-taking we assess collateral coverage, expected returns and risk premia of the newly-granted riskier loans, finding that their returns and premia are actually lower, especially at banks suffering from agency problems.

Suggested Citation

  • Ioannidou, Vasso & Ongena, Steven & Peydró, José-Luis, 2015. "Monetary Policy, Risk-Taking and Pricing: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 19(1), pages 95-144.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:216809
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; low short-term interest rates; softening lending standards; credit risk; liquidity risk; subprime borrowers; bank agency problems; duration analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • L14 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Transactional Relationships; Contracts and Reputation

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