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What Factors Would Make Single-Vehicle Motorcycle Crashes Fatal? Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Amjad Pervez

    (School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, China)

  • Jaeyoung Lee

    (School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, China
    Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL 32816, USA)

  • Helai Huang

    (School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, China)

  • Xiaoqi Zhai

    (School of Civil Engineering, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China)

Abstract

The existing research on motorcycle safety has shown that single-vehicle motorcycle crashes (SVMC) account for a higher fatality rate than other types of crashes. Also, motorcycle safety has become one of the critical traffic safety issues in many developing countries, such as Pakistan, due to the growing number of motorcycles and lack of sufficient relevant infrastructure. However, the available literature on SVMC and motorcycle safety in developing countries is limited. Therefore, the present study attempted to investigate the factors that contribute to the injury severity of SVMC in a developing country, Pakistan. For this purpose, a random parameter logit model with heterogeneity in means and variances is developed using two years of data extracted from the road traffic injury research project in Karachi city, Pakistan. The study’s findings show that the presence of pillion passengers and young motorcyclists indicators result in random parameters with heterogeneity in their means and variances. The study’s results also reveal that the summer, morning time, weekends, older motorcyclists, collisions with fixed objects, speeding, and overtaking are positively, while younger motorcyclists and the presence of pillion passengers are negatively associated with fatal crashes. More importantly, in the particular Pakistan’s context, female pillion passenger clothes trapped in the wheel, riding under the influence, intersections, U-turns, and collisions due to loss of control are also found to significantly influence the injury severity of SVMC. Based on these research findings, multiple appropriate countermeasures are recommended to enhance motorcycle safety in Pakistan and other developing countries with similar problems.

Suggested Citation

  • Amjad Pervez & Jaeyoung Lee & Helai Huang & Xiaoqi Zhai, 2022. "What Factors Would Make Single-Vehicle Motorcycle Crashes Fatal? Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-14, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:10:p:5813-:d:812522
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Train, Kenneth, 2000. "Halton Sequences for Mixed Logit," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt6zs694tp, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    2. Fangrong Chang & Maosheng Li & Pengpeng Xu & Hanchu Zhou & Md. Mazharul Haque & Helai Huang, 2016. "Injury Severity of Motorcycle Riders Involved in Traffic Crashes in Hunan, China: A Mixed Ordered Logit Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-15, July.
    3. Kenneth Train ., 2000. "Halton Sequences for Mixed Logit," Economics Working Papers E00-278, University of California at Berkeley.
    4. Xiong, Yingge & Mannering, Fred L., 2013. "The heterogeneous effects of guardian supervision on adolescent driver-injury severities: A finite-mixture random-parameters approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 39-54.
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    Cited by:

    1. Thanapong Champahom & Chamroeun Se & Sajjakaj Jomnonkwao & Tassana Boonyoo & Vatanavongs Ratanavaraha, 2023. "A Comparison of Contributing Factors between Young and Old Riders of Motorcycle Crash Severity on Local Roads," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-24, February.
    2. Thanapong Champahom & Chamroeun Se & Sajjakaj Jomnonkwao & Tassana Boonyoo & Amphaphorn Leelamanothum & Vatanavongs Ratanavaraha, 2023. "Temporal Instability of Motorcycle Crash Fatalities on Local Roadways: A Random Parameters Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(5), pages 1-28, February.
    3. Muhammad Ijaz & Lan Liu & Yahya Almarhabi & Arshad Jamal & Sheikh Muhammad Usman & Muhammad Zahid, 2022. "Temporal Instability of Factors Affecting Injury Severity in Helmet-Wearing and Non-Helmet-Wearing Motorcycle Crashes: A Random Parameter Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(17), pages 1-24, August.

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