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Estimating the potential migration from Turkey to the European Union: A literature survey

  • Elitok, Secil Pacaci
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    The likelihood of a potential migration flow from Turkey into the European Union (EU) has increasingly been the focus of debates among academics and policy makers. As having one of the fastest growing populations of Europe, Turkey and its migration potential are the nexus of fears and concerns. Against this background, this paper is a survey of the growing literature on the estimations of the volume of potential migration from Turkey to the EU within the context of possible Turkish membership. Taking into account the methodological problems, drawbacks of the data and definitional issues, this article aims at critically evaluating the existing literature. In the light of potential migration discussions, this paper emphasizes the necessity of a shift in the focus of debate from quantitative aspects, that are overemphasizing the economic aspects, to qualitative dimensions of migration potential from Turkey to the EU.

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    Paper provided by Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI) in its series HWWI Policy Papers with number 3-11.

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    Date of creation: 2010
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    Handle: RePEc:zbw:hwwipp:311
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    1. Hailbronner, Kay, 2007. "Diversity in the labour market: The legal framework and support services for migrant workers in Germany," HWWI Policy Papers 3-4, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    2. Hunter, Alison, 2007. "Diversity in the labour market: The legal framework and support services for migrants entitled to work in the United Kingdom," HWWI Policy Papers 3-5, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    3. El-Cherkeh, Tanja & Tolciu, Andreia, 2009. "Migrant entrepreneurs in Germany: Which role do they play?," HWWI Policy Papers 3-8, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    4. Elitok, Secil Pacaci & Straubhaar, Thomas, 2010. "The Turkish economy after the global economic crisis," HWWI Policy Papers 3-10, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    5. Cangiano, Alessio, 2008. "Employment support services and migrant integration in the UK labour market," HWWI Policy Papers 3-7, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    6. Steinhardt, Max Friedrich, 2007. "Die Steuerung der Arbeitsmigration im Zuwanderungsgesetz: Eine kritische Bestandsaufnahme aus ökonomischer Sicht," HWWI Policy Papers 3-2, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    7. Münz, Rainer & Straubhaar, Thomas & Vadean, Florin P. & Vadean, Nadia, 2007. "What are the migrants' contributions to employment and growth? A European approach," HWWI Policy Papers 3-3, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
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