IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v13y2016i7p714-d73968.html

Injury Severity of Motorcycle Riders Involved in Traffic Crashes in Hunan, China: A Mixed Ordered Logit Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Fangrong Chang

    (School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, China)

  • Maosheng Li

    (School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, China)

  • Pengpeng Xu

    (Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong 999077, China)

  • Hanchu Zhou

    (School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, China)

  • Md. Mazharul Haque

    (Centre for Accident Research and Road Safety—Queensland (CARRS-Q), Civil Engineering and the Built Environment, Science and Engineering Faculty, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane 4059, Australia)

  • Helai Huang

    (School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, China)

Abstract

Issues related to motorcycle safety in China have not received enough research attention. As such, the causal relationship between injury outcomes of motorcycle crashes and potential risk factors remains unknown. This study intended to investigate the injury risk of motorcyclists involved in road traffic crashes in China. To account for the ordinal nature of response outcomes and unobserved heterogeneity, a mixed ordered logit model was employed. Given that the crash occurrence process is different between intersections and non-intersections, separate models were developed for these locations to independently estimate the impacts of various contributing factors on motorcycle riders’ injury severity. The analysis was based on the police-reported crash dataset obtained from the Traffic Administration Bureau of Hunan Provincial Public Security Ministry. Factors associated with a substantially higher probability of fatalities and severe injuries included motorcycle riders older than 60 years, the absence of helmets, motorcycle riders identified to be equal duty, and when a motorcycle collided with a heavy vehicle during the night time without lighting. Crashes occurred along county roads with curve and slope alignment or at regions with higher GDP were associated with an elevated risk of fatality of motorcycle riders, while unsignalized intersections were related to less severe injuries. Findings of this study are beneficial in forming several targeted countermeasures for motorcycle safety in China, including designing roads with appropriate road delineation and street lighting, strict enforcement for speeding and red light violations, promoting helmet usage, and improving the conspicuity of motorcyclists.

Suggested Citation

  • Fangrong Chang & Maosheng Li & Pengpeng Xu & Hanchu Zhou & Md. Mazharul Haque & Helai Huang, 2016. "Injury Severity of Motorcycle Riders Involved in Traffic Crashes in Hunan, China: A Mixed Ordered Logit Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-15, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:13:y:2016:i:7:p:714-:d:73968
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/13/7/714/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/13/7/714/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rowland, J. & Rivara, F. & Salzberg, P. & Soderberg, R. & Maier, R. & Koepsell, T., 1996. "Motorcycle helmet use and injury outcome and hospitalization costs from crashes in Washington State," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 86(1), pages 41-45.
    2. Train,Kenneth E., 2009. "Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521747387, Enero-Abr.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Guofa Li & Weijian Lai & Xingda Qu, 2020. "Association between Crash Attributes and Drivers’ Crash Involvement: A Study Based on Police-Reported Crash Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-16, December.
    2. Amjad Pervez & Jaeyoung Lee & Helai Huang & Xiaoqi Zhai, 2022. "What Factors Would Make Single-Vehicle Motorcycle Crashes Fatal? Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-14, May.
    3. Thomas Rauer & Andrin Aschwanden & Benjamin B. Rothrauff & Hans-Christoph Pape & Julian Scherer, 2023. "Fractures of the Lower Extremity after E-Bike, Bicycle, and Motorcycle Accidents: A Retrospective Cohort Study of 624 Patients," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-10, February.
    4. Fanyu Meng & Pengpeng Xu & Cancan Song & Kun Gao & Zichu Zhou & Lili Yang, 2020. "Influential Factors Associated with Consecutive Crash Severity: A Two-Level Logistic Modeling Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-16, August.
    5. Se, Chamroeun & Woolley, Jeremy & Champahom, Thanapong & Jomnonkwao, Sajjakaj & Boonyoo, Tassana & Karoonsoontawong, Ampol & Ratanavaraha, Vatanavongs, 2025. "Modelling the interdependent relationship of motorcyclist injury severity and fault status: A recursive bivariate random parameters probit approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 370-383.
    6. Thanapol Promraksa & Thaned Satiennam & Wichuda Satiennam & Patiphan Kaewwichian & Nopadon Kronprasert, 2022. "Factors Influencing Stopping Locations of Motorcycle Riders on Signalized Urban Intersection Approaches," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-16, November.
    7. Chamroeun Se & Thanapong Champahom & Sajjakaj Jomnonkwao & Panuwat Wisutwattanasak & Wimon Laphrom & Vatanavongs Ratanavaraha, 2023. "Temporal Instability and Transferability Analysis of Daytime and Nighttime Motorcyclist-Injury Severities Considering Unobserved Heterogeneity of Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-28, March.
    8. Sarah Najm Abdulwahid & Moamin A. Mahmoud & Bilal Bahaa Zaidan & Abdullah Hussein Alamoodi & Salem Garfan & Mohammed Talal & Aws Alaa Zaidan, 2022. "A Comprehensive Review on the Behaviour of Motorcyclists: Motivations, Issues, Challenges, Substantial Analysis and Recommendations," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(6), pages 1-38, March.
    9. Guofa Li & Yuan Liao & Qiangqiang Guo & Caixiong Shen & Weijian Lai, 2021. "Traffic Crash Characteristics in Shenzhen, China from 2014 to 2016," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(3), pages 1-24, January.
    10. Israel Casado-Hernández & Ricardo Becerro-de-Bengoa-Vallejo & Marta Elena Losa-Iglesias & Alfredo Soriano-Medrano & Ángel Morales-Ponce & João Martiniano & Daniel López-López & César Calvo-Lobo, 2020. "Development and Validation of the Overall Foot Pain Questionnaire in Motorcycle Riders," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-12, March.
    11. Yen-Hsiu Liu & Bayu Satria Wiratama & Chung-Jen Chao & Ming-Heng Wang & Rui-Sheng Chen & Wafaa Saleh & Chih-Wei Pai, 2023. "Unhelmeted Riding, Drunk Riding, and Unlicensed Riding among Motorcyclists: A Population Study in Taiwan during 2011–2016," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-15, January.
    12. Zhixue Li & Zhongxiang Huang & Jie Wang, 2022. "Association of Illegal Motorcyclist Behaviors and Injury Severity in Urban Motorcycle Crashes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-11, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cheng, Leilei & Yin, Changbin & Chien, Hsiaoping, 2015. "Demand for milk quantity and safety in urban China: evidence from Beijing and Harbin," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 59(2), April.
    2. Johannes Buggle & Thierry Mayer & Seyhun Orcan Sakalli & Mathias Thoenig, 2023. "The Refugee’s Dilemma: Evidence from Jewish Migration out of Nazi Germany," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 138(2), pages 1273-1345.
    3. Christelis, Dimitris & Dobrescu, Loretti I. & Motta, Alberto, 2020. "Early life conditions and financial risk-taking in older age," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
    4. Ortega, David L. & Wang, H. Holly & Wu, Laping & Hong, Soo Jeong, 2015. "Retail channel and consumer demand for food quality in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 359-366.
    5. Doyle, Orla & Fidrmuc, Jan, 2006. "Who favors enlargement?: Determinants of support for EU membership in the candidate countries' referenda," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 520-543, June.
    6. Tovar, Jorge, 2012. "Consumers’ Welfare and Trade Liberalization: Evidence from the Car Industry in Colombia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 808-820.
    7. Mark Morrison & Craig Nalder, 2009. "Willingness to Pay for Improved Quality of Electricity Supply Across Business Type and Location," The Energy Journal, , vol. 30(2), pages 117-134, April.
    8. Mtimet, Nadhem & Ujiie, Kiyokazu & Kashiwagi, Kenichi & Zaibet, Lokman & Nagaki, Masakazu, "undated". "The effects of Information and Country of Origin on Japanese Olive Oil Consumer Selection," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114642, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. Chavez, Daniel E. & Palma, Marco A. & Nayga, Rodolfo M. & Mjelde, James W., 2020. "Product availability in discrete choice experiments with private goods," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    10. Doherty, Edel & Campbell, Danny, 2011. "Demand for improved food safety and quality: a cross-regional comparison," 85th Annual Conference, April 18-20, 2011, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 108791, Agricultural Economics Society.
    11. Abdurrahman B. Aydemir & Erkan Duman, 2021. "Migrant Networks and Destination Choice: Evidence from Moves across Turkish Provinces," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2109, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    12. Brown, Sarah & Greene, William H. & Harris, Mark N. & Taylor, Karl, 2015. "An inverse hyperbolic sine heteroskedastic latent class panel tobit model: An application to modelling charitable donations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 228-236.
    13. Divine Ikenwilo & Sebastian Heidenreich & Mandy Ryan & Colette Mankowski & Jameel Nazir & Verity Watson, 2018. "The Best of Both Worlds: An Example Mixed Methods Approach to Understand Men’s Preferences for the Treatment of Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms," The Patient: Patient-Centered Outcomes Research, Springer;International Academy of Health Preference Research, vol. 11(1), pages 55-67, February.
    14. Paleti, Rajesh, 2018. "Generalized multinomial probit Model: Accommodating constrained random parameters," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 248-262.
    15. Grzybowski, Lukasz & Hasbi, Maude & Liang, Julienne, 2018. "Transition from copper to fiber broadband: The role of connection speed and switching costs," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-10.
    16. Bouscasse, Hélène & de Lapparent, Matthieu, 2019. "Perceived comfort and values of travel time savings in the Rhône-Alpes Region," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 370-387.
    17. Erik Stam & Roy Thurik & Peter van der Zwan, 2010. "Entrepreneurial exit in real and imagined markets," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 19(4), pages 1109-1139, August.
    18. Wei, Chong & Asakura, Yasuo & Iryo, Takamasa, 2014. "Formulating the within-day dynamic stochastic traffic assignment problem from a Bayesian perspective," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 45-57.
    19. Xi Chen & Zachary Owen & Clark Pixton & David Simchi-Levi, 2022. "A Statistical Learning Approach to Personalization in Revenue Management," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 1923-1937, March.
    20. Kesternich, Iris & Heiss, Florian & McFadden, Daniel & Winter, Joachim, 2013. "Suit the action to the word, the word to the action: Hypothetical choices and real decisions in Medicare Part D," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1313-1324.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:13:y:2016:i:7:p:714-:d:73968. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.