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Treatment effect models with strategic interaction in treatment decisions

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  • Hoshino, Tadao
  • Yanagi, Takahide

Abstract

This study considers treatment effect models in which others’ treatment decisions can affect both one’s own treatment and outcome. Focusing on the case of two-player interactions, we formulate treatment decision behavior as a complete information game with multiple equilibria. Using a latent index framework and assuming a stochastic equilibrium selection, we prove that the marginal treatment effect from one’s own treatment and that from the partner are identifiable on the conditional supports of certain threshold variables determined through the game model. Based on our constructive identification results, we propose a two-step semiparametric procedure for estimating the marginal treatment effects using series approximation. We show that the proposed estimator is uniformly consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. As an empirical illustration, we investigate the impacts of risky behaviors on adolescents’ academic performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Hoshino, Tadao & Yanagi, Takahide, 2023. "Treatment effect models with strategic interaction in treatment decisions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(2).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:236:y:2023:i:2:s0304407623002117
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.105495
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    Cited by:

    1. Hoshino Tadao & Yanagi Takahide, 2022. "Estimating marginal treatment effects under unobserved group heterogeneity," Journal of Causal Inference, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 197-216, January.
    2. Tadao Hoshino, 2020. "A Pairwise Strategic Network Formation Model with Group Heterogeneity: With an Application to International Travel," Papers 2012.14886, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
    3. Tadao Hoshino, 2021. "Estimating a Continuous Treatment Model with Spillovers: A Control Function Approach," Papers 2112.15114, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Binary games; Latent index models; Marginal treatment effects; Series estimation; Strategic interaction;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • C57 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Econometrics of Games and Auctions

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