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Multiplikátor vládních výdajů při nulové nominální úrokové míře
[Government Expenditure Multiplier at Zero Nominal Interest Rate]

Author

Listed:
  • Tomáš Šestořád

Abstract

This paper attempts to verify the economic theory that the government expenditure multiplier is higher at the zero lower bound than under normal circumstances. The theory is tested by a vector autoregression on US data between 1955 and 2015. The results obtained suggest a higher multiplier during the 1980s and 1990s than after 2000, when the zero lower bound was reached. According to our results, the proposed economic theory has been rejected. The persistence of the government spending shock is a possible explanation why the multiplier is not higher at the zero lower bound.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomáš Šestořád, 2019. "Multiplikátor vládních výdajů při nulové nominální úrokové míře [Government Expenditure Multiplier at Zero Nominal Interest Rate]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(1), pages 20-47.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2019:y:2019:i:1:id:1215:p:20-47
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1215
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    government expenditure multiplier; zero lower bound; vector autoregression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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