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Real estate market and financial stability in US metropolitan areas: A dynamic model with spatial effects

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  • Moscone, Francesco
  • Tosetti, Elisa
  • Canepa, Alessandra

Abstract

This paper investigates spatio-temporal variations in ex-post credit risk in the United States, as a function of real estate prices, loan purchases made by government sponsored enterprises, and a set of local characteristics during the recent housing boom and bust.

Suggested Citation

  • Moscone, Francesco & Tosetti, Elisa & Canepa, Alessandra, 2014. "Real estate market and financial stability in US metropolitan areas: A dynamic model with spatial effects," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 129-146.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:regeco:v:49:y:2014:i:c:p:129-146
    DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2014.08.003
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    2. Raza, Naveed & Ali, Sajid & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Raza, Syed Ali, 2018. "Do commodities effectively hedge real estate risk? A multi-scale asymmetric DCC approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 10-29.
    3. MeiChi Huang, 2021. "Regime switches and permanent changes in impacts of housing risk factors on MSA‐level housing returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 310-342, January.
    4. Anastasiou, Dimitrios & Kapopoulos, Panayotis, 2021. "Dynamic linkages among financial stability, house prices and residential investment in Greece," MPRA Paper 107833, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Tsaubin Chen & Chiang Ku Fan, 2019. "Non-performing Loans and Housing Prices in Taiwan," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 9(6), pages 1-4.
    6. Martin Macháček & Aleš Melecký & Monika Šulganová, 2018. "Macroeconomic Drivers of Non-Performing Loans: A Meta-Regression Analysis," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(3), pages 351-374.
    7. Liu, Chao & Zheng, Ying & Zhao, Qi & Wang, Chao, 2020. "Financial stability and real estate price fluctuation in China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    8. Carmelo Algeri & Antonio F. Forgione & Carlo Migliardo, 2022. "Do spatial dependence and market power matter in the diversification of cooperative banks?," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(3), November.
    9. Huang, Naqun & Yang, Zhenlin, 2021. "Spatial dynamic models with short panels: Evaluating the impact of purchase restrictions on housing prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    10. Jingbin Wang & Beibei Xia & Huiling Qiao, 2022. "Time‐varying impact of housing price fluctuations on banking financial risk," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 457-467, March.
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    12. Sidong Zhao & Kaixu Zhao & Ping Zhang, 2021. "Spatial Inequality in China’s Housing Market and the Driving Mechanism," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-33, August.
    13. Vishaal Baulkaran & Pawan Jain & Mark Sunderman, 2019. "Housing “Beta”: Common Risk Factor in Returns of Stocks," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 438-456, April.
    14. Burridge, Peter & Iacone, Fabrizio & Lazarová, Štěpána, 2015. "Spatial effects in a common trend model of US city-level CPI," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 87-98.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Non-performing loans; House prices; Dynamic panels; Spatial dependence; GMM estimator;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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