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Dış ticaret, ekonomik yardım, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ve göçmen dövizleri Türkiye'den olan göçü frenleyebilir mi?

Author

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  • Sule Akkoyunlu

    (Bogazici Universitesi, Turkiye ve Bern Universitesi, Isvicre)

Abstract

Bu çalışmada Türkiye'den Almanya’ya olan göçü etkileyen makro faktörleri 1969-2004 yılları için eşbütünleşme analizi ile incelemekteyiz. Dış ticaret ve faktör hareketlerinin göçü gerçekten etkilediğini, kısa ve uzun vadede Türkiye'den olan göçü tedvir etmekte önemli rol oynadığını bulduk. Fakat Türkiye ile Almanya arasındaki gelir farklılıklarının göçü etkileyen en önemli faktör olduğunu, ticaret ve faktör hareketliliğinin kısa ve uzun vade etkilerinin farklı olduğunu da bulduk. Bu nedenle göçü tedvir etmekte dış ticaret ve faktör hareketliliğinden kaynaklanacak olan dinamik kazancın göz önünde bulundurulması gerektiğini tartışmaktayız.

Suggested Citation

  • Sule Akkoyunlu, 2012. "Dış ticaret, ekonomik yardım, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ve göçmen dövizleri Türkiye'den olan göçü frenleyebilir mi?," Migration Letters, Transnational Press London, UK, vol. 9(4), pages 311-327, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:mig:journl:v:9:y:2012:i:4:p:311-327
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    Keywords

    Trade; Aid; Remittances; Migration; FDI;

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