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Beef Cattle Cycle in the State of Pará, Amazon, Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • Wânia Mendonça dos Santos
  • Marcos Antônio Souza dos Santos
  • Andréia Santana Bezerra da Silva
  • Maria Lúcia Bahia Lopes
  • Cyntia Meireles Martins
  • Bruno Cabral Soares
  • João Paulo Borges de Loureiro
  • Geany Cleide Carvalho Martins
  • Nilson Luiz Costa
  • José de Brito Lourenço Júnior

Abstract

The production and price behavior of the beef cattle market in the state of Pará, Brazilian Amazon, was evaluated with the objective of characterizing the dynamics of the market and guiding economic decisions made by agents in the beef cattle production chain. Time series of production and prices from the period 1995 to 2021 were analyzed using growth rates and the classical multiplicative method of time series. The cattle herd in Pará showed a growth rate of 4.54% per year from 1995 to 2021, and the slaughter of bovine females fluctuated throughout the historical series with the highest and lowest percentages in the years 2000 and 2011, respectively. There were three complete livestock cycles, differing in duration and amplitude. The average duration of the cycles was 7 years, with a shortening of the cycle over the period of study. Seasonal price indices are higher than 100, which is the annual average index, from September to January and lower than 100 from February to August. The highest price quotations for the arroba of fattened cattle coincide with the off-season period of beef cattle production, which is determined by the carrying capacity of pastures under the influence of weather conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Wânia Mendonça dos Santos & Marcos Antônio Souza dos Santos & Andréia Santana Bezerra da Silva & Maria Lúcia Bahia Lopes & Cyntia Meireles Martins & Bruno Cabral Soares & João Paulo Borges de Lo, 2023. "Beef Cattle Cycle in the State of Pará, Amazon, Brazil," Journal of Agricultural Studies, Macrothink Institute, vol. 11(1), pages 1-21, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:mth:jas888:v:11:y:2023:i:1:p:1-21
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Griffith, G.R. & Alford, A.R., 2002. "The US Cattle Cycle and its Influence on the Australian Beef Industry," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 10, pages 1-15, June.
    2. Paul Harris & Bruno Lanfranco & Binbin Lu & Alexis Comber, 2020. "Influence of Geographical Effects in Hedonic Pricing Models for Grass-Fed Cattle in Uruguay," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-17, July.
    3. Astrid Fliessbach & Rico Ihle, 2020. "Cycles in cattle and hog prices in South America," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(4), pages 1167-1183, October.
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    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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