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The costs of rebalancing the China-US co-dependency

  • Luigi Bonatti

    ()

  • Andrea Fracasso

    ()

    (Department of Economics, University of Trento)

The global crisis has revived the growth-rebalancing debate, backing the position of those advocating a fast reduction of the imbalances between the US and China. By means of a two-country two-stage growth model reproducing the main qualitative features of the Sino-American co-dependency, we analyze alternative (medium- and long-term) scenarios for its evolution. We show that altering the Chinese exchange rate policy and down-sizing the US external deficits with a view to moving the production of tradables toward the US may imply relevant costs: the emergence of structural unemployment in the US and a slow-down in the process whereby the Chinese labor force is gradually absorbed in the modern sectors of the economy.

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Article provided by Vita e Pensiero, Pubblicazioni dell'Universita' Cattolica del Sacro Cuore in its journal Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali.

Volume (Year): 120 (2012)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 59-106

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Handle: RePEc:vep:journl:y:2012:v:120:i:1:p:59-106
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